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The JBL2 Fantasy Baseball. Fun With Projections


I had a few hours to kill when I couldn't sleep for some god known reason last night, so I decided to play with the numbers that ESPN Projected our teams to achieve. Offensively, I took some libertiees with lineups to make sure the optimal lineup was in (i.e., I don't think Tim will have Morse on the bench, otherwise his ringer status will be called into question. Most controvercially, I used Ryan Howard's total production over Brennon Boesch because the counting stats were slightly better for KRAW). All pitchers were included because streaming starters is a normal thing in fantasy baseball. This impacted just one category (QS) though I don't think it would be too much of an issue. So here's how the stats played out:

TEAM R RBI SB OBP SLG QS K SV ERA WHIP
NTHNTTN 930 933 93 0.3579 0.4597 164 1592 52 3.587 1.264
KRAW 888 927 147 0.3341 0.4505 150 1415 78 3.357 1.199
LEAM 959 900 143 0.3383 0.4495 159 1520 92 3.6 1.242
Hyatt 947 821 192 0.3407 0.4342 94 1370 105 3.386 1.177
JEO 957 866 177 0.3435 0.4438 134 1502 178 3.768 1.267
JP 864 908 154 0.3334 0.4591 115 1224 101 3.486 1.223
Charlie 967 993 111 0.3453 0.485 106 1166 19 3.557 1.236
STLH 853 790 190 0.3413 0.4386 145 1631 81 3.625 1.262
Golf 903 891 126 0.3499 0.4583 133 1479 52 3.687 1.252
Chee 911 896 129 0.3335 0.4544 161 1584 73 3.668 1.275
SALTIRE 951 814 174 0.346 0.452 102 1294 77 3.647 1.277
Timcy 826 799 137 0.3452 0.4442 129 1361 71 3.377 1.221
Tepo 864 784 139 0.339 0.4293 125 1566 48 3.291 1.197
Saber 838 815 138 0.3352 0.4313 105 1220 126 3.284 1.227

That's a lot of numbers to sort through. Luckily for you, I did. If this league would play as a roto league, and teams hit their actual ESPN projections, here's how everyone would finish:

R RBI SB OBP SLG QS K SV ERA WHIP TOTAL
NTHNTTN 9 13 1 14 13 14 13 4 7 4 92
KRAW 6 12 9 3 8 11 7 8 12 12 88
LEAM 13 10 8 5 7 12 10 10 6 7 88
Hyatt 10 6 14 7 3 1 6 12 10 14 83
JEO 12 7 12 9 5 9 9 14 1 3 81
JP 5 11 10 1 12 5 3 11 9 10 77
Charlie 14 14 2 11 14 4 1 1 8 8 77
STLH 3 2 13 8 4 10 14 9 5 5 73
Golf 7 8 3 13 11 8 8 3 2 6 69
Chee 8 9 4 2 10 13 12 6 3 2 69
SALTIRE 11 4 11 12 9 2 4 7 4 1 65
Timcy 1 3 5 10 6 7 5 5 11 11 64
Tepo 4 1 7 3 1 6 11 2 13 13 61
Saber 2 5 6 4 2 3 2 13 14 9 60

I

I didn't award half points, but you can see that NTHNTTN's balanced approach of sluggers and starters while punting SB has him on top. Charlie also has an offensive juggernaut, but did not do as well in the pitching, dooming him to the middle of the pack.

My theory that relievers with high K's can bring you great pitching results while punting QS seems to be effective, though I need some more power to compete and become elite. Heck, getting off the bottom in the starters category would be enough.

KRAW and LEAM also have very good and balanced squads, while punting not much. The teams that loaded up on ERA, (Tepo Timcy, and Saber) did not seem to fair very well, since all 3 of their offensives are not very good.

A couple notes on stats. JEO leads the world in saves by over 50. if you need some, hit him up. And if you need Slugging, Charlie leads that category by over 30 slugging points. Charlie, you've got Hyatt on line 2.

This is a fun discussion piece, and may give you some insight on what your team may need to improve on. Feel free to discuss.

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