Brewers 5, Astros 4
by Noah Jarosh on Jul 31, 2011 4:06 PM CDT
in WPA Game Recaps
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PrintWin: Francisco Rodriguez (4-2)
Loss: Fernando Rodriguez (2-1)
Save: John Axford (31)
HR: Bourgeois (1)
MVP: Prince Fielder (.290)
LVP: Francisco Rodriguez (-.127)
Fangraphs Win Expectancy Graph
Give the Astros credit--they came closer to winning than should have been expected after they ran out their Pence-less, Bourn-less lineup.
The Brewers got off to a good start, scoring two runs in the bottom of the second. The first came via a Yuni double, which scored Felipe Lopez. Betancourt would advance to third on the play due to a throwing error. Following that, Jonathan Lucroy laid down a squeeze bunt, scoring Betancourt.
The Astros fought back, taking the lead in the top of the fourth inning on a three run homer from Jason Bourgeois--his first of the season and second of his career (his first career homer came when he was a Brewer). The Brewers tied it back up in the bottom half of the inning, though, as Jonathan Lucroy double in Prince Fielder.
Then, in the sixth, the Brewers took the lead back: After Ryan Braun singled and Fielder moved him to third with a single of his own. Felipe Lopez popped out and Yuni hit a grounder into what looked line an inning ending double play. Fielder showed some hustle, though, and took out Jose Altuve--who was covering second base for the lead out--in order to break up the double play (cleanly, too!) and allowing Ryan Braun to score.
Somehow, the Astros kept fighting back and scored another run thanks to a K-Rod wild pitch in the eighth inning. Once more, though, the Brewers scored in the bottom half of the same inning. This time, Ryan Braun doubled and Prince Fielder--who the Astros inexplicably had a right hander pitch to--singled him home, giving the Brewers a 5-4 lead they wouldn't give up as John Axford locked down the ninth.
Chris Narveson had a good outing, going 6.2 innings and allowing just four hits and three walks. All three of his earned runs came on Bourgeois' home run. Prince Fielder had a great day, going 3-4 overall with a run scored, an RBI, and that very important broken up double play. Corey Hart also had three hits and Ryan Braun was 2-4 with two runs scored.
The win gives the Brewers a six game winning streak. Up next: A big three game series against the Cardinals in Miller Park.
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Wow, Pirates let one get away. That's gotta hurt
Oh, and WAY TO GO BREWERS!
Duh.
The four team race for the NL Central has turned into a bit of a 3 team race and the Pirates are starting to fade now, they have lost 4 of 5 since that 19 inning loss.
I’d feel much more confident battling one team down the stretch than three. Still a lot of baseball left
This.
Those are some pretty bad pickups. I wouldn’t feel to confident if those were the guys I was picking up to me over the hump into the playoffs…
I think that Lee is an upgrade for them at 1B
Overbay has been pretty awful this year. But I don’t think that Ludwick will help much. Hopefully for their fans they will finish over .500 but I think that it is likely to be 2 horse race the rest of the way unless either the Reds get hot or the Pirates manage a sweep against either us or the Cards in the next couple of weeks
Exactly
I really hope they finish above .500, but as for competing for a playoffs spot, they’re in trouble. It’s possible for them to stay in it, but I’d be shocked if they were able to.
The Brewers at Miller Park: "ALL WE DO IS WIN, WIN, WIN NO MATTER WHAT"
The Brewers on the road: "all we do is lose, lose lose, but sometimes not"
sorry to interject
but we over on BD our having the same arguments. some of the bandwagon fans are shitting bricks that we didnt get a ‘star’ player. yet our two additions likely make us a winning team, not a playoff team.
Thats what she said! - Michael Gary Scott
I obviously don’t follow the Bucs closely, but its very tough for any team to go from 100 losses to the playoffs in one year.
Not that Pittsburgh can’t win this year, but I think a winning record would be a great step and a successful year. I’ve heard Huntington on XM radio a couple of times and he seems like a pretty smart and progressive GM.
Cubs went from worst to first a few years back. Difficult to do but not without precedent
For your health!
Easier if your a big club with lots of money to spend
Admittedly I don’t know the cubs situation that year and if they upgraded a ton in FA or not.
Streak Breakers.com
by Flanyboy on Jul 31, 2011 10:22 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions
It was 2006 and 2007
2006
66-96
$94.42M
2007
85-77
$99.67M
Changes in 2007
1. Signed Soriano, DeRosa, Lilly and Marquis
2. Fired Baker/hired Pinella
Pujols is the Barack Obama of baseball.
thats the biggest point, we had no plans to be in this position this season, to go from a 57 win team to say an 85 win team is a huge step in the right direction. some of the “casual fans” seem to still not understand this.
good luck to ya’ll
Thats what she said! - Michael Gary Scott
by C Shint on Jul 31, 2011 10:47 PM CDT up reply actions 2 recs
Around here, we appreciate your signature.
