Brewers 2, Dodgers 1: Tonight's Turning Points

1) Jerry Hairston Jr's ninth inning double play: +.345 WPA

I think this play felt even bigger than it was. After John Axford allowed the first two batters in the ninth to reach with a one run cushion, he got two outs on one play with this chopper to Rickie Weeks.

2) Matt Kemp's ninth inning double: -.243 WPA

The Dodgers' MVP candidate made us all a little extra uncomfortable by doubling to left center following a long at bat to lead off the ninth inning, putting the potential tying run in scoring position.

3) Ryan Braun's first inning two-run home run: +.189 WPA (Video)

The Brewers' entire offensive output tonight came on this play, as Ryan Braun took a Nathan Eovaldi pitch to the opposite field to give Michael Fiers and the Crew an early 2-0 lead.

4) James Loney's ninth inning groundout: +.148 WPA (Video)

Off the bat I thought this might be a game-tying single, but Cody Ransom was able to make the play on a ball hit up the middle to record the game's final out.

5) Andre Ethier's sixth inning RBI double: -.141 WPA (Video)

The only blemish on Fiers' record tonight was this ball, which drove home Ivan De Jesus and brought the Dodgers back within one.

The next five:

6) Andre Ethier's ninth inning hit by pitch: -.076 WPA
7) Ivan De Jesus' sixth inning double: -.061 WPA
8) Jerry Hairston Jr's sixth inning groundout: +.060 WPA
9) Francisco Rodriguez strikes out Elian Herrera in the eighth: +.059 WPA
10) Michael Fiers strikes out Nathan Eovaldi in the fifth: +.058 WPA

And here's the Win Expectancy Graph:

Source: FanGraphs

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