Wednesday's Frosty Mug
So the Brewers win, the Cardinals lose, the Cubs lose, and they appear to be signing Jim Edmonds. That's win-win-win-win if I ever saw it.
Win Expectancy Graph
BR Box Score
BDD Recaps
The circle of life continues: Chris Capuano will have Tommy John surgery as soon as Thursday, giving up the effort to come back without it. Also on Thursday, 2006 first round pick Jeremy Jeffress will return from his 50-game drug suspension and report to Brevard County.
Beyond that, it's kind of a slow day for Brewer news. Baseball Analysts, though, did take a look at players looking to avoid a sophomore slump, including one guy you may have heard of who's hit 6 extra base hits in 3 days.
On injuries:
Milton Bradley was held out of last night's Rangers game with a sore shoulder.
J.D. Drew injured his wrist making a sliding catch and is day-to-day.
A's 2B Mark Ellis missed last night's game with a hamstring injury, and will miss a few more.
O's C Ramon Hernandez missed last night's game with a sprained left wrist.
Reds SS Jeff Keppinger fouled a ball off his knee last night and has a fractured kneecap.
O's 3B Melvin Mora was hit by a ball in warmups yesterday and missed last night's game.
If you haven't been paying attention, Lance Berkman is pretty hot right now. He's hitting .605 in his last 11 games, and has scored a run in 15 straight games, leaving him 2 games shy of tying the NL record Rickie Weeks tied earlier this season.
Berkman also won this week's BaseballHappenings blogpoll for NL MVP. Brandon Webb ran away from the field in the Cy Young voting, and Geovany Soto dominated the Rookie voting. Here's the ballot I cast:
MVP:
1. Lance Berkman
2. Chase Utley
3. Chipper Jones
Cy Young:
1. Brandon Webb
2. Edinson Volquez
3. Carlos Zambrano
Rookie of the Year:
1. Geovany Soto
2. Jair Jurrjens
3. Kosuke Fukudome
Click the link above for the full results.
A rare former Brewer trifecta happened yesterday: The Mets designated Nelson Figueroa for assignment, called up Claudio Vargas and activated Matt Wise from the DL in the same day.
Oh, and here's a story about Tigers P Nate Robertson's unrequited love for bats.
Drink up.
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Monday's Frosty Mug
Sunday's Win Expectancy Graph
Sunday's BR Box Score
Sunday's BDD Recaps
Saturday's Win Expectancy Graph
Saturday's BR Box Score
Saturday's BDD Recaps
Today, apparently, is a big day. So big I used two unnecessary commas in my opening sentence. It's a big day because Doug Melvin and Ned Yost are meeting to "discuss the Milwaukee Brewers' personnel and what might be done to improve the club."
Scott over at In-Between Hops seems to think making Prince eat a steak will improve the club.
Al notes that the team hasn't announced a starter yet for Thursday. Perhaps that will be addressed in the meeting.
Yovani Gallardo will have surgery tomorrow morning to repair his torn ACL. Hopefully the extended delay in surgery won't keep him from being ready for spring training in 2009.
Apparently commenters are watching to ensure I use the proper level of snark when posting power rankings. I hope they'll find today's snark appropriate. Or they'll find something better to do than burn half a day commenting on how I addressed Phil Rogers.
Phil Rogers is widely seen as a subpar baseball writer. He has the Brewers 21st in his most recent power rankings.
The Southpaw improves on those rankings in two ways. First, they moved the Brewers up to 18th. Second, they included a picture of Summer Glau. Who is Summer Glau? I have no idea.
On injuries:
Blue Jays reliever Jeremy Accardo has been placed on the DL with a strained forearm.
Mets 2B Luis Castillo left yesterday's game with "quad discomfort."
Chone Figgins is on the DL in Anaheim with a strained hamstring.
Kevin Millwood had to leave his start over the weekend after just two outs, and has been placed on the DL with a groin strain.
Vernon Wells has a broken non-throwing wrist and will miss 6-8 weeks.
A news flash from Chicago: Apparently the ladies love "some asian guy."
In other Cubs news, it looks like Ryne Sandberg is getting pretty good at getting ejected from games. He's been suspended from Midwest League action following a confrontation with an opposing manager Thursday.
I'm really easily distracted some days: I got up early to write the Mug this morning, but lost all the time I gained when I spent half an hour on Keith Law's list of ten home cooking mistakes.
Oh, and the Mets have DFA'd Raul Casanova.
Drink up.
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Pre-Series Cubs Thoughts
Blah blah blah, this is a big one, whatever. I don't care how on-the-bubble Sheets is or that we're getting Cameron back or that we're playing the Cubs. It's game #26, and after the series, we'll have 134 left. So let's all chill out about that.
That said, it will certainly be an interesting series. Here are some things I've noticed, and others I'll be watching for.