Except for one guy.
Applying pop culture to Brewers discussions since 2009, earning the nickname of "Our Little Abed".
We need the one guy for credibility
“Not everyone on this site is that immature.”
Founder of the BCBCU - Est. 2011
I found a picture of him.
Applying pop culture to Brewers discussions since 2009, earning the nickname of "Our Little Abed".
by Yar Nivek on Aug 1, 2011 11:46 AM CDT up reply actions 2 recs
Not much of an upgrade
Lee – .246/.302/.404; 0.5 fWAR
Overbay – .227/.300/.349; -0.8 fWAR
Ludwick – .238/.301/.373; 1.0 fWAR
Pujols is the Barack Obama of baseball.
Ludwick has been really good against the Brewers in his career which is annoying and Lee is a huge upgrade defensively.
Lee has been good against the Brewers too but his age is probably catching up with him now.
Those moves will definitely improve their team. Not sure how much though.
Biggest thing with them is their pitching. If their pitchers stay really good they’ll stay in contention IMO.
For your health!
Ludwick has been good against the Brewers, sure.
But now he’s a Pirate. It’s a whole new ballgame, sucka.
The Brewers at Miller Park: "ALL WE DO IS WIN, WIN, WIN NO MATTER WHAT"
The Brewers on the road: "all we do is lose, lose lose, but sometimes not"
I think everybody used to be good against the Brewers. Jeff Suppan was still on the team as of last year.
"PLUSH ALERT: THERE WAS AN UNTUCKING AT FENWAY!"
What's the magic # for Counsell?
The fact that RR keeps playing Counsell is boarderline rediculous especially when we just traded for Hariston. Now that Counsell is 0 for July how many more chances will he get until enough is enough?
He needs to break the record!
3 more consecutive hitless at bats and he’s in the record books!
For your health!
Still can't touch Hank Aaron XXIV though...
Haven’t seen baseball this bad since the days of Bob Uecker.
by Morbidly-Obese, Right-Handed Jamie Moyer on Jul 31, 2011 6:44 PM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
But she can!
The Brewers at Miller Park: "ALL WE DO IS WIN, WIN, WIN NO MATTER WHAT"
The Brewers on the road: "all we do is lose, lose lose, but sometimes not"
by Tepo6688 on Jul 31, 2011 7:33 PM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
His play was bloathful.
Applying pop culture to Brewers discussions since 2009, earning the nickname of "Our Little Abed".
Of course MLB! He's already got the team record (including pitchers)
Come on! Don’t sell Counsell short man.
For your health!
Hopefully this spot start for Kotsay means
we won’t have to see any of him this important series vs. St. Louis… a man can dream!
No kidding
Apparently RR forgot about our latest acquisition.
Either that, or he felt pity on the Astros and wanted to give them a chance win avoid the sweep.
Pujols is the Barack Obama of baseball.
If they can sweep tha Cards series too
it’s very possible to stretch this to a 12-game win streak. Houston again after this? Yeah, it’s on the road, but still…
after that we have another 3-game at St. Louis, and then we host Pittsburgh and the Dodgers. It realistic to win 20 out of 22 games here, counting the six we already have in the books.
After that it’s @ the Mets and Pirates, then hosting the Cubs and Cards again. If this team takes care of business, the lead in the NL Central could get up to double digits by the start of September.
The Brewers at Miller Park: "ALL WE DO IS WIN, WIN, WIN NO MATTER WHAT"
The Brewers on the road: "all we do is lose, lose lose, but sometimes not"
by Tepo6688 on Jul 31, 2011 7:40 PM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
I think they should just win the rest of the games.
For your health!
by menchkins on Jul 31, 2011 10:19 PM CDT up reply actions 3 recs
assume the sweep?
that’s worse than what the cubs were predicting on day 1 of a series with us last season
by PagsBrewCrew on Jul 31, 2011 10:49 PM CDT up reply actions
I'm not assuming a sweep in any of the upcoming series
I just think that they are extremely possible
The Brewers at Miller Park: "ALL WE DO IS WIN, WIN, WIN NO MATTER WHAT"
The Brewers on the road: "all we do is lose, lose lose, but sometimes not"
Good goodness.
I try to be optimistic, but damn, that’s some strong Kool-Aid right there.
by Cheeseandcorn on Jul 31, 2011 11:34 PM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
I wonder how active the Brewers will be on the waiver market
I am too drunk to taste this chicken.
by ThroughBeingCool on Jul 31, 2011 6:39 PM CDT reply actions
You think they can sneak yuni thru waivers?
When there is a scuffle in Ireland, there’s no need to specifically mention in the news story that alcohol was involved
by Getting Yosted on Jul 31, 2011 6:49 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions
I wonder, if they can get by without one. The back end of the pen is pretty good against anybody and the Brewers will get a lefty for the pen in the playoffs (Narveson).
