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Around SBN: Full Coverage of 2012 Coke 600

Tonight's Matchup: Brewers (Gallardo) at Padres (Moseley)

The whirlwind trip continues late tonight with another 9:10 pm start, this time in San Diego.

When these two teams finally take the field tonight, Dustin Moseley (3.40 ERA, 3.97 FIP) will be on the mound for the Padres. He's only 29 but the Padres are already his third major league team: He pitched parts of four seasons with the Angels from 2006-09 and made 16 appearances (nine starts) for the Yankees in 2010. They allowed him to leave as a minor league free agent following the season.

Moseley got off to a good start as a Padre but has had a rough time lately. He's allowed 12 runs (11 earned) on 16 hits over his last nine innings, and both appearances were in games where the Padres were blown out. He strikes very few batters out (4.15 per nine), so he's heavily reliant on balls in play for outs. He'll throw a high 80's fastball but relies heavily on a cutter and curve, along with the occasional changeup. According to FanGraphs his fastball, cutter and curve have all been above average in 2011.

Moseley didn't face the Brewers when these two teams met last week, and in fact he's never pitched against them at all. Yuniesky Betancourt is the only Brewer who's faced him ten times or more: He's hitting .200/.273/.300 in 11 PAs. Mark Kotsay (3-for-5 with a walk and two doubles) is the only other Brewer that's faced Moseley at all.

He'll face off against Yovani Gallardo (4.88 ERA, 4.21 FIP), who has been something of an enigma this season. Gallardo was good but not great against the Pirates last time out, allowing two runs on five hits over six innings while walking three and striking out five. However, he needed 104 pitches to get through six innings in the game. His previous outing before that was excellent, but the five starts preceding that one were not very good.

Hopefully this is a positive sign: Gallardo has pitched quality starts or better in each of his last two outings. This is the only time in 2011 he's done that. The sixth inning has been his biggest challenge this seasonas he's allowing opposing batters to hit .423/.500/.615 in the frame. In a likely related note, batters have a .978 OPS when facing Gallardo for the third time, up from .736 the first time and .729 the second.

Gallardo didn't face the Padres when these two teams met last week, but started twice against them in 2010. On May 1 he was very good, allowing a run on six hits and striking out 11 over seven innings. On August 20 he was a disaster, allowing six runs and lasting just 3.1 innings. Two Padres have faced him ten times or more:

Player PA AVG OBP SLG OPS
Brad Hawpe 16 .200 .250 .533 .783
Ryan Ludwick 10 .222 .300 .556 .856

Via Adam McCalvy, here's tonight's lineup:

Rickie Weeks 2B
Corey Hart RF
Ryan Braun LF
Prince Fielder 1B
Casey McGehee 3B
Mark Kotsay CF
Yuniesky Betancourt SS
Jonathan Lucroy C
Yovani Gallardo P

And in the bullpen:

Sergio Mitre pitched 1.2 innings (22 pitches) last night.
Mike McClendon
pitched 1 inning (13 pitches) last night.
Kameron Loe
 pitched one inning (9 pitches) Monday.
John Axford pitched one inning (14 pitches) Monday
Marco Estrada last pitched on Sunday.

LaTroy Hawkins hasn't pitched since Saturday.

Tim Dillard is just about done with that book he brought along on the plane from Nashville.

Weather:

As is usually the case, the weather should be a non-factor in San Diego tonight. Temperatures should be steady in the low 60's throughout the game and the chance of precipitation is minimal at best.

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#7 Lucroy

We hardly knew ye.

Tony Plush: Please get healthy.

by Archibaldcrane on May 18, 2011 7:37 PM CDT reply actions  

There is never an excuse for Kotsay playing CF.

"If we want to sign a Type A free agent, we would lose a second-round pick, but we don't have a way to get picks back. Our whole Draft process needs to be redone."

~Doug Melvin

by Charlie Marlow on May 18, 2011 8:35 PM CDT reply actions  

Serious question.

Would Hart CF, Kotsay RF be preferable?

Applying pop culture to Brewers discussions since 2009, earning the nickname of "Our Little Abed".

by Yar Nivek on May 18, 2011 8:38 PM CDT up reply actions  

Probably

Hart has a career +3.9 UZR/150 in CF (small sample and from 05-07) while Kotsay’s previous four seasons with significant playing time in CF have been -14.9, -13.8, -11.9 and -8.5 UZR/150

Ryan Braun: He loves it. -- Four pitchers in history with 8.5+ WAR and <250 IP seasons: Greg Maddux (age 29), Pedro Martinez (age 28), Roger Clemens (age 27), Zack Greinke (age 25).

by SRB on May 18, 2011 8:43 PM CDT up reply actions  

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