Brewers 11, Mets 9
by Noah Jarosh on Aug 20, 2011 6:50 PM CDT
in WPA Game Recaps
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Win: Francisco Rodriguez (5-2)
Loss: Jason Isringhausen (3-3)
Save: John Axford (37)
HR: Braun (24), Fielder (28), Betancourt (10), Pagan (7)
MVP: Prince Fielder (.501)
LVP: Francisco Rodriguez (-.664)
Fangraphs Win Expectancy Graph
Box Score
Wow. Just wow.
The Brewers had a pretty good lead for a while. The bats were rolling with three home runs and Randy Wolf had only given up a lone run in six innings as Milwaukee led 7-1. It looked like they were well on their way to an easy victory over the Mets. Then, in the seventh, all of a sudden the Mets just wouldn't get out. Between poor pitching, poor defense, and poor umpiring, Randy Wolf and Takashi Saito gave up five runs in that frame. Still, the game looked like it was in good hands as Milwaukee was poised to bring out K-Rod and the Ax to close out a one run lead.
And, after two outs in the eighth, it was looking even better. But Rodriguez gave up a walk and an RBI double, tying the game. Then, to top it off, Angel Pagan launched a two run homer to give the Mets a two run lead before Justin Turner grounded out. All of a sudden, in two innings the Brewers win expectancy went from 97.7% to 6%. Quite the drop.
But, as we should probably know by now, the Brewers just will not quit on any game. Jonathan Lucroy walked. Nyjer Morgan walked. Corey Hart singled. The bases were loaded and Mark Kotsay was coming up. Mark Kotsay walked, scoring Lucroy. Ryan Braun flied out, but not deep enough to score Morgan. Prince Fielder took some massive swings and managed to poke a ball into the outfield for an RBI single, to tie the game. Finally, Casey McGehee poked another grounder into the outfield, scoring two more runs before Yuni popped out and Lopez struck out. John Axford shut down the Mets in the ninth to pick up the save.
I mean:
Yeah.
The Brewers are now 8.5 games up in the NL Central as the Cardinals lost 3-0 to the Cubs. Eight and one half games. Let that sink in for a while.
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Always good when the LVP get the win
It is good to see that on the rare occasion that the bullpen blows the lead that the hitting bails them out.
With Yo going tomorrow hoping for a road sweep, now that is something that has not happend too often this season.
I wonder what the least deserved Win (based on WPA) in history is.
"We’re here to win, man. All that fighting stuff, that’s for the birds." - Prince Fielder
well Braunie and Yuni both hit HRs but had a lower WPA than Lucroy who only looked at pitches from a guy who couldn't throw a strike - go figure
He’s always open. He catches a lot of balls. He’s un-guardable, no matter how old he is
A Little League World Series game drew 41,000 last night
Anyone have a way of checking how many MLB teams that beat?
The Brewers at Miller Park: "ALL WE DO IS WIN, WIN, WIN NO MATTER WHAT"
The Brewers on the road: See above
All but 3 or 4
They did a piece on SC about that.
by Archibaldcrane on Aug 20, 2011 7:05 PM CDT up reply actions
The next question is
Why in the hell?
The Brewers at Miller Park: "ALL WE DO IS WIN, WIN, WIN NO MATTER WHAT"
The Brewers on the road: See above
Free beer?
The Brewers at Miller Park: "ALL WE DO IS WIN, WIN, WIN NO MATTER WHAT"
The Brewers on the road: See above
It was a PA team playing
and that is a big event in PA.
Brewers:
8.5 games ahead of the Uptight Citizens Brigade
Tied with the Braves for the Wild Card Safety Net
5.5 games ahead of Arizona to avoid the Phils in the 1st round
15 games in the last week
The Brewers at Miller Park: "ALL WE DO IS WIN, WIN, WIN NO MATTER WHAT"
The Brewers on the road: See above
On Sportscenter they said only 3 teams outdrew that
they were just ahead of the Yankees
Nick Petrilli? I liked him better when he was NickBloomfield.
fortunate, but lucky.
I am too drunk to taste this chicken.
by ThroughBeingCool on Aug 20, 2011 7:03 PM CDT reply actions
When your running hot
You make your own luck Prince abs Casey had to still get the hits
The Crew is starting to remind me of Darven Moon from the WSOP 2 seasons ago dude got rolling and just could not lose
"It's a joke. It's all a joke.
by WSB Chris on Aug 20, 2011 7:10 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions
it's a joke haha
I am too drunk to taste this chicken.
by ThroughBeingCool on Aug 20, 2011 7:11 PM CDT up reply actions
Darven Moon shoutout lol
I remember that. He could NOT lose a hand. Ridiculous. All the way down to Joe Cada, he was lights out.
Michael Jordan - 6 rings
Kobe Bryant - 5 rings
The planet Saturn - 7 rings
Lebron James - a headband
Yeah Cada was just a much better head to head player
That was a great WSOP
"It's a joke. It's all a joke.
I believe the Brewers are 3-0 on national TV this year
that extra inning win at Philly in April and these past two Saturdays.