- We all knew the Cubs were going to be a good team, but there are plenty of reasons to be skeptical of their 16-9 start. They've had a relatively easy schedule, and while they've played a couple of good teams, they haven't beaten very many good pitchers. Their two-game sweep in New York came off of John Maine and Nelson Figueroa, and while they beat Aaron Harang (hats off to them), they lost to Edinson Volquez. We took the series at Wrigley to open the season, and there's very little I've seen since to indicate that the Cubs are clearly the better team.
- Left field for the Cubs is a giant, yawning chasm of suck. Soriano was awful before his injury, and while DeRosa has been okay in his starts in left field, that leaves Mike Fontenot (OPS: 545) at second base. The Cubs have the offense at other positions to more than make up for it, but it's unusual to see so many people work together to produce so little at an offensive position.
- Kerry Wood isn't the best reliever in the bullpen, but he'll do. He's striking out about one batter per inning and generally doing a good impression of a major league closer. Carlos Marmol, on the other hand, is downright dominant. I'm not about to give Piniella credit for strategery, but if the Cubs have Wood pitching like this in the 9th and Marmol putting out fires whenever necessary, they will be in very good shape. Maybe even good enough to escape the negative effects of a soft pen outside of those two guys.
- A big part of the Cubs' 16-9 start has been the offensive production of Geovany Soto and Kosuke Fukudome. Neither one is a huge surprise, though I don't think most people expected both of them to have 900+ OPSs. Right now, everybody but the left fielders are hitting better than expected, but Soto and Fukudome are in a whole different category.
- Ryan Dempster currently has an ERA of 2.90 and an FIP of 4.24. Something's gotta give. A walk rate over 4 per 9 suggests that the ERA will budge first. If his HR rate ends up around his career average (or worse, as it was last year), that 4.24 will look mighty appealing to Cubs fans.
- As regular readers know, I am not concerned about the goings-on of small samples, so I could care less about the poor clutch hitting over the weekend, or David Riske's last couple of outings. The Brewers offense as presently constituted will score lots and lots of runs, no matter how bad they look on any given day.
If all that wasn't enough to think about, mark your calendars for Thursday afternoon: Carlos Zambrano and Yovani Gallardo. Nice.
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Monday's Frosty Mug
Happy Patriot Day, Brewer fans. I've been away from the TV, radio and computer for most of the last 3 days, but coming home today I see that the Brewers took two of three and should've swept the Reds, and open today's series with the Cardinals a game back of first place. It's time for a Frosty Mug.
Win Expectancy Graph
BR Box Score
ESPN Video Highlights
Baseball Digest Daily recaps
BP Postseason odds projecting the Brewers for 84 wins and a 23.6% shot at winning the Central.
Let's talk about Ben Sheets for a moment. The team says Sheets will only have to push his next start back a day. That doesn't seem serious, but at the same time, they've gone up to 14 pitchers on the roster just to make sure they have enough to cover the delay. Jim Powell also says Sheets is feeling better. I'm not entirely sure how keeping a guy like Mitch Stetter on the roster would fix the problem, even if he wasn't.
Inside the Book asks if teams overvalue guys with great stuff but questionable control. Since we seem to be having occasional debates lately about the value of Derrick Turnbow, I thought this belonged in the top half of the Mug.
Brian Shouse's streak of 83 consecutive appearances without allowing a home run was the 14th longest all time.
If you thought everyone loved Paul Molitor, it turns out it's only almost everyone.
Thanks to all 142 of you who voted in last week's fan opinion poll. The results:
- 74% of voters thought Dave Bush should move to the bullpen in place of Seth McClung when Gallardo returned.
- 45% of voters thought Eric Gagne's position as closer should be re-evaluated at the end of April. 32% thought he should be re-evaluated at the All Star Break and 21% think he's the closer indefinitely.
- 82% of voters thought Prince Fielder's slow start had nothing to do with becoming a vegetarian.
- 66% of voters thought the Brewers should make an effort to limit Manny Parra's innings.
- Of those voters, 68% thought it should be done by skipping his spot in the rotation when possible.
- Ned Yost's approval rating is at 78%, up from 77% last week, with 8% disapproval and 12% unsure.
- Doug Melvin's approval rating is at 97%, with one lone no vote and 2% unsure. Last week he was at 91%/5%/2%
- 96% of voters were in favor of the Cameron/Hall/Braun move.
- 61% of voters were in favor of the Gagne signing, with 17% opposed and 21% unsure.
- 35% of voters thought the team should offer Ben Sheets a long-term deal, with 29% wanting to wait until after the season, 19% opposed and 16% unsure.
Full results here. I'm hoping to write this week's poll today and post it later or tomorrow. If you have questions you'd like to see included, drop them in the comments.
Brief Alphabetical Morning (BAM) Injury Reports:
Doug Davis is recovering well from surgery and throwing off flat ground. He could return in May.
Kosuke Fukudome missed last night's game with a cyst above his right eye, but should play today.
Chipper Jones was pulled from yesterday's game with a quad injury.
