FanPost

Winter is Coming

Bill James projections are out.

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Now I'm not going to pore over every single stat for every player *, but having looked first at the Brewer's current rotation I was pretty surprised with some of the projected performances.

  • Fastballer Michael Fiers - 29 GS, 172 IP, 12-7, 3.40 ERA, 3.35 FIP, 1.192 WHIP, 170 K, 52 BB.
  • Marco Estrada - 30 GS, 181 IP, 11-9, 3.63 ERA, 3.42 FIP, 1.243 WHIP, 162 K, 46 BB.

Break out the crayolas and color me tickled pink. If those two put together 2013's anywhere near that, some very good things can happen. Now on to the less impressive.

  • Mark Rogers - 12 GS, 70 IP, 3-4, 4.63 ERA, 4.40 FIP, 1.54 WHIP, 62 K, 40 BB
  • Wily Peralta - 10 GS, 56 IP, 3-4, 4.66 ERA, 3.80 FIP, 1.57 WHIP, 54 K, 30 BB

This doesn't surprise me too much considering there aren't even 15 starts between these two, but considering Peralta's repertoire and ability to generate weak contact, it's more probable that he posts an ERA under 4.50 than over, and I'd be very surprised if he was allowing over a hit per inning. I don't have any clue how to project Rogers going forward, aside from the opinion that his walk rate will likely rise significantly. Destined to shore up the 2013 bullpen perhaps.

In addition to Gallardo's solid-almost-stellar projection of 33 GS, 208 IP, 13-10, 3.59 ERA, 3.44 FIP, 1.278 WHIP, 217 K, 76 BB. Of course we're still waiting for Kendall's Gallardo prophecies to unfold, so maybe we'll be expecting more until he wins a Cy Young.

And for good measure, Narveson's solid comeback projection. 131 IP, 7-8, 4.26 ERA, 4.26 FIP, 1.41 WHIP, 106 K, 52 BB.

Position players next.

*This is in fact, exactly what I will do.

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