I am too drunk to taste this chicken.
by ThroughBeingCool on Aug 20, 2011 7:11 PM CDT reply actions
Not if you count MLB network
Both Cardinals losses recently were on MLBN
Brewers fan lost in South Carolina.
by SCBrewer on Aug 20, 2011 9:01 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions
I feel like MLB isnt truely national...
I mean not that many people have it… EVERYONE has fox… and most people have ESPN or TBS… MLBN is national by locations you can view it but definitely not comparable to the “truly” national networks in terms of exposure…
Streak Breakers.com
by Flanyboy on Aug 20, 2011 11:12 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions
True but
the Fox Saturday games are regional, so they are not truly national either.
Brewers:
8.5 games ahead of the Uptight Citizens Brigade
Tied with the Braves for the Wild Card Safety Net
5.5 games ahead of Arizona to avoid the Phils in the 1st round
They got killed by the Red Sox on TBS earlier this year, too.
by Cheeseandcorn on Aug 20, 2011 11:11 PM CDT up reply actions
That was a rough series
the Friday Marcum early exit and the Sunday blowout.
Brewers:
8.5 games ahead of the Uptight Citizens Brigade
Tied with the Braves for the Wild Card Safety Net
5.5 games ahead of Arizona to avoid the Phils in the 1st round
Stretching, most likely.
At least that’s my guess.
"People ask me what I do in the winter when there's no baseball. I'll tell you what I do. I stare out the window and wait for spring."- Rogers Hornsby
I love the rest of the schedule
Out of their final 35 games, brewers play 10 against teams that are currently over .500 (phillies and cards). Only 3 of those are road games (cards).
More than half of the games are at home, including the final six games of the season.
by gffjenks on Aug 20, 2011 7:32 PM CDT via mobile reply actions
I like that
He’s always open. He catches a lot of balls. He’s un-guardable, no matter how old he is
up up down down left right left right highpunch
by nullacct on Aug 20, 2011 8:00 PM CDT reply actions 22 recs
ha ha - cool stuff
He’s always open. He catches a lot of balls. He’s un-guardable, no matter how old he is
Crew winning in this crazy fashion even on the road
mighty uncanny
He’s always open. He catches a lot of balls. He’s un-guardable, no matter how old he is
Showing off a fine understanding of the 5 B's of Winning Baseball
Batting, Battling, Beast Mode, bPitching, and Betancourt.
The Brewers at Miller Park: "ALL WE DO IS WIN, WIN, WIN NO MATTER WHAT"
The Brewers on the road: See above
by Tepo6688 on Aug 20, 2011 8:27 PM CDT up reply actions 3 recs
Re: John Axford talking about 'The Goonies'
@JohnAxford ill b Dayta!!! Full of mystery James Bond trickz
"We’re here to win, man. All that fighting stuff, that’s for the birds." - Prince Fielder
Something I just thought of...
With the way McGehee hits to the opposite field, why did the Mets have a shift on for him to pull the ball?
Fighter of the Nightman. Champion of the sun. Master of karate & friendship for everyone.
My guess is that he mostly hits the ball in the air to the opposite field.
And pulls it on the infield. Just a guess, not sure if the scouting report would back me up. If it doesn’t, then the Mets are just dumb.
Brewers are the honey badger of MLB.
Cough up a huge lead? Honey badger don’t care. Honey badger don’t give a shit, it just takes what it wants.
fka "warwick5s"
by DEUCE SLUICE on Aug 20, 2011 11:49 PM CDT reply actions 6 recs
Standings
with the usual non-jinx disclosure, it is looking like there is only one NL playoff spot up for grabs. It is also looking like the winner of that final playoff spot (NL West) gets the honor of playing the Phillies in the NLDS. The Braves have an 8 game lead in the Wild Card, so pencil in Braves at Brewers on October 1 to start the NLDS.
Brewers:
8.5 games ahead of the Uptight Citizens Brigade
Tied with the Braves for the Wild Card Safety Net
5.5 games ahead of Arizona to avoid the Phils in the 1st round
hell
we could draw the west, and the cards could sneak ahead of the braves for the WC and play the phils.
I don’t think we have much a a wild card safety net….if the cards overtake us, we’re not doing well enough to do better than the braves.
by PagsBrewCrew on Aug 21, 2011 11:26 AM CDT up reply actions
Unlikely
for us to draw the west the Cards have to make up 8.5 games on the Braves in 35 games while not passing us for the Central lead. That would be predicting a major collapse from the Braves, who are 23 games over .500
Brewers:
8.5 games ahead of the Uptight Citizens Brigade
Tied with the Braves for the Wild Card Safety Net
5.5 games ahead of Arizona to avoid the Phils in the 1st round
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NL Central Standings
| W | L | PCT | GB | STRK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cincinnati
|
26 | 20 | .565 | 0 | Won 1 |
|
St. Louis
|
25 | 22 | .531 | 1.5 | Lost 3 |
|
Houston
|
22 | 24 | .478 | 4 | Lost 1 |
|
Pittsburgh
|
22 | 24 | .478 | 4 | Won 2 |
|
Milwaukee
|
19 | 27 | .413 | 7 | Lost 1 |
|
Chicago
|
15 | 31 | .326 | 11 | Lost 11 |
(updated 5.27.2012 at 12:11 PM CDT)
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