Brewers 6, Marlins 4

by Noah Jarosh on Sep 24, 2011 9:20 PM CDT in WPA Game Recaps

Win: LaTroy Hawkins (2-1)
Loss: Burke Badenhop (2-3)
Save: John Axford (45)

HR: Betancourt (13), Infante (7), Bonifacio (4)

MVP: Jerry Hairston (.212)
LVP: Zack Greinke (-.203)

Fangraphs Win Expectancy Graph
Box Score

Zack Greinke wasn't at his sharpest today, but fortunately it didn't matter as the Brewers offense picked him up and gave Milwaukee the win to stay ahead of the Arizona Diamondbacks for the second best record in the National League.

Greinke struggled with his pitch count all game and had to leave after just five innings having already thrown 108 pitches. An early exit for him may have been the best thing to happen for the Brewers, though, as he allowed fourteen baserunners (nine hits and five walks) in those five innings. Four of those runners came around to score, including two home runs.

In the meantime, the Brewers managed three runs, trailing Florida by one going into the seventh inning. It was that inning that the bats decided to wake up, though. After a Jonathan Lucroy single, Jerry Hairston sliced a ball into center right field that Bryan Peterson, while trying to make a diving catch, accidentally deflected over Michael Stanton's head. It would up as a double, with Lucroy advancing to third--had he not needed to hold and see if the ball was caught, it's likely he would have scored easily. It didn't matter that he didn't score on that play, though, as Corey Hart, pinch hitting for Nyjer Morgan, doubled in both Lucroy and Hairston. Finally, Braun would knock another double to score Hart.

Braun had a 2-3 day overall, with a walk and a triple added on to that double. He also drove in two runs. Carlos Gomez also had a couple hits and scored two runs. Yuniesky Betancourt and Lucroy both also had two hits, with Yuni hitting a solo homer that tied the game at 3-3 in the fourth inning.

John Axford closed out his forty-fifth game of the season, taking sole possession of the Brewers single-season saves record. He stands one behind Craig Kimbrel for the NL lead, and two behind Jose Valverde for the MLB lead.

And, in case you were curious, the Cardinals won while the Braves lost, so St. Louis is now two games behind Atlanta for the wildcard.

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Woo!

The Brewers at Miller Park: "ALL WE DO IS WIN, WIN, WIN NO MATTER WHAT"

The Brewers on the road: See above

by Tepo6688 on Sep 24, 2011 9:23 PM CDT reply actions

Each win gives me spiteful joy about beating BtC's predictions

Ugh, Shortstop

by theBrouhaha on Sep 24, 2011 9:26 PM CDT reply actions 10 recs

About BtC...

Since I’m still relatively new here, I had my first ‘brush’ with Cali over at Beyond the Box Score. I could not control my emotions, and so I spoke my mind after reading his Cameron Maybin thing.

The gist; It has always bothered me when I see his little avatar spouting all of this cr*p, and imagining a little South Park voice. And why does he live in Milwaukee? So I gave some advice and let him know I was onto him, and none of that bullsh*t and whatever.

Is this Trolling, or was it simply a rite of passage to tell BtC one of the things he should stop doing? He’s nearly made me cry, on a couple of occasions over the past couple of seasons, and I paid a lot of attention to this site.
And that’s it! Now I feel better.

FanGraphs should consider a venue for a Gallery Night... they could even serve a cake with a Win Expectancy Chart of the 7/7/11 Brewers' game etched in the frosting, and 7-up. Oh, yeah - and t-shirts that say "SABR-Friday." I'm totally there.

by Jess'HittheBall on Sep 24, 2011 9:45 PM CDT up reply actions

I always feel fully fertilized after reading his bullshit

I was disappointed with the lack of hookers but the pancakes were delightful

by Michael M on Sep 24, 2011 9:53 PM CDT up reply actions 1 recs

Here is what happened...

Mine’s the 1st Comment

And I tell myself, time and time again, not to lose sleep over this because BtC is somewhat draconian with his methods.

But I had to. And I’ll only resort to this again if I feel threatened.

by Jess'HittheBall on Sep 24, 2011 9:57 PM CDT up reply actions

HOLY MOTHER OF...

That post is LOLz. But don’t worry about him, just keep on doing what you do!

That dog just won't hunt.

by Bush League All Star on Sep 25, 2011 1:24 AM CDT up reply actions

I like how he picks "age 24 season" which only includes Braun's first year and 2/3rds while giving Maybin parts of 4 seasons

And Maybin STILL doesn’t match up to Braun in terms of WAR

Nick Petrilli? I liked him better when he was NickBloomfield.

by stempke on Sep 25, 2011 2:21 AM CDT up reply actions

I hadn't seen that one.

