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Bo Hall

#21 / Pitcher / Milwaukee Brewers

6-0

180

R

R

Sep 05, 1980

Projecting the Second Half

Sal Baxamusa at the Hardball Times recently published a very useful tool: downloadable Excel spreadsheets that produce Marcel projections for players. Marcels are basically weighted averages and are surprisingly competitive with advanced projection systems like PECOTA or ZiPS. For our purposes--predicting the most likely immediate future performance to evaluate, for instance, whether we should get a new second baseman--Marcel will do just fine. So, let's see what we've got:

Jason Kendall
PeriodAVGOBPSLG
Current.258.339.333
Balance.259.330.329
Total.258.334.331

Prince Fielder
PeriodAVGOBPSLG
Current.270.357.488
Balance.282.374.531
Total.275.364.507

Rickie Weeks
PeriodAVGOBPSLG
Current.217.320.367
Balance.247.357.409
Total.231.335.386

Bill Hall
PeriodAVGOBPSLG
Current.234.294.431
Balance.260.326.465
Total.246.308.446

Russell Branyan
PeriodAVGOBPSLG
Current.245.331.604
Balance.236.332.469
Total.239.332.515

J.J. Hardy
PeriodAVGOBPSLG
Current.283.352.476
Balance.273.335.448
Total.279.343.463

Ryan Braun
PeriodAVGOBPSLG
Current.286.324.549
Balance.303.354.567
Total.293.337.556

Mike Cameron
PeriodAVGOBPSLG
Current.231.320.481
Balance.246.329.443
Total.240.325.461

Gabe Kapler
PeriodAVGOBPSLG
Current.315.352.517
Balance.272.332.425
Total.294.341.471

Corey Hart
PeriodAVGOBPSLG
Current.289.327.504
Balance.285.340.496
Total.287.331.501

Ben Sheets
PeriodERAIPHKBBWHIP
Current2.85123109108281.11
Balance3.47878171221.18
Total3.11210190179501.14

CC Sabathia
PeriodERAIPHKBBWHIP
Current3.67137.313013740124
Balance3.21989486251.22
Total3.48235224223651.23

Jeff Suppan
PeriodERAIPHKBBWHIP
Current4.71101.311855441.60
Balance4.44728242271.52
Total4.6017320097711.57

Manny Parra
PeriodERAIPHKBBWHIP
Current3.781009978501.49
Balance3.98717057311.42
Total3.86171169135811.46

Dave Bush
PeriodERAIPHKBBWHIP
Current4.39106.79766261.15
Balance4.19767652191.25
Total4.30182173118451.19

Son of Clung
PeriodERAIPHKBBWHIP
Current4.1675.76664361.35
Balance4.53545140241.40
Total4.32129117104601.37

14 comments | 4 recs


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Featured Poll

Poll
Now that the pitching market is starting to dwindle, has your opinion changed on Ben Sheets?

  301 votes | Results

90 - 72

7.5

Lost 1

0

NL Central Standings

W L PCT GB STRK
Chicago 97 64 .602 0 Lost 4
Milwaukee 90 72 .555 7.5 Lost 1
Houston 86 75 .534 11 Won 1
St. Louis 86 76 .530 11.5 Won 6
Cincinnati 74 88 .456 23.5 Lost 5
Pittsburgh 67 95 .413 30.5 Won 1

(updated 1.7.2009 at 3:45 PM CST)

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