Brewers 8, Braves 2: Tonight's Turning Points

We're only going to do the top five, because the points after the top five drop off incredibly fast.

1) Rickie Weeks' Three Run Home Run in the Fifth Inning: +.322 WPA

This was by far the biggest play in the game. With Jeff Bianchi and Norichika Aoki on base, he sent a home run out to right center to give the Brewers a 3-2 lead that they wouldn't relinquish.

2) Jason Heyward's Solo Home Run in the First Inning: +.104 WPA

The Braves got an early lead thanks to this solo home run in the first inning, giving them a 1-0 lead.

3) Jonathan Lucroy's RBI Single in the Fifth Inning: +.094 WPA

After the home run from Rickie Weeks, Ryan Braun and Aramis Ramirez got on base and were on first and second when Jonathan Lucroy came to the plate. He hit a single to score Braun and give the Brewers a 4-2 lead.

4) Freddie Freeman Singles in the Fourth Inning: +.091 WPA

Chipper Jones walked to start the inning, then Freddie Freeman singled to put runners on first and third. At this point, the game was 1-0 and the Braves were threatening a big inning to blow the game open themselves.

4) Travis Ishikawa's Bases-Clearing RBI Double in the Fifth Inning: +.091 WPA

The Brewers had a 4-2 lead in the fifth inning and the bases loaded when Travis Ishikawa came up to bat. His bases-clearing double blew the game wide open for the Brewers as they turned a 4-2 lead into a 7-2 blowout.

Here's the win expectancy graph:


Source: FanGraphs

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