It’s a particularly pathetic effort. The Brewers success this year is driving him crazy, the deeper they go the more hilarious it will get.

by Zorakathura on Sep 25, 2011 2:53 AM CDT up reply actions

One more thing.

Why the hell has he not been banned from here?

by Zorakathura on Sep 25, 2011 3:30 AM CDT up reply actions 3 recs

Agreed

I understand we’ve been down this road, and I respect Kyle’s open-mindedness and tolerance, but at a certain point he becomes a distraction, and is against the stated aims of this site.

Kyle, if you’re reading, I understand this is your site, but I think the vast majority of us would rather he not be around so we can enjoy watching our team in peace.

"If the world were perfect, it wouldn't be." - Yogi Berra

by mnbrewer on Sep 25, 2011 11:39 AM CDT via mobile up reply actions 6 recs

My thoughts exactly

I was disappointed with the lack of hookers but the pancakes were delightful

by Michael M on Sep 25, 2011 7:55 PM CDT up reply actions

"He’s nearly made me cry"

You may be taking this stuff entirely too seriously.

Seriously, just let BtC go. He’ll do what he does. Feel free to read his standings projection and read his method for calculating the number of wins teams will have. After reading it, you’ll feel much better and much more willing to just let his posts go.

Original post: http://www.brewcrewball.com/2011/3/8/2037440/nl-standings-projection
Methodology: http://www.brewcrewball.com/2011/3/8/2037440/nl-standings-projection#61467970

by cwolf20 on Sep 25, 2011 12:59 AM CDT up reply actions

Keep those links handy...

… for next year when he talks about how his projection system has worked pretty well in the past and helping him identify playoff teams before the season. This year he said he’d missed a total of 2 playoff teams in the past. Right now he’s got the Phillies right (like that’s hard), but he’s wrong on the Giants and Reds, and he might end up being wrong on the Braves too.

"fortunate, but also lucky"

by Ted Simmons Speed Camp on Sep 25, 2011 5:17 AM CDT up reply actions

He picked the Dodgers on the WC anyway

by cwolf20 on Sep 25, 2011 11:06 AM CDT up reply actions

FYI, from those of us that have been around here long enough to remember...

… his claims regarding his time as a scout are a big pile of crap. And BTC can’t forgive Braun for being better than he’d anticipated and making him look like an idiot.

But seriously, much as I loathe BTC, it makes no sense to spend any time thinking about him or letting him get you upset when the Brewers are on their way to locking up the 2nd seed in the NL playoffs.

Rejoice, therefore.

"fortunate, but also lucky"

by Ted Simmons Speed Camp on Sep 25, 2011 5:23 AM CDT up reply actions 2 recs

It's pronounced "Schadenfreude"

Applying pop culture to Brewers discussions since 2009, earning the nickname of "Our Little Abed".

by Yar Nivek on Sep 24, 2011 10:30 PM CDT up reply actions

Huh.

I always thought it was pronounced “pathetic hater”, or “compulsive liar”. Learn something new every day, I guess.

"fortunate, but also lucky"

by Ted Simmons Speed Camp on Sep 25, 2011 5:25 AM CDT up reply actions

lol USC

70 yd TD run for ASU

The Brewers at Miller Park: "ALL WE DO IS WIN, WIN, WIN NO MATTER WHAT"

The Brewers on the road: See above

by Tepo6688 on Sep 24, 2011 9:29 PM CDT reply actions

For some reason, I'm still watching WLMW

“Brewers Classics” Replay. 4/23/07 against the Cubs.
JJ Hardy just hit a home run.

by bluejazz04 on Sep 24, 2011 9:37 PM CDT reply actions

Meant to say

JJ Hardy just hit a home run SIGH

by bluejazz04 on Sep 24, 2011 9:37 PM CDT up reply actions

But Yuni hit a HR for you today

Just for you.

by nullacct on Sep 24, 2011 11:23 PM CDT up reply actions

He's showing signs of heating up.

That would be fortunate, since we all know he’s going to play every day from here on out.

"fortunate, but also lucky"

by Ted Simmons Speed Camp on Sep 25, 2011 5:27 AM CDT up reply actions

Man when I saw Bill Hall go up to bat

I thought it was Bentancourt…

I was disappointed with the lack of hookers but the pancakes were delightful

by Michael M on Sep 24, 2011 9:38 PM CDT up reply actions

Same result, I assume?