Narveson is not particularly strong against LH
Sadly. He’s not the answer to the LHP woes in the bullpen.
Sunday evening numbers
Realistic SS options ranked by ZiPS Rest of Season wOBA:
Jerry Hairston Jr. – .321
Rafael Furcal – .311
Jamey Carroll – .307
Clint Barmes – .304
Jason Bartlett – .303
Yuniesky Betancourt – .299
Craig Counsell – .295
Felipe Lopez – .290
Josh Wilson – .283
Jack Wilson – .276
Realistic SS options ranked by Career UZR/150 at SS:
Craig Counsell = +7.7 (3523 inn.)
Clint Barmes = +6.7 (3327 inn.)
Jack Wilson = +5.4 (10508 inn.)
Jason Bartlett = +2.9 (6861 inn.)
Jerry Hairston Jr. = +2.1 (1024 inn.)
Rafael Furcal = -1.1 (11903 inn.)
Jamey Carroll = -2.0 (1517 inn.)
Josh Wilson = -7.1 (1807 inn.)
Yuniesky Betancourt = -9.4 (7765 inn.)
Felipe Lopez = -10.8 (5158 inn.)
"PLUSH ALERT: THERE WAS AN UNTUCKING AT FENWAY!"
My conclusion: JHJ is better than any of the other options anyways. If they let him play SS.
"PLUSH ALERT: THERE WAS AN UNTUCKING AT FENWAY!"
Which they've pretty much said isn't going to be his role
IIRC, Melvin and RRR said his main job is going to be filling the LHP side of the CF platoon
Now if only RRR would play that option...
I was disappointed with the lack of hookers but the pancakes were delightful
That's a pretty big "if"
Give him an offspeed pitch down and in. He will swing and miss.
Cubs up 4-0 in the top of 6
I am too drunk to taste this chicken.
by ThroughBeingCool on Jul 31, 2011 8:48 PM CDT via mobile reply actions
So I just noticed Ryan Braun has a twin
The Brewers at Miller Park: "ALL WE DO IS WIN, WIN, WIN NO MATTER WHAT"
The Brewers on the road: "all we do is lose, lose lose, but sometimes not"
by Tepo6688 on Jul 31, 2011 9:41 PM CDT reply actions 3 recs
I motion
that Kid N Play becomes one of his nicknames
The Brewers at Miller Park: "ALL WE DO IS WIN, WIN, WIN NO MATTER WHAT"
The Brewers on the road: "all we do is lose, lose lose, but sometimes not"
That would be Kid but we can't use that nickname because we already have "The Kid."
Give him an offspeed pitch down and in. He will swing and miss.
Next person to see him in public
Get really excited and ask him if he was part of Kid N Play. Awesome.
Founder of the BCBCU - Est. 2011
by ecocd on Aug 1, 2011 7:05 AM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
Cardinals lose, are now 2.5 GB. Pirates 4.5 GB. Reds 6.5 GB.
The Brewers have 53 games remaining. If the Brewers can go just over .500 the rest of the season (27-26), then to win the division the Cardinals will need a .574 W%, the Pirates a .607 W%, and the Reds a .648 W%
"PLUSH ALERT: THERE WAS AN UNTUCKING AT FENWAY!"
If the Brewers roughly continue their .550 W% with the easiest part of their schedule ahead (29-24):
The Cardinals will need to have a .611 W%, the Pirates a .643 W%, and the Reds a .685 W%
"PLUSH ALERT: THERE WAS AN UNTUCKING AT FENWAY!"
Cardinal fans ran onto the field tonight
how disrespectful
I am too drunk to taste this chicken.
by ThroughBeingCool on Jul 31, 2011 10:29 PM CDT reply actions
But they didn't untuck!
Streak Breakers.com
by Flanyboy on Jul 31, 2011 10:34 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions
Crew with 2.5 lead over Cards 4.5 over Bucs 6.5 over Reds
Nice game today
Big props to:
Ax
Narv
Saito
Luc
Beta
Prince
Braun
Hart
He’s always open. He catches a lot of balls. He’s un-guardable, no matter how old he is
I hope someone is doing a trade deadline impact piece
with projected and so-far-in-2011 stats for the traded MLB players…as well as perhaps a brief word on prospects lost/acquired
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NL Central Standings
| W | L | PCT | GB | STRK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cincinnati
|
26 | 20 | .565 | 0 | Won 1 |
|
St. Louis
|
25 | 22 | .531 | 1.5 | Lost 3 |
|
Houston
|
22 | 24 | .478 | 4 | Lost 1 |
|
Pittsburgh
|
22 | 24 | .478 | 4 | Won 2 |
|
Milwaukee
|
19 | 27 | .413 | 7 | Lost 1 |
|
Chicago
|
15 | 31 | .326 | 11 | Lost 11 |
(updated 5.27.2012 at 12:11 PM CDT)
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