Tuesday's Frosty Mug
I don't really have much for you today, but the 2009 Marcel Projections are out, so if you've got a big empty gap in your schedule that's usually filled by the Mug but isn't today, you could go play with those. I've got them open in another window right now, waiting for a handful of free minutes.
Everyone else with time on their hands is talking about the NL MVP voting and the various BBWAA writers who came in with off the wall selections. This time the conversation hits close to home, as one of the writers taking a lot of criticism is our own Tom H, who had Albert Pujols seventh on his ballot, behind Prince Fielder. That's both the lowest Pujols appeared and the highest Fielder appeared on any ballot. Let's wander through the field of frustration for a moment:
- Dave Cameron of FanGraphs wants to know how Chase Utley finished 15th. So do some of the commenters in this FanShot.
- Chuckie Hacks called Tom H.'s ballot "asinine" and wonders how Carlos Delgado could've ended up ahead of Pujols.
- Sky Kalkman of Beyond the Box Score says the most valuable Brewer wasn't neither Braun or Fielder, it was J.J. Hardy.
- Baseball Musings thought Braun belonged around eighth. That's about where I expected him to finish too.
- The commenters over at Baseball Think Factory are having some fun with Tom H.'s ballot too.
- Goatriders of the Apocalypse thought the 2008 NL MVP was...Brad Lidge? I still have no idea how Lidge got two first place votes.
- The Griddle wasn't a fan of Tom H.'s ballot either.
- Lookout Landing is also unimpressed with Chase Utley's 15th place finish.
- Peter Gammons is upset about Hanley Ramirez's 11th place finish.
- Todd Zolecki reveals the one voter who left Ryan Howard off of his MVP ballot.
Also, Hot Foot thinks the Mets should sign Ben Sheets.
If the BBWAA voters had seen this, they probably would've voted about the same anyway: Bill James says Prince Fielder is the seventh worst baserunner in baseball.
If only all the decisions were this easy: The Brewers must either place Mark Rogers on the 40-man roster, or risk losing him in the Rule 5 Draft. I don't think there's much risk there.
Everyone knows versatility is an important skill. That's why the Brewers had two catchers in the top ten and bottom ten in Recondite Baseball's minor league CS% leaderboards.
On the hot stove:
Braves: Submitted a contract offer to Will Ohman yesterday.
Giants: Signed Jeremy Affeldt yesterday, the first free agent of the offseason to sign with a new team.
Mets: Are reportedly making offers to Francisco Rodriguez, Brian Fuentes and Derek Lowe.
Phillies: are reportedly pursuing relievers Juan Cruz, Doug Brocail and Russ Springer.
Red Sox: Tim Wakefield may retire due to pain in his throwing shoulder.
Elsewhere, it appears the Mariners could announce a new manager as soon as today and it won't be Ned Yost or Willie Randolph.
Matt LaPorta has had quite the season. He played for two minor league teams, was part of a blockbuster trade, got hit in the head by a pitch in the Olympics, and got the flu and fouled a pitch off his ankle in Venezuela. He returned home yesterday and my guess would be he's ready for a break.
A tech note: MLB.com is dumping Microsoft Silverlight and switching over to Flash. All I knew about Silverlight was that it was a pain to have to tell my computer I didn't want it every time I logged into Gameday Audio. Good riddance.
Oh, and the Brewers never really found another blogger to pick up the slack after Taylor Green was sent home from the AFL, so we'll have to settle for Mariner prospect Joe Woerman's story about getting nailed by a speed limit enforcement camera.
Drink up.
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Tuesday's Frosty Mug
So, sometime around the sixth inning of last night's game, I got an email from a Cubs fan, offering a thank you for taking 3 of 4 from the Cardinals. Just to make sure he didn't get too far ahead of himself, I sent him this.
Win Expectancy Graph
BR Box Score
BDD Recaps
Obviously, it's smiles all around after Dave Bush put up a nice performance last night and Ryan Braun's bat sent a couple more baseballs screaming into the masses. But, in the JS Online game story, there's still a hint of Ned being Ned:
"He was mowing them down," he said as his voice rose. "I'm not going to do this; I'm not going to jump on one bad inning."
Then Yost was asked, what if that one inning continues to get his team beat?
"If it keeps getting me beat, then I will do something about it," he said.
When dissecting Villanueva, who has failed to pitch into the sixth inning in four of his eight starts this season, Yost did point to Villanueva typically having one bad inning per outing that has hurt.
"The bad numbers come from a couple of bad innings, but as a whole he hasn't pitched that bad," Yost said.
But what good is it if a guy pitches well until he explodes for one inning, leaving the end results the same as if he scattered his runs and hits allowed?
"Because we think we know why that happened," Yost said, although he wouldn't give the reason.
Kudos to Anthony Witrado for publishing that exchange and coming through with more than just the "it's early" refrain.
Adam Charles at Bugs and Cranks thinks last night's game was just part of an elaborate plot by Tony LaRussa. We're still waiting for the twist.
The Grand National Championships has a quick rant on bullpen management and closers. I will give credit to Ned for pitching Gagne in a non-save situation last night and giving him an opportunity to straighten himself out.
Last night's game didn't involve a save situation, but it did involve two teams going closer by committee. Baseball Musings asks what happens if it works.
Not only did Dave Bush pick up his first win of the season last night, he also qualified to start in row 7 of the Hank Aaron 755, Big League Stew's race for players with NASCAR names.
The Padres have designated Rule 5 pick Callix Crabbe for assignment (also noted here in the Fanshots), meaning the Brewers could have him back. Al doesn't seem to think they'll be interested, but it's middle infield depth, how could they not be?
On injuries:
Rafael Furcal will miss the upcoming series with the Brewers after being placed on the DL with a lower back injury.
Marlins P Scott Olsen isn't hurt, but he was having a hard time regaining velocity after his 8 2/3 inning, 121 pitch outing against the Brewers last week.
Here's pretty much all you need to know about Dayn Perry: He thinks Carlos Zambrano should win the Cy Young even though Brandon Webb is 8-0, has thrown more innings, struck out more batters and has a lower WHIP. I know compiling award ballots can be hard, but writing Webb in for Cy Young is a no-brainer at this point.
Apparently he hits other teams, too: Lance Berkman had stretches last week where he went 16-for-20 and 19-for-25. That second feat had only been accomplished once in the last 50 years.
David Sloane is the agent for Carlos Delgado. He's making Delgado a lot of money, but the Mets 1B is his only client. Why, you ask? Because he's insane.
Oh, and here's video of an unassisted triple play.
Drink up.
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Five Questions with Jessica Bader of Take the 7 Train
No Reds bloggers returned my emails in time to get a 5 questions post up for last series...maybe that's why we didn't win it. I hope that's how it's going to work, because here we go with some Mets talk. Our lucky guest is Jessica Bader, who writes for Take the 7 Train and MetsGeek.
First things first: How do you feel about the Johan Santana trade? In particular, were there any pieces Minaya included in the deal who you think the Mets will come to regret giving up?
I spent much of the offseason highly fed up with the Santana trade speculation because I thought that the only offers the Mets could make that would top the Red Sox or Yankees would be far too costly even for a pitcher of Santana's caliber (remember, the early speculation was that the Mets would have to part with Jose Reyes to have any hope of landing Johan). Then the AL East behemoths decided that they were okay with not getting Santana as long as the other guy didn't get him, and Omar was able to acquire Santana without giving up Reyes or top outfield prospect Fernando Martinez.
Of the four prospects the Mets gave up in the deal, the one I think they will come to regret the most is Deolis Guerra, who has the highest ceiling by far of the three pitchers who went to Minnesota. Carlos Gomez is off to a hot start with the Twins, but I have my doubts about whether he will reach his considerable potential. Had Gomez remained a Met, I would have wanted him to spend at least half of this season in AAA as he is still fairly raw (he was rushed to the majors last year because the entire outfield depth chart got hurt pretty much all at once), and I fear that throwing him into the majors right away will have a negative impact on his development.
The Phillies won the division last year, but the Braves have become the trendy underdog pick this spring. Which one do you think is going to be the biggest challenge to the Mets in 08?
I think that the Braves and Phillies have similar strengths (lineup, particularly the infield, and a solid 1-2 punch) and weaknesses (bullpen, the rest of the rotation), but I think that the Braves will pose the bigger challenge. They're not going to be shooting themselves in the foot with four months of Scott Thorman this year, and instability at the back end of the rotation is something that is easier to survive when you play your home games in a pitchers' park.
With Pedro and El Duque both out, the rotation is already suffering. What's your ideal scenario to get the Mets through the next month or two without them?
I tend to be optimistic where Pedro is concerned - he may be fragile, but he's not a slow healer - and I expect to see him back on the mound by this time next month. As for El Duque, after his latest setback I doubt we'll ever see him pitch another major-league game. This puts a lot of pressure on Mike Pelfrey - the most advanced pitching prospect remaining in the Mets' system - to perform at an adequate level.
If
Pelfrey can harness his command of his secondary pitches (a big problem
for him last year), he can be a solid contributor at the back end of
the rotation (his being the only groundball pitcher in a flyball-heavy
rotation may also be helpful). That would make it a lot easier to
stomach the occasional Nelson Figueroa start until Pedro returns.
Tell us how excited you are to have two recent Brewers--Matt
Wise and Brady Clark--on your roster. If the Mets sign Claudio Vargas,
do you think Mr. Met will start drinking Miller?
I like what Clark brings to the table in terms of OBP off the bench,
but I don't think he was worth losing Ruben Gotay on waivers (to the
Braves, no less). Wise seems like a decent middle relief arm, but he
hasn't exactly endeared himself to Mets fans with the combination of
giving up walkoff home run to a light-hitting utility infielder and
going on the DL with forearm soreness a week into the season. I suspect
that Mr. Met will crave poutine if the Mets sign Vargas (a strong
possibility now that El Duque isn't coming back any time soon [now official -js]); Omar
has brought in a handful of former Expos whose stint in Montreal
coincided with his own.
I like to be
ahead of the curve. When the rumor mill goes into high gear in June,
what will the Mets be looking for? Any early bets on who will be that
missing piece?
One thing the Mets still need badly is a right-handed bat who can play first base. Chris Shelton and Josh Phelps were both there for the taking this winter, but the team didn't make much of an effort to go after either one of them. I suspect that once the Orioles start playing like the Orioles and Carlos Delgado gets at-bats against lefties not named Jamie Moyer, Kevin Millar's name will come up quite a bit.
Thanks Jessica!
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