The Brewers at Miller Park: "ALL WE DO IS WIN, WIN, WIN NO MATTER WHAT"

The Brewers on the road: See above

by Tepo6688 on Sep 24, 2011 9:40 PM CDT up reply actions

Nope

Reached on a deflected ball

by bluejazz04 on Sep 24, 2011 9:41 PM CDT up reply actions

Hey, Yuni had one of those last night.

by placidity on Sep 25, 2011 6:17 AM CDT up reply actions

Hey...it's old Craig Counsell batting stance guy

by bluejazz04 on Sep 24, 2011 9:48 PM CDT up reply actions

What do you think the over under is on Casey getting below .220 for the season in the last few games?

by coolcool23 on Sep 24, 2011 9:49 PM CDT reply actions

This has been reality for Casey over more than just a span of a few games : (

I doubt even next season that he will push back up to his career nos.

I’m going more on frustration with what I see, even on a psychological level.

by Jess'HittheBall on Sep 24, 2011 10:05 PM CDT up reply actions

He's a different person physically this year than in years past

You can see it in his physique. He played better at a lower body mass.

by nullacct on Sep 24, 2011 11:24 PM CDT up reply actions

I mean he was always chubby looking

I thought that he was supposed to be better now that his knee was fully healed?

I don’t necessarily see him as fatter. Maybe I’m just missing it.

"If we want to sign a Type A free agent, we would lose a second-round pick, but we don't have a way to get picks back. Our whole Draft process needs to be redone."

~Doug Melvin

by Charlie Marlow on Sep 25, 2011 12:58 AM CDT up reply actions

No I agree, he appears the same weight

And that’s all we kept hearing in the offseason was how he’s fully healed now and in better shape so he’s going to be better defensively and such. bah humbug to that.

Grillax people

by jmeks23 on Sep 25, 2011 1:33 AM CDT up reply actions

There was the thumb injury early in the season.

Maybe he has been playing with a lingering injury.

by Zorakathura on Sep 25, 2011 2:56 AM CDT up reply actions

And Torii goes deep!

Not to take away from the Crew, but I’m still in Anaheim!

by Brew Angel on Sep 24, 2011 9:53 PM CDT via mobile reply actions

BrewAngel - I thought they lost?

Or are you all talking about the 2005 Minn/Mke game?

I wish Torii would’ve hit 3 home runs today. i really would like a Scioscia, Roenicke and Maddon theme for the playoffs.

The Wildcard doesn’t seem unreasonable, though. What do you think of Jared’s short rest, btw?

by Jess'HittheBall on Sep 24, 2011 10:00 PM CDT up reply actions

It's 4 - 1 Angels at the moment

They lost last night, though, which pretty much means they have zero margin of error now. They need to win out and get some help from the Yankees and Orioles.

I thought Weaver did fine last night; the defense (1 key error) and offense (1 run) let him down.

If we hold on to win tonight, and can win tomorrow, we have Haren/Santana/Weaver lined up for the last series, so we have a chance. But if we wind up in a 1-game playoff, we’ll probably have to start Piniero, which doesn’t inspire a lot of confidence.

by Brew Angel on Sep 24, 2011 10:31 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions

I don't want to see Piniero.

And re; Weaver –
Even with sort of a dip in velocity, he’s still throwing darts. I think the issue is Rookies like Jemille Weeks, not really being afraid of anyone.

Or, no. I blame DeJesus for picking on every Angel. And he lives in the RF alley, and is almost a mythical man! In your experience, watching the team in a handful of playoffs in the last decade or so;
do some of the lousy automatic outs in the batting order somehow come through?

by Jess'HittheBall on Sep 24, 2011 11:10 PM CDT up reply actions

Aggghhhh - I had my days mixed up, there.

So you are the winnnarrrs!!!!
Congratulations!

by Jess'HittheBall on Sep 24, 2011 11:18 PM CDT up reply actions

So 1 game MVP has to match YunE right?

Give him an offspeed pitch down and in. He will swing and miss.

by cooper82 on Sep 24, 2011 10:50 PM CDT reply actions

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NL Central Standings

	W	L	PCT	GB	STRK
Cincinnati Red Reporter	26	20	.565	0	Won 1
St. Louis Viva El Birdos	25	22	.531	1.5	Lost 3
Houston The Crawfish Boxes	22	24	.478	4	Lost 1
Pittsburgh Bucs Dugout	22	24	.478	4	Won 2
Milwaukee Brew Crew Ball	19	27	.413	7	Lost 1
Chicago Bleed Cubbie Blue	15	31	.326	11	Lost 11