FanPost

2013 Brewers Salary Estimate

EDITOR'S NOTE: I bumped this to the front page and will keep it here so we can update as things change over the winter. - KL

OK folks, sorry this is later than usual, but life happens, right?

Assumptions:

  • The Brewers are going to fill their Starting Pitching needs internally. I know Doug postures a lot during the offseason, but I think the Suppan and Wolf contracts will really prevent him from signing Ryan Dempster to a 3 year deal. I hope. I pray.
  • The team will try to fill a good amount of its bullpen vacancies internally, and need to sign two relievers.
  • There is one bench spot available as well.
  • That's assuming 12 pitchers, 14 position players. (Mat Gamel's salary will have to be paid by the club regardless of if he is ready to go or not since he was injured playing for the team. If they DFA him subsequently, they will only pay a prorated portion. For our purposes here, we will take his full salary)
  • Jean Segura is going to be the primary short stop, with Jeff Bianchi spelling him on the bench.
  • Yes, I know, there are a lot of young and/or unproven guys. But I don't think Doug and Company are looking to sign a bunch of high dollar value contracts this offseason what with the potential of the cheap young guys, expiring contracts, and raises due in 2014. I think they will be content to see what they have this year, and then go upwards next year if need be.
  • In case anyone was wondering, Rickie Weeks is the highest paid Brewers player in 2013. To this point, at any rate.

This year, I'm only using MLBTR's arbitration assumptions. I figure its pointless for me to try to come up with my own, when theirs are usually only marginally different, and pretty close to spot-on every year.

So, here's what I've got so far:

C - Jonathan Lucroy - $800k
C - Martin Maldonado - $490k
1B - Corey Hart - $10.33M
2B - Rickie Weeks - $11.0M
SS - Jean Segura - $490k
3B - Aramis Ramirez - $10M
IF - Taylor Green - $490k
IF - Alex Gonzalez - $1.5M
LF - Ryan Braun - $7M
CF - Carlos Gomez - $4.3M (est was $3.4M arb 4)
RF - Norichika Aoki - $1.85M
OF - Logan Schafer - $490k
OF -

SP - Yovani Gallardo - $8M
SP - Mike Fiers - $490k
SP - Marco Estrada - $1.955M (est was $1.5M arb 1)
SP - Mark Rogers - $490k
SP - Chris Narveson - $840k (est was $800k arb 1)

RP - John Axford - $5M (est was $5.1M arb 1)

RP - Burke Badenhop - $1.55M (est was $1.6M arb 3)

RP - Tyler Thornburg - $490k
RP - Brandon Kintzler - $490k
RP - Jim Henderson - 490k

RP - Mike Gonzalez - $2.25M
RP - Tom Gorzelanny - $2.6M

OTHER - Mat Gamel - $490k

Total Estimated 2013 Payroll $76.425M

You can CLICK RIGHT HERE for the spreadsheet that I will keep updated as signings and pay-rates progress through out the offseason.

As you can see, this payroll is $30M short of last years season-beginning payroll. I think the team will spend on two relievers and possibly a veteran utility sort for the bench. I think this year opening day payroll will probably be around the $75-$78M mark.

EDIT (12/05): Not an egregious omission, but I generally remember to look up base player salaries for the current year. I had forgotten to do that, and as such base salaries increased by $10k to $490k. That (coupled with MooseHaas' astutely pointing out escalators from 2012 into Aoki's 2013 contract) brings total current projection to $68.83M.

Also, then, if the Brewers decide to fill the rest of the 25-man with league minimum players (otherwise known as the lowest possible opening day payroll to this point), they would sit at $70.3M.

As always, feel free to post comments and criticisms alike in below.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Brew Crew Ball

You must be a member of Brew Crew Ball to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Brew Crew Ball. You should read them.

Join Brew Crew Ball

You must be a member of Brew Crew Ball to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Brew Crew Ball. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker