Wednesday's Frosty Mug
I'm getting old. Last night's game was played in a neat and tidy 2:34, but since it started at 9 I still couldn't stay up through it.
Win Expectancy Graph
BR Box Score
All of today's reads will be better if read in the comforting voice of Morgan Freeman.
So, a nice start to the road trip and a 7-game winning streak, right? So what's the national media talking about? CC Sabathia went shopping for houses yesterday.
Ryan Braun doesn't seem to know exactly what's wrong with him. Doctors are still using phrases like "puzzling symptoms." But Gord Ash says Ryan Braun will be back in 2-4 days. I just asked the Magic 8 Ball if Ryan Braun will play on this road trip and was told, "Don't count on it."
Jeremy Jeffress was supposed to make his first start in AA last night at Huntsville, but the game was rained out. I'm assuming that means he'll pitch Game 1 of tonight's doubleheader, which starts at 5:05.
Adam McCalvy of The Official Site is reporting that Yovani Gallardo is along on the road trip and could throw off a mound before the Brewers return home. A September return looks a little more plausible every day.
Are the daytime shadows in Miller Park the worst of any park in the majors? Nats C Wil Nieves seems to think so.
On injuries:
Carl Crawford will have surgery to repair damaged tendons in his finger and will be out until at least September 25.
Andruw Jones has been placed on the DL with patellar tendinitis.
Tim Lincecum took a line drive off his knee last night, but X-rays were negative. He shouldn't miss a start.
Rangers SP Vicente Padilla is doubtful for his start Thursday.
White Sox OF Carlos Quentin missed last night's game after being hit by pitches on five straight days.
Phils OF Shane Victorino left last night's game with lower back stiffness.
Quick transaction notes from around the web: The Red Sox acquired Paul Byrd yesterday and Micah Owings has been confirmed as one of the PTBNL in the Adam Dunn deal.
Both the Red Sox and the Rangers will need more pitching after last night's 19-17 slugfest. If you're bored today, go look at the Win Expectancy Graph and play log front last night's game. The Red Sox were at 98.6% to win in the first inning, came all the way back down to 18% in the 7th, and still somehow snuck out with a victory.
Oh, and the people who make TV ads for 24-Hour Fitness can't count.
Drink up.
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Tuesday's Frosty Mug
I don't think I've ever been this disappointed with a split of a road series.
Monday's Win Expectancy Graph
Monday's BR Box Score
Monday's BDD Recaps
Sunday's Win Expectancy Graph
Sunday's BR Box Score
Sunday's BDD Recaps
Saturday's Win Expectancy Graph
Saturday's BR Box Score
Saturday's BDD Recaps
Friday's Win Expectancy Graph
Friday's BR Box Score
Friday's BDD Recaps
Wow, after four days away, where do I even start? As reported in the fanposts, today the Brewers will announce they've signed Julian Tavarez. Also, while it won't be "announced," it will be strongly implied that the Brewer organization's desperation for reliable bullpen arms has reached a very dangerous stage.
Russell Branyan is back and sharing time at third with Bill Hall. Hall is unhappy, and understandably so, with the loss of playing time to the one guy in all of baseball who strikes out more than he does. Some guy named Eli completely destroyed his credibility by suggesting the Brewers may be ready to DFA Hall. Marty over at Fire Ned Yost is upset by the decision, and is now refusing to spend money on the team until Melvin is fired. Seriously? I was way more upset by the Tavarez move.
Jason Kendall batted eighth yesterday, in an attempt to "shake up the lineup." I know stat guys will say all lineup tinkering is relatively irrelevant, but this one seems especially small.
Remember that error thar J.J. Hardy committed on Friday? Apparently it attempted to destroy Washington.
Phil Rogers puts the Brewers at #22 in most recent power rankings, with the following comment:
In ESPN's most recent power rankings, the Brewers are also #22, with this comment:
It's close, but in this case I'm going to give the "one sentence or less analysis" challenge to Rogers, for actually analyzing something beyond home runs.
This makes his strategic decisions even more puzzling: Apparently Ned Yost has read The Book. I'm still going to guess he doesn't read blogs, but Mariners manager John McLaren does.
It's been five days, but I'm still confused and strangely fascinated by Babes Love Baseball's "sabermetric" analysis of Ryan Braun.
On injuries:
Rockies SS Clint Barmes is on the DL with a sprained MCL.
Fausto Carmona is out around 4 weeks with a strained hip.
Marlins OF Brett Carroll has a severely separated shoulder, partially torn ligaments and a swollen face. He'll be out a while.
Mets OF Ryan Church is still dizzy after getting his second concussion of the season last week.
Rockies OF Brad Hawpe is on the DL with a sore hamstring.
Felix Hernandez missed his start Saturday with soreness in his leg.
Matt Holliday was placed on the DL, also with a sore hamstring.
Andruw Jones will have the surgery he's been delaying on his knee and miss 4-6 weeks.
Padres P Chris Young, who suffered a broken nose via line drive, has other fractures in his face as well and will not be allowed to resume baseball activities for at least 2 weeks.
How do you react when your team is severely underperforming and is consistently painful to watch? Ichiro says you should try a beer from Papua New Guinea. U.S.S. Mariner is on the case.
When you find yourself complaining about the tough start Rickie Weeks is having, consider Reds leadoff hitter Corey Patterson, and his wafer-thin .242 OBP. In a move that has to be at least partially related, Jay Bruce will debut Tuesday.
On the flip side, Lyle Overbay set a Jays franchise record by reaching base in 12 straight plate appearances.
Oh, and Jamie Moyer has finally proven that all 30 MLB teams are capable of swinging and missing at 60 MPH pitches.
Drink up.
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Tuesday's Frosty Mug
BDD Recaps
So, a quick recap of yesterday's events: Sometime overnight Sunday, a blogger with no cited sources and very small traffic said Ned Yost would be fired. This news was met with much rejoicing but backed with no actual evidence. Given that, Tom H. went ahead and posted an unsubstantiated rumor, again, to much rejoicing. Of course, it later turned out the rumor was false. Tom has taken this opportunity to bash all blogs in response.
Among bloggers, the best response I've seen came from roguejim's fanpost on the matter. Also, The Yost Infection has another rumor, with citation.
This would have been better if it had been posted on Yost's last day: In-Between Hops has a funny Yost anecdote that may explain some of the team's struggles on the road. Ned's handling of J.J. Hardy is less amusing.
One last managerial note: In light of yesterday's firing that wasn't, Big League Stew asks which manager will be fired first in 2008. If only voting for it made it so.
WhatIfSports has run a simulation and ranks the Brewers 28th of 30 teams. That's disappointing but not really surprising, as my WIS teams never seem to win either.
So, I didn't know the Brewers had let Abraham Nunez go, but they must have because the Mets have signed him. Am I just behind the curve on this one, or is this news to others?
On injuries:
Ronnie Belliard has been placed on the DL with a strained calf.
Chad Fox is back on the DL with inflammation in his elbow.
Andruw Jones is headed to the DL and may require surgery to remove fluid and torn cartilage from his knee.
Jake Peavy's elbow is so bad he has trouble turning doorknobs, but an MRI revealed no structural damage.
Some writers just make you feel like you're there: I didn't watch, or even see the highlights of last night's Twins game, but after reading this account from Aaron Gleeman, I feel like I sat front row.
And by the way, the Dodgers were not a fan of the violin playing during BP before yesterday's game. That's much better than this sound, which has been playing during Brewer AB's for most of the season.
Drink up.
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Friday's Frosty Mug
There's no stress release quite like exercise. Yesterday, after listening to Ned leave Sheets in to get pounded in a six-run inning, I took my bike out for a ride. I was almost home when a car pulled up alongside me with a rottweiler in the back, head out the window. The rottweiler snaps at me. I swerve away and stop on my bike, allowing the car to get some distance. The car stops at a stop sign and the rottweiler JUMPS OUT. By the time I got home, I had forgotten all about the loss.
Win Expectancy Graph
BR Box Score
BDD Box Score
Dave Pinto at Baseball Musings wants to know the same thing I'm asking: Where was the bullpen yesterday?
Jim Powell has a new blog up. Topics covered include yesterday's game, Bobby Thomson, Ryan Braun's contract, Mark Attanasio and the upcoming trip to Boston.
Big League Stew also interviewed Bob Uecker, but the questions had more to do with Mr. Belvedere than baseball.
Bugs and Cranks has the Brewers 17th in their most recent power poll. Is snark required here? I've lost my decoder ring.
This has been done to death, I know, but Fangraphs still thinks the Padres won the Scott Linebrink trade.
On injuries:
Mariners utilityman Willie Bloomquist harvested too many razor clams and was fined $50.
Twins OF Carlos Gomez missed yesterday's game with the flu.
Nats 1B Nick Johnson will miss 4-6 weeks with a torn tendon sheath in his wrist.
White Sox 2B Juan Uribe left last night's game with a leg injury.
I don't recall if I've mentioned it here or not, but Paul DePodesta is blogging now. On the surface it seems like a great idea, but Gaslamp Ball notes that some of the comments he's getting are getting increasingly obnoxious. I'd rather have my front office personnel working on improving the team, personally.
Some people know what it takes to win: Brandon Webb is 9-0.
And some people don't: Reds IF/OF Jerry Hairston reportedly told Marlins 1B Wes Helms he thinks the Marlins will win the East, because they're gritty.
Speaking of former Brewers, Glendon Rusch declined an outright assignment to the minors and is now a free agent. Supposedly the Rockies are interested. Really?
