Monday's Frosty Mug
Some things to read while digging out your guitar.
We're still five short days away from Brewer pitchers and catchers reporting to Maryvale, but we're already talking about "visa issues:" John Axford's trip to Arizona over the weekend was delayed when homeland security wouldn't allow his young son into the country. I'd assume this will be resolved in plenty of time for Axford to make it to the first scheduled workout, but as of yesterday it was still an issue.
Elsewhere in delays, Ryan Braun's appeal process continues to drag out. The arbitration panel's 25 day window to render a judgment expires today but Tom Haudricourt says no announcement is expected, meaning they've likely asked for (and inexplicably been granted) more time. Ken Rosenthal makes the case that a Braun suspension would be a good thing for baseball as it would remove any doubts about favoritism in the system.
Meanwhile, the Brewers are still facing the challenge of preparing for the season without knowing if the reigning NL MVP will be available on Opening Day. Matthew Pouliot of Hardball Talk has projections for the Brewer starting lineup with and without Braun. Jon Paul Morosi of Fox Sports says "the onus will be on the pitching staff" to cover the offensive production gap left with Prince Fielder gone and Braun potentially suspended.
Regardless of how the Braun situation plays out, the Brewers' best chance to win in the next few years is probably 2012. Adam McCalvy addressed the perception that this is an "all-in" year in his spring training preview. Tyler Lockman of Fox Sports Arizona also has a camp preview.
I find it hard to believe the Brewers are still active on the free agent market at this point, but Jon Heyman lists them as one of three teams that could be a good fit for veteran shortstop Edgar Renteria. Renteria is 35 and hit .251/.306/.348 in 96 games for the Reds last season, playing almost exclusively at short and making $2.1 million. UZR/150 says he's been a league average or above shortstop defensively each of the last three seasons.
I still think it's possible, however, that the Brewers could work out an extension with Zack Greinke in the coming days. Keep Turning Up The Heat! says the team needs to make extending Greinke their first priority.
It'll be interesting to see how Nyjer Morgan handles his second season in Milwaukee following his meteoric rise to stardom in year one. No matter what happens, though, he'll always have this: Sully Baseball notes that he's one of just 24 players that have ended a postseason series with a walkoff hit. Morgan also hit a home run off a 61.2 mph Tim Wakefield knuckleball last season, and Baseball Nation says it was the slowest pitch hit out all year.
Carlos Gomez projects to spend most of 2012 as the other half of Nyjer Morgan's platoon in center field. Jack Moore of Disciples of Uecker uses heat maps to make a compelling case that Gomez should be standing a little closer to the plate while batting.
Ron Roenicke is getting ready for his second season as a major league manager, and the JS (behind the paywall) has a Q&A with him. Topics discussed include Prince Fielder, Ryan Braun, Johnny Narron, Doug Melvin, Mat Gamel and more.
Roenicke's rookie campaign will be a tough act to follow: Brewers 101 wonders if the 2011 Brewers were the best team in franchise history.
In the minors:
- Seedlings To Stars compiled several top 100 prospect rankings and used them to rank the Brewer farm system 24th in all of baseball.
- Speaking of top 100 lists, Kevin Goldstein of Baseball Prospectus has Wily Peralta #92 on his. Peralta is the only Brewer mentioned.
- Cream City Cables has profiles of Peralta and Taylor Jungmann, while Brewer Nation has a look at Caleb Gindl.
- BCB Community Prospect #3 Tyler Thornburg is now on Twitter. He's been added to the list.
Your first opportunity to start earning free 2012 tickets is upon us: The Brewers and BP are bringing back the "C'mon Back Card" promotion this season.
Around baseball:
Cardinals: Signed reliever Scott Linebrink to a minor league deal.
Indians: Signed shortstop Asdrubal Cabrera to a one year, $4.55 million deal to avoid arbitration and signed pitcher Jon Garland to a minor league deal.
Orioles: Signed reliever Luis Ayala to a one year deal with a club option for 2013 and designated outfielder Matt Angle for assignment.
Rangers: Signed catcher Mike Napoli to a one year, $9.4 million deal to avoid arbitration.
If you'd like a recap of this winter's free agent movement, Flip Flop Fly Ball has a great graphic showing when and where players signed this offseason.
The Brewer spring training countdown still has a few days left, but Mariner pitchers and catchers have already reported to Arizona and held their first workout yesterday. (h/t Baseball Musings) Lookout Landing is on top of it and already has their first evaluation of a player haircut.
Today in baseball economics: A rumor surfaced over the weekend that the Padres' new TV deal will be worth $75 million per season, although Gaslamp Ball was quick to throw some cold water on it. Regardless, Baseball Nation has a look at how surging local TV revenue could impact the game going forward.
In case you'd forgotten, here's a reminder that relief pitcher usage has changed dramatically in the last 50 years: High Heat Stats notes that Warren Spahn had more career complete games (382) than wins (363). The Brewer career record for complete games is 81, held by Mike Caldwell. Ben Sheets (18) and CC Sabathia (7) are the only Brewers to collect more than 5 since 2000.
You may also have forgotten that at one point in history we relied pretty heavily on pay phones. Larry Granillo of Baseball Prospectus unearthed an old listing of pay phone numbers one could call to get an update on the score at various ballparks.
This might be my favorite post from the weekend, and it's a cautionary tale for all of us: If you're getting your picture taken with your favorite player, make sure the person taking the picture knows what they're doing.
This morning's edition of Today In Brewer History celebrates Matt Mieske's 44th birthday. Today is also Sal Bando's birthday, as celebrated over at The Platoon Advantage. Bando was hit by 75 pitches in his career, the most ever for a player born on February 13. Ben Oglivie celebrated his birthday on Saturday, and his 35 HBP are the third most ever for a player born on February 11.
Now, if you'll excuse me, I'm going back to tampering.
Drink up.
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Just think: A handful of years ago, Scott Linebrink was worth 3 minor league players.
Now he’s the minor league player.
"If we want to sign a Type A free agent, we would lose a second-round pick, but we don't have a way to get picks back. Our whole Draft process needs to be redone."
~Doug Melvin
"Something always good seems to happen when he's in there. Numbers matched up good."
~RRR
by Charlie Marlow on Feb 13, 2012 10:53 AM CST reply actions
No one will ever be able to convince me that that was a bad trade
Will Inman was exposed with prejudice when he hit AA ball, so nothing was lost in picking up Linebrink.
I don't think trading for middle relief is ever a good idea.
Some people like cucumbers better pickled, though.
"If we want to sign a Type A free agent, we would lose a second-round pick, but we don't have a way to get picks back. Our whole Draft process needs to be redone."
~Doug Melvin
"Something always good seems to happen when he's in there. Numbers matched up good."
~RRR
by Charlie Marlow on Feb 13, 2012 11:22 AM CST up reply actions
that was more like the Mets just giving K-Rod to the Brewers for nothing haha
I am too drunk to taste this chicken.
by ThroughBeingCool on Feb 13, 2012 12:44 PM CST up reply actions
Basically
There was zero prospect cost.
"If we want to sign a Type A free agent, we would lose a second-round pick, but we don't have a way to get picks back. Our whole Draft process needs to be redone."
~Doug Melvin
"Something always good seems to happen when he's in there. Numbers matched up good."
~RRR
by Charlie Marlow on Feb 13, 2012 1:07 PM CST up reply actions
Half of that trade, which Melvin admitted at the time
Was that the Brewers got draft picks when Linebrink left.
For whom they picked up Evan Frederickson and Cody Adams
Further illustrating the organizations biggest weak point in talent evaluation and development.
Oh please
They also picked up Lawrie, Odorizzi and Brett Lawrie. Evaluating pick by pick is a really poor way to judge a draft – its much better to look at the overall draft class.
Get a ife broseph
by Supertramp on Feb 13, 2012 12:08 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
Lawrie was so good he got drafted twice
Meant to say Logan Schafer, who looks to be good value for a 3rd round pick
Get a ife broseph
Lawrie, AND Brett Lawrie?
quite the haul.
Applying pop culture to Brewers discussions since 2009, earning the nickname of "Our Little Abed".
Can you imagine 9 Lawrie's?
All the douchiest Facebook pictures you could imagine…
Applying pop culture to Brewers discussions since 2009, earning the nickname of "Our Little Abed".
by Yar Nivek on Feb 13, 2012 12:24 PM CST up reply actions 6 recs
maybe his sister came in a package deal?
"I agree but dont agree"
by juggernaut400 on Feb 13, 2012 2:13 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
Thats a ridiculous argument
The picks were still made at those points in the draft, so the selections deserve scrutiny.
Yes in that draft as a whole, they selected Brett Lawrie and Jake Odirizzi, but those two picks in no way influenced or enhanced, or even diminished the Frederickson and Adams picks.
If you want to state that the best part of the Linebrink trade was the two resulting draft picks, then the twp picks made as compensation are also a part of the evaluation of that trade.
As stated above, I felt the acquisiton of Linebrink for 3 no name prospects was a good one for the Brewers.
They went overslot with Odorizzi
You don’t think going overslot with one first rounder influences who they take with their other first rounders? Seriously?
Get a ife broseph
by Supertramp on Feb 13, 2012 1:01 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
They didnt necessarily known what it was going to cost
When they picked Odirizzi, they probably had an idea. Regardless, it shouldnt have affected who they selected in later rounds, sort of defeats the purpose of the draft. And if you continue to play the “over slot” argument, it plays right into my belief that the team frequently avoids the best player in lieu of the easiest to sign.
The Brewers have a draft budget, like all teams
If you want to show that they have a really small draft budget – please do. From what I can tell, its about average.
When teams have a lot of draft picks in the top 100, they’ll mix it up with some guys who are likely to go overslot (like Odorizzi) with safer guys who can be had at slot (Frederickson, Adams). If you paid attention to the 2011 draft, you’ll notice the Rays did this.
Arguing that picks happen indepently from each other and teams don’t have their overall draft budget on their mind when they make a pick is just a weird argument to make, especially since if I remember correctly, you follow the MLB draft pretty closely.
Get a ife broseph
by Supertramp on Feb 13, 2012 1:39 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
Agree.
This is a trade that I think most people would have agreed was the right move at the time, but didn’t pan out in the way that was expected. Easy to diminish it now, but hard to believe this was the expected outcome.
by mpbMKE on Feb 13, 2012 1:38 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
True dat.
Hindsight being 20/20 and all, I don’t like the trade in retrospect, but primarily because it didn’t do what most of us were hoping at the time (shoring up the bullpen so we could get to the playoffs and giving us two good players in the draft).
Obviously, the thing to do different would be to make better draft picks.
Remember: Schadenfreude is still Freude.
I may be misremembering, but I thought everyone hated the Linebrink trade when it happened. On here, at least.
Solve for X: 5.5 (Fielder) + 0.3 (McGehee) + 0.5 (Betancourt) < X (Gamel) + 3.6 (Ramirez) + 1.1 (Gonzalez)... X >= 1.7 fWAR!
I think that was before I was here.
Or during I period I wasn’t active. I liked it, I thought the popular reactions at the time were generally positive/neutral. You’re probably right about the reaction here, though.
Yeah, it wasn't so much hating on the idea of trading Inman and Garrison
But to get a middling setup guy it was an overpay, at the time. I think we wanted a starter. A lot of people predicted that Thatcher would end the year with better stats than Linebrink, and he did. Funny how Linebrink was actually pretty bad and no one the Brewers traded away ended up really panning out anyways.
E: George 4 (5, throw, throw, throw, throw).
Linebrink actually had a 3.55 ERA with the Brewers
Had a 3.80 ERA with the Padres before the trade.
He was about what he should have been, unfortunately the Brewers went to crap almost immediately after he was acquired, so hard to have fond memories of his time with the team.
Get a ife broseph
Good point.
It’s easy to remember the team turned to pud after acquiring Linebrink, but hard to disassociate the things as being related to one another.
They don't have a 100% success rate like they would if backtocali ran things.
Solve for X: 5.5 (Fielder) + 0.3 (McGehee) + 0.5 (Betancourt) < X (Gamel) + 3.6 (Ramirez) + 1.1 (Gonzalez)... X >= 1.7 fWAR!
by SRB on Feb 13, 2012 3:21 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
Of course not, the Padres made it
"Our attitude is we look at ourselves and we grade ourselves. And even if we don’t like what’s happening on the other side, we don’t make a — it’s not our business" - Tony Larussa
Hey look, I agree with BTC!
"fortunate, but also lucky"
by Ted Simmons Speed Camp on Feb 13, 2012 5:26 PM CST up reply actions
That seems like a pretty good deal for the Cardinals.
He hasn’t been that bad the past few years, and there is no risk in letting him try and win a spot in the back of the bullpen on a minor league deal.
by Noah Jarosh on Feb 13, 2012 11:23 AM CST up reply actions
Can't argue with a minor league deal, but he's been below replacement level the last two seasons.
0.3 fWAR total since he was on the Brewers (4 seasons, 200 IP)
Solve for X: 5.5 (Fielder) + 0.3 (McGehee) + 0.5 (Betancourt) < X (Gamel) + 3.6 (Ramirez) + 1.1 (Gonzalez)... X >= 1.7 fWAR!
I don't really like WAR for relievers.
I feel like the number of innings doesn’t give way to much fluctuation between most relievers.
I'm not nitpicking...
I really don’t know what you mean by “doesn’t give way to much”
Applying pop culture to Brewers discussions since 2009, earning the nickname of "Our Little Abed".
I mean that most relievers will end up being within a half win of each other.
Which is basically meaningless.
Chad Qualls also had -0.3 fWAR.
He also had a 3.51 ERA and 3.90 FIP in 77 games. I would be happy having Qualls on my team.
So "doesn't give much" fluctuation.
Yeah, I agree, there’s not enough of a difference and the sample size is way too small with too many variables out of the reliever’s hands to make it meaningful.
Applying pop culture to Brewers discussions since 2009, earning the nickname of "Our Little Abed".
And now it's been cleared up.
Applying pop culture to Brewers discussions since 2009, earning the nickname of "Our Little Abed".
Yeah but he's been basically replacement level over his last 200+ IP
Not that there’s anything wrong with a replacement level reliever on a minor league deal.
Solve for X: 5.5 (Fielder) + 0.3 (McGehee) + 0.5 (Betancourt) < X (Gamel) + 3.6 (Ramirez) + 1.1 (Gonzalez)... X >= 1.7 fWAR!
Heatmap
That is one of the most ridiculous heatmaps I’ve ever seen. Basically, if it’s out of the strike zone, he’ll mash it, but put it over the plate and he’s virtually useless.
The problem with heatmaps is that they measure outcomes of pitches swung at and put into play.
The vast majority of pitches in there are probably still either swings and misses or foul balls.
Furthermore, most of his slugging on balls in play for balls over the plate is somewhere between green (.550) and yellow-to-orange (roughly .700). And the biggest hole is down and in, where you’re only a few inches from his biggest hotspot.
Now that's great tasting chicken!
by Kyle Lobner on Feb 13, 2012 11:23 AM CST up reply actions
The other problem with heat maps
is that they make it pretty difficult to find Arnold Schwarzenegger when he covers himself with swamp mud…
I see your point though. It is sad really, the pitch Gomez loves the most is the one that’s worst for him.
by NatronJ on Feb 13, 2012 12:03 PM CST up reply actions 2 recs
Yup.
I don’t know if I buy into the idea of standing closer to the plate. He’d probably be better served if he slowed down his swing, as it seems that he’s usually out in front of pitches, hence his tendancy to pull the ball. But good luck getting him to slow down.
It’s not a surprise that Carlos Gomez is doing something too quickly.
Or his poor mechanics.
I’m not a baseball coach, but even I can see his swing breaks down early. I wasn’t commenting on whether or not he should move in closer to the plate, merely that when he connects on those pitches outside the zone, he belts them.
I wasn't trying to argue.
I agreed with your statement, and I had a separate comment about the article.
Oh I know.
But since I got a couple responses in that vein, I felt a little clarification was in order.
TWSS?
"fortunate, but also lucky"
by Ted Simmons Speed Camp on Feb 13, 2012 5:27 PM CST up reply actions
The A's rather surprisingly end up winning the Cespedes stakes
with a deal of 4 years for $36 million.
I know he is a younger, more powerful hit than Aoki but is he really this much better a player?
It sounds like upside potential as much as anything else
The A’s are always playing high-risk, high-reward (they signed Sheets last year). It sounds like Cespedes has a high upside and if he develops into a near-average defensive player and a great bat, then they locked in a great CF for a substantial discount compared to the current market price for free agent CF. If he develops, then they can flip him with 1 or 2 years left on his contract for some affordable young players.
They might’ve also just had a $9 million hole in their payroll and he was the best chance for an impact player they thought they would be able to get this year or next.
Can I just say that I love seeing the A's make moves like this.
Take that limited payroll and lock it up in one guy. Brilliant.
Though you’re right in that they’ll almost certainly look to flip him if he pans out.
Remember: Schadenfreude is still Freude.
Question...
How do you pronounce his name? The only way I can think of that doesn’t sound dirty is “Yennis,” but that would be a non-standard Spanish pronunciation.
While it may be technically incorrect...
…the double-“N” spelling is probably better, because it pushes you toward that pronunciation.
speaking of nyjer
any word yet on what the his bobblehead is going to look like? I’m hoping for something like this

"You guys know me. I take a long time to analyze things."
- Ned Yost
by SunglassesAtNight on Feb 13, 2012 2:21 PM CST reply actions 1 recs
Here's what his looked like with the Nationals

All the Brewers bobbleheads have been in pretty standard poses, so I’m not sure if they would go with something like what you have pictured.
Not all of them.
Best two cases I can think of are Ryan Braun and CC Sabathia. Both used poses from two of the biggest moments in recent franchise history. I could see them doing a bobblehead of Morgan in a pose after the game-winning hit in Game 5 of the NLDS.
So, the picture that SunglassesAfternight suggested could be a real possibility.
Contributor on Brew Crew Ball, Commissioner of Prognostikeggers, Owner of a broken sarcasm detector
Retro Cecil Cooper was in similar famous pose...
Heading to 1st with fist pump after hitting 2-run single against Angels in 82 ALDS game…
all of the bobble heads from that year were designed after big moments in brewers history. also, the rickie weeks bobble from several years ago was a pretty unconventional pose and still one of my favorites
"You guys know me. I take a long time to analyze things."
- Ned Yost
by SunglassesAtNight on Feb 13, 2012 4:29 PM CST up reply actions
I could go for him "Pulling it back and letting it fly" like Usain Bolt too.
Applying pop culture to Brewers discussions since 2009, earning the nickname of "Our Little Abed".
Flying a shark kite.
Make it happen, Brewers.
by mpbMKE on Feb 13, 2012 5:24 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
The long national nightmare is over.
Operation #FreeLittleAx has been accomplished! #OnwardToPhoenix #The8MonthOldWasAllowedToEnterHisHomeland
Contributor on Brew Crew Ball, Commissioner of Prognostikeggers, Owner of a broken sarcasm detector
by -JP- on Feb 13, 2012 2:29 PM CST reply actions 4 recs
By the way
I hope McCalvy has an article or blog post on what happened. I’d like to hear the details on what happened, assuming it’s not something that needs to stay secret..
Contributor on Brew Crew Ball, Commissioner of Prognostikeggers, Owner of a broken sarcasm detector
Yeah
I would like to know why Homeland Security is spending its bazillion dollar budget on stopping 8 month American Citizens coming from Canada. Perhaps baby terrorism is a growing trend?
by Whiffleball Tony on Feb 13, 2012 7:03 PM CST up reply actions
Biological warfare.
Just ask any day care worker or elementary school employee.
Applying pop culture to Brewers discussions since 2009, earning the nickname of "Our Little Abed".
Good point
My little one was home from daycare today after a nasty cold all weekend.
by Whiffleball Tony on Feb 13, 2012 7:42 PM CST up reply actions
Probably to make sure people aren't stealing babies.
I’m guessing it had nothing to do with terrorism.
Could be.
I was joking about the terrorism.
by Whiffleball Tony on Feb 13, 2012 7:44 PM CST up reply actions
Along those same lines...
I went to Mexico on vacation earlier this year and noticed as I was heading back that the security at the Cancun airport was just like US airport security pre-9/11. So despite all the increased security on flights originating in the US, flights coming into the US aren’t much safer. Makes you wonder if all the money that they’re spending on domestic security is really worth it.
We flew into Milwaukee
so if you’re familiar with that airport, you know that their international terminal is kind of a joke… a small separate building from the rest of the airport that forces you to walk outside for a couple blocks with your luggage to get to the parking structure.
Anyway, you stand in line to get to the customs agent, then hand them your declaration form and passport… that’s about it. There were only about 24 people on our return flight so getting through customs went faster than normal. IIRC, that’s really no different than how it went before 9/11, but I’m sure there’s more going on behind the scenes.
Free Little Ax!

Applying pop culture to Brewers discussions since 2009, earning the nickname of "Our Little Abed".
by Yar Nivek on Feb 13, 2012 5:57 PM CST up reply actions 4 recs
Can we argue about something already?
Otherwise we have to go back to talking about video games. I just bought a new PS3 because my old one (1st generation, it lasted forever) burned out last summer. I’m crossing off the days until The Show comes out in March.
I finally popped in the PS3-remastered collection of ICO and Shadow of the Colossus last night
I know both games are highly-regarded but I know nothing about them. Started with ICO, man it’s a creepy atmosphere. Only played a couple hours, not sure if I’m going to love it, but we’ll see.
by Archibaldcrane on Feb 13, 2012 4:36 PM CST up reply actions
Had to re-read that.
Thought it said “I finally pooped in the PS3…”
"If we want to sign a Type A free agent, we would lose a second-round pick, but we don't have a way to get picks back. Our whole Draft process needs to be redone."
~Doug Melvin
"Something always good seems to happen when he's in there. Numbers matched up good."
~RRR
by Charlie Marlow on Feb 13, 2012 5:41 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
I really want to like it,
but Shadow of the Colossus has just so much dead time in between battles. Hopefully they shrunk the world a bit. I want more out of a video game than watching a horses ass bounce up and down for a few hours. That said, the fights were pretty awesome.
Baseball, you can't get here soon enough.
I'll buy The Show 12
But I doubt I’ll ever stop entirely playing Show 11, just because I love having Prince on the Brewers.
I’ve been playing Ratchet & Clank with the Braunophile lately – great series for 8 – 10 year olds.
Remember: Schadenfreude is still Freude.
I don't consider 5+ years "forever"
but then again, my original 360 had to get repaired a few years after I got it (luckily for free).
Older 360s had a 60% fail rate within the first 12 months. Older PS3s were 40%. First generation systems were even worse, and I bought mine pre-owned. I got more than my money’s worth.
The PS3 Slim and whatever the new smaller 360 is called are supposed to be more durable. Let’s hope.
I didn't realize the fail rate for PS3s was that high
Did they offer free repairs like Microsoft did to the original owners?
On the flip side, my original Xbox is still working perfectly… granted I don’t really play it much anymore.
As long as it was under warranty.
Those rates are from memory, so I might be off. Game Informer did a study on it about a while ago. I just remember 360s were significantly higher.
I'll be spending Valentine's Day watching the conclusion of the current installment of the Link-Zelda love story.
The story in Skwyard Sword did eventually get better, but there was too much of a buildup to it. There were at least 2 or 3 times that I got so bored with the game that I almost quit playing.
Contributor on Brew Crew Ball, Commissioner of Prognostikeggers, Owner of a broken sarcasm detector
Opening Day Ticket Opportunity Lottery registration ends tomorrow.
I wonder if I can actually get a chance to purchase Opening Day tickets this year. It would be nice to actually go.
Contributor on Brew Crew Ball, Commissioner of Prognostikeggers, Owner of a broken sarcasm detector
Yeah
An expensive friend…
Contributor on Brew Crew Ball, Commissioner of Prognostikeggers, Owner of a broken sarcasm detector
Sorta like women.
Applying pop culture to Brewers discussions since 2009, earning the nickname of "Our Little Abed".
Except for Bud Light Platinum.
It's top shelf quality beer
Applying pop culture to Brewers discussions since 2009, earning the nickname of "Our Little Abed".
Depends on the woman
"If we want to sign a Type A free agent, we would lose a second-round pick, but we don't have a way to get picks back. Our whole Draft process needs to be redone."
~Doug Melvin
"Something always good seems to happen when he's in there. Numbers matched up good."
~RRR
by Charlie Marlow on Feb 13, 2012 7:41 PM CST up reply actions 2 recs









































