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Comparing The BCB Community Prospect Rankings To Other Lists: The Brewers' Composite Top 50 Prospects

The 2012 BCB Community Prospect Rankings wrapped up yesterday with D' Vontrey Richardson edging out the field for the #17 spot. Here's the final list:

  1. Wily Peralta
  2. Taylor Jungmann
  3. Tyler Thornburg
  4. Taylor Green
  5. Jed Bradley
  6. Scooter Gennett
  7. Logan Schafer
  8. Michael Fiers
  9. Jorge Lopez
  10. Caleb Gindl
  11. Cody Scarpetta
  12. Kentrail Davis
  13. Santo Manzanillo
  14. Orlando Arcia
  15. Zelous Wheeler
  16. Nick Bucci
  17. D' Vontrey Richardson

I wanted to take a moment today to look at how our rankings compare to a dozen others we've seen around the internet this winter, so I've compiled a composite ranking using their results. I'll post a table with the full outcome after the jump, but here are the salient points:

  • Wily Peralta is about as close to a consensus #1 as you'll see. Of the 12 rankings surveyed he was #1 nine times, #2 once and #3 two times. Adding in our first place vote, he scored 645 out of 650 possible points.
  • The other rankings would seem to imply that we missed the boat on Jimmy Nelson (the average of the other rankings has him #10 overall), David Goforth (#11 overall) and Hunter Morris (#16 overall).
  • We're higher than the average on Zelous Wheeler (we have him 15th, the others have him 26th), Nick Bucci (16th v 20th) and Michael Fiers (8th v 12th).

Follow the jump for the full results and a composite list of the Brewers' top 50 prospects.

Star-divide

First, a quick note on my methods. To compile these rankings I gathered Brewer top prospect lists from the following twelve sources:

In each ranking a #1 vote is worth 50 points, a #2 worth 49, and so on. Any honorable mentions are grouped together and assigned points which reflect the midpoint of the players mentioned. For example, John Sickels ranks 20 players and included 20 honorable mentions. Those mentions are treated as #21-40 and all given points as if they were ranked #31.

When you add in our rankings, a total of 650 points were possible. This year exactly 50 players received points:

Composite Rank Player Points Highest Rank Source Our Rank
1 Wily Peralta, RHP 645 1 10 times 1
2 Taylor Jungmann, RHP 633 1 2 times 2
3 Jed Bradley, RHP 622 1 Bullpen Banter 5
4 Tyler Thornburg, RHP 617 2 3 times 3
5 Taylor Green, 3B 583 3 The Outside Corner 4
6 Scooter Gennett, 2B 582 4 Minor League Baseball Prospects 6
7 Cody Scarpetta, RHP 537 6 Minor League Baseball Prospects 11
8 Logan Schafer, OF 533 6 3 times 7
9 Jorge Lopez, RHP 522 5 4 times 9
10 Michael Fiers, RHP 363 8 2 times 8
11 Caleb Gindl, OF 356 9 FanGraphs 10
12 Jimmy Nelson, RHP 355 7 FanGraphs NR
13 Orlando Arcia, SS 344 8 Minor League Rundown 14
14 Santo Manzanillo, RHP 332 10 Baseball Prospect Nation 13
15 David Goforth, RHP 329 11 2 times NR
16 Kentrail Davis, OF 264 7 Minor League Baseball Prospects 12
17 Hunter Morris, 1B 249 8 Minor League Baseball Prospects NR
18 D' Vontrey Richardson, OF 234 15 2 times 17
19 Nick Bucci, RHP 220 13 3 times 16
20 Michael Reed, OF 193 14 3 times NR
21 Khris Davis, OF 183 13 MLB.com NR
22 Yadiel Rivera, SS 123 12 MLB.com NR
23 Drew Gagnon, RHP 122 9 Bullpen Banter NR
24 Zelous Wheeler, 3B 114 15 Brew Crew Ball 15
25 Eric Arnett, RHP 87 10 Minor League Baseball Prospects NR
26 Kyle Heckathorn, RHP 82 14 Minor League Baseball Prospects NR
27 Chris McFarland, SS 76 19 Minor League Baseball Prospects NR
28 Brock Kjeldgaard, 1B/OF 60 14 MLB.com NR
29 Nick Ramirez, 1B 59 20 John Sickels NR
30 Eric Farris, 2B 54 17 MLB.com NR
31 Max Walla, OF 45 28 Minor League Baseball Prospects NR
32 Martin Maldonado, C 39 HM John Sickels NR
33 Gian Rizzo, P 38 13 Minor League Baseball Prospects NR
34 Sean Albury, P 37 HM John Sickels NR
35 Dan Meadows, P 36 HM John Sickels NR
36 Joel Pierce, P 35 16 Minor League Baseball Prospects NR
37 Amaury Rivas, P 32 19 Disciples of Uecker NR
38 Dustin Houle, C 31 20 Minor League Rundown NR
39 Lee Haydel, OF 30 21 Minor League Baseball Prospects NR
40 Brooks Hall, P 29 22 Disciples of Uecker NR
41 Renaldo Jenkins, SS/2B 27 24 Minor League Baseball Prospects NR
42 Del Howell, P 22 29 Minor League Baseball Prospects NR
43 Evan Anundsen, P 21 30 Minor League Baseball Prospects NR
t44 Mark Rogers, P 20 HM John Sickels NR
t44 Matt Miller, P 20 HM John Sickels NR
t44 Jacob Barnes, P 20 HM John Sickels NR
t44 Frankie De La Cruz, P 20 HM John Sickels NR
t44 Dan Merklinger, P 20 HM John Sickels NR
t44 Mike McClendon, P 20 HM John Sickels NR
50 Maverick Lasker, P 18 33 Minor League Baseball Prospects NR

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Very nice compilation

It seems by our high valuation of Zelous, Bucci, and Fiers and our low valuation of Nelson, Goforth, and Morris that BCB has a clear preference for guys with an established track record and lower ceiling over raw players with a higher ceiling.

by Cheeseandcorn on Feb 10, 2012 3:43 PM CST reply actions  

And names.

We love names. David Goforth will make the all-name squad in 2013.

by mpbMKE on Feb 10, 2012 4:07 PM CST up reply actions   1 recs

I'll be totally honest.

I voted Zelous for the name.

fka "warwick5s"

by DEUCE SLUICE on Feb 10, 2012 4:42 PM CST up reply actions  

I don't know

How he who shall not be named wasn’t mentioned at all. Did all 12 get spammed last year?

When there is a scuffle in Ireland, there’s no need to specifically mention in the news story that alcohol was involved

by Getting Yosted on Feb 10, 2012 8:43 PM CST via mobile up reply actions  

Shrug

Peralta isn’t a consensus top 100 guy around baseball. The people that like him seem to love him, but he also seems to get consistently overlooked. Whether that’s oversight or simply a variation of opinion, I don’t know.

Either way, the hype of being a first round pick was probably enough to overshadow a lot of the names in a relatively weak system.

Now that's great tasting chicken!

by Kyle Lobner on Feb 11, 2012 12:36 PM CST up reply actions  

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