I posted this over on the Facebook site too, but I just wanted to get some feedback from the community and see if I was the only one noticing anything (and if so, should stop overthinking it).
First off, if you have no idea what I'm talking about, Jon Baas is running a replay of the 2011 Brewers season, following all the same trades, ownership decisions, and schedule that the team followed. The only difference is he's making all the lineup/roster decisions based on the community's vote.
Does anyone else see this replay as being a bit of a reality stretch?
So far, while I've been excited to see the potential for so many grand stats (and wins) from the 2011 squad, the numbers just don't seem right.
I mean, 25 saves for Axford? 46-21 record? All on June 12?
That would put John on pace for almost 60 saves, maybe more.
It also puts the Brewers on pace for 109 wins (That's just a guesstimate, but the rough math is there).
Not to mention other "on paces": Lucroy with 21 HR? Braun with 40? Fielder with 50? Those numbers, while possible, aren't very realistic.
I realize that the 2011 team was strong, but beyond the Fielder/Braun combo, a solid rest of the lineup, and a slightly above average rotation, I'd say that the results from this past season were far more realistic than this replay has been so far. No amount of changed decisions/line-ups could produce such drastic changes in the stats.
All of these numbers seem even more especially "flubbed" when you take into account that Craig Counsell has seen most of the starting SS time, Gamel, Boggs, and Farris all received noticeable promotions to the Majors, etc.
I'm not necessarily criticizing Jon or his replay. I've enjoyed following so far and will continue to follow it until it's over. It just seems to me like the simulator he's using is far off from what we could call reality.