Alex Rodriguez was also pulled from yesterday's game with a quad injury.
Jimmy Rollins has been placed on the DL, but since he pinch-hit Saturday, he's not eligible to be placed retroactively.
David Weathers has been placed on the DL with nerve inflammation in his elbow.
Frank Thomas was released rather abruptly yesterday. Obviously, this will lead to lots of speculation about who he could help, but Landon Evanson at Bugs and Cranks likes him as a Twin.
This would be a much better reason to be cursed: Historical evidence suggests the Cubs may have thrown the 1918 World Series.
Now available: Hideo Nomo. Potentially available May 1: Bartolo Colon.
Bucs Dugout's tournament to determine the worst GM in baseball has moved on to the second round. Voting is open for the first matchup, Jon Daniels v. Bill Bavasi.
And while you're voting, go here as well and help me fill out my AL awards ballots. Thanks!
Drink up.
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Friday's Frosty Mug
So, as Jeff mentioned in yesterday's Plastic Cup, I was on the road yesterday. A brief anecdote from the road:
The fiancee and I were traveling together yesterday, and my last item of business was finished a couple of hours before hers. So there I was, in the back of a coffee shop, headphones in, listening to the Brewers, waiting for the call that would say "it's time to go." I tuned in around the time Manny Parra was exiting. I spent about 4 innings wishing she would hurry up and call, as the game was...well, less than encouraging. But I was there when Prince's double tied it in the 8th, and I was trying hard not to make a scene when Ryan Braun singled to lead off the 10th...
And the phone rang. "Ok, I'm ready for you to pick me up." I reluctantly packed my things, walked to the parking garage, and by the time XM Radio could pick up reception, it was 5-3 in the bottom of the 10th. Not only did I miss Prince's first home run, I didn't even know that's how they scored until the post-game show. Hopefully I'll catch about 50 more of them this season to even it out.
Win Expectancy Graph
Baseball Reference Box Score
ESPN Video Highlights
Baseball Digest Daily Recaps
With the win, Baseball Prospectus' Postseason Odds have the Brewers winning exactly 81 games, with a 16.2% chance of winning the Central.
All kinds of stuff about Prince following the game:
Tom H. has Fielder's postgame quotes.
Home Run Derby named it Home Run of the Day.
In-Between Hops notes the Fielder is even with his home run pace from last year, but would need to hit 4 in his next 5 games to keep it up.
Baseball Musings notes that, before the HR, 7 of Prince's 13 hits had come with runners in scoring position.
Yahoo has a photo of Prince rounding the bases.
Also, if you're looking for quotes from the Cardinals regarding yesterday's game, Fungoes has a wealth of them.
Bugs and Cranks has a nice review of the situation at the back end of the rotation, with Bush, Villanueva and Parra holding spots and Gallardo looking for one.
Speaking of Villanueva, John Sickels has an in depth look at him.
He's had one at bat in the last three days, but Ken Rosenthal still can't get enough Gabe Kapler.
Forbes has released their annual valuations of all 30 MLB teams. The Brewers rank 24th.
Brief Alphabetical Morning (BAM) Injury Reports:
Erik Bedard may have torn cartilage in his hip. I'm not sure what that means for his return.
Carlos Beltran missed last night's 14-inning marathon with a stiff neck.
Rangers OF Marlon Byrd has been placed on the DL with a sore knee.
Braves reliever Peter Moylan is out for the season with a bone spur pressing against the UCL in his elbow.
Rays reliever Al Reyes is on the DL with an impinged shoulder.
Richie Sexson will miss a game or two with nagging shoulder and leg pain.
Miguel Tejada isn't hurt, but he sure is aging fast.
Speaking of things that'll make you age fast, the Rockies and Padres played 22 innings last night. Even Fangraphs gave up after 17.
Two stories out there today showing Cub fans in a (well deserved?) negative light: First, via Redleg Nation, I found this clip of Marty Brennaman's reaction to Cub fans throwing dozens of balls on the field following a home run. Also, Fukudome's reaction to a racist t-shirt being sold by vendors outside Wrigley is a must read. I know a lot of very bright, intelligent Cubs fans that are a credit to their franchise...it's just unfortunate they seem to be in the minority.
Bucs Dugout continues their search for baseball's worst GM. Polls are open right now for Omar Minaya v. Jim Hendry and Ken Williams v. Wayne Krivsky.
Gaslamp Ball wants to hear about your favorite baseball books.
Finally, in response to a question asked in the game thread a couple of nights ago, TheJay has compiled a list of the last players to wear #42 for every franchise. Scott Karl was the last Brewer, and also the last Rockie. Interestingly enough, Mo Vaughn was the last player to wear #42 for three teams.
That's all for today. I'm back on the road in a few hours, so Jeff will be filling in again tomorrow and Sunday. If you have something to submit for inclusion in a future Mug, please post it in the comments. Drink up.
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