FanPost

BCB Tracking Poll - Results for Week 5

Lots of meetings today, so this is getting up a little late. Coming off a 4-2 week, the Brewers got themselves back to .500 on Sunday, despite an extremely ugly bullpen meltdown in one of the games against the Braves. The community (N = 57) is continuing a big run-up in support for David Stearns, now nearly at majority strong approval, but they also give him worse marks on the bullpen than those for Craig Counsell. Other notable findings include a fairly big jump in the expectation that Ryan Braun will be traded this year, and a major clustering in win expectations -- all respondents were between 71 and 85 wins, with the median in the 76-80 range.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Craig Counsell is doing as the manager of the Brewers?

                    Wk 5  Wk 4  Wk 3  Wk 2  Wk 1
Strongly approve     18%   14%   24%    7%   28%
Approve              77%   78%   65%   77%   65%
Disapprove            0%    0%    3%    4%    1%
Strongly disapprove   2%    2%    2%    2%    0%
Undecided             4%    6%    7%   10%    5%

2. Do you approve or disapprove of the job David Stearns is doing as the general manager of the Brewers?

                    Wk 5  Wk 4  Wk 3  Wk 2  Wk 1
Strongly approve     44%   35%   31%   25%   29%
Approve              51%   62%   65%   68%   61%
Disapprove            2%    0%    0%    0%    3%
Strongly disapprove   0%    2%    0%    2%    1%
Undecided             4%    2%    5%    6%    5%

chart05-1_zpsqy7ulqxe.0.png

3. How many games do you expect the Brewers to win in the 2017 regular season?

            Wk 5  Wk 4  Wk 3  Wk 2  Wk 1
65 or less    0%    0%    2%    3%    3%
66 to 70      0%    5%    3%   19%    9%
71 to 75     44%   48%   42%   54%   51%
76 to 80     44%   37%   40%   21%   36%
81 to 85     12%   11%   10%    3%    0%
85 to 90      0%    0%    3%    3%    1%
91 or more    0%    0%    0%    0%    0%

4. What percent chance do you give the Brewers of making the postseason this year?

                Wk 5  Wk 4  Wk 3  Wk 2  Wk 1
Less than 5      18%   21%   24%   43%   31%
5 to 9           26%   29%   27%   22%   28%
10 to 20         44%   33%   32%   25%   28%
More than 20     13%   17%   16%   10%   13%
----
Mean             13%   13%   12%    8%   10%

chart05-2_zpsig4ps6va.0.png

5. Do you expect Ryan Braun to be traded during the 2017 season?

            May   Apr
Yes         23%   16%
No          68%   80%
Undecided    9%    4%

6. When do you think the Brewers will next make the postseason?

                May   Apr
2017             2%    0%
2018            33%   16%
2019            54%   53%
2020             7%   24%
2021             2%    1%
2022 or later    2%    5%

7. How many home runs will Eric Thames hit in 2017?

Fewer than 20    0%
20-29            5%
30-39           88%
40-49            7%
50 or more       0%

8. If he is still near the top of MLB in hitting in July, should the Brewers consider trading Eric Thames for a realistic return?

Yes, regardless of their record                                   7%
Yes, but only if they are clearly out of postseason contention   16%
No, they should not trade him                                    77%

9. What grade do you give Craig Counsell for his bullpen management so far in 2017?

A    4%
B   46%
C   40%
D   11%
F    0%

10. What grade do you give David Stearns for his bullpen construction so far in 2017?

A    0%
B   23%
C   68%
D    9%
F    0%