Apparently Andruw Jones only hits changeups. Did someone tell Ben Sheets?
I think everyone stashes change sometimes. I keep mine in a giant plastic parking meter. But I've never managed to accumulate 150,000 pennies, and even if I did I probably wouldn't stash them in a teammate's locker.
I'm not sure if it'll help you make 150,000 pennies, but Baseball Digest Daily is looking for writers.
And, by the way, here's the most bizarre animation you'll ever see made from graffiti. Incredible.
The Mug is off tomorrow and Sunday so I can go back to driving all over the midwest. Drink up.
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Thursday's Frosty Mug
Win Expectancy Graph
BR Box Score
BDD Recaps
Now, this morning's big news: According to the JS blog, the Brewers are about to announce they've signed Ryan Braun to the longest and largest contract in team history. It's mostly speculation at this point, but a news conference is scheduled for 10 am to make it official.
It turns out David Riske hyperextended his elbow in last night's game. He's day-to-day.
Greener on the Other Side has crunched the numbers and thinks Prince Fielder and Rickie Weeks' stats will improve in the coming weeks.
On injuries:
Red Sox P Clay Buchholz is headed to the DL with a broken nail. Seriously.
Pirates C Ryan Doumit has been placed on the DL with a broken thumb.
Mets P Scott Schoeneweis spent the overnight hours Wednesday in the hospital with what turned out to be the flu.
Cubs PH/OF Daryle Ward may have a herniated disc in his back.
The baseball community as a whole is still trying to figure out exactly what happened to Andruw Jones, but Sons of Steve Garvey has uncovered a restraining order that may have something to do with it.
Yadier Molina will not be suspended for his tirade and his decision to strip out of his catcher's gear and leave it littered all over the field over the weekend. That's an interesting precedent for MLB to set.
Oh, and The Ultimate Warrior has a Twitter account.
That's all for today. Drink up.
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Game Thread #40: Dodgers (19-19) at Brewers (20-19)
Monday: Dave Bush quality start.
Tuesday: Carlos Villanueva quality start.
I don't dare suggest what might follow.
Tonight the matchup is Manny Parra and Derek Lowe. Speaking of matchups, the BR Game Preview tells us something harrowing: Andruw Jones has a career 1.750 OPS against Gagne. Apparently things could've worked out a little differently.
If Yost decides to play with his LaRussa-style index cards, I wouldn't be surprised to see a Counsell start tonight--he's got an .873 OPS in 26 career PAs against Lowe.
Game time is 7:05 Central.
Go Brewers!
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5 Questions with Rob McMillin of 6-4-2
Ok, so it isn't exactly a series preview...consider it a rest-of-series preview. Rob runs the great Dodgers/Angels site 6-4-2, and he was kind enough to take the time to answer some questions about one of his teams for us. Without further ado:
Q: You've had the opportunity to watch Joe Torre in action for six weeks now--kind of like the previous decade, I'd imagine, only on local TV instead of national. What are your impressions so far?
A: Torre seems to be under the impression that the press release version of his team is the actual team; it's certainly the only explanation why Juan Pierre and Andruw Jones have both appeared as starters in various lineups. With Rafael Furcal out, it's simply shocking to have Torre miss what seems obvious to everyone else: Andre Ethier is the team's second best hitter, and the Dodgers can ill-afford to miss both while plugging in arguably worse defense (and certainly worse offense) in left.
Q: In Juan Pierre and Andruw Jones, the Dodgers have a pair of outfielders who are underperforming the youngsters in every category but age. How do you see the outfield situation shaking out over the course of the season? Are there any other prospects who Pierre might end up blocking?
A: My inclination is to place the blame for this squarely on the shoulders of ownership. As Joe Sheehan recently pointed out in a Baseball Prospectus piece picked up by Sports Illustrated, the Dodgers are really three teams in one: the Paul DePodesta Dodgers, the Ned Colletti Dodgers, and the (VP of Scouting) Logan White Dodgers. Unsurprisingly, the Logan White team is the most productive as measured by value-for-salary, but the Colletti players -- which includes the likes of Jason Schmidt, Nomar Garciaparra, Juan Pierre, and Andruw Jones -- contains all the deadweight. "Grady Little's inability to play his best players at the expense of those veterans was the critical factor in the Dodgers finishing eight games out in a competitive NL West", Sheehan opined, and it's absolutely a factor again with Torre running the team.
Unfortunately, it's unclear what the Dodgers will do going forward. Pierre's contract virtually dictates he will end up with playing time (almost certainly too much and at the expense of Ethier, from what we can gather so far). Likewise Jones' glove, and more, his arm represent a significant improvement over the noodle Pierre uses to toss his rainbow throws back to the infield. If there were a clearly superior outfield prospect in the wings, it seems likely that the Dodgers would have blocked that player, too. So, no, I have no idea how this will shake out, other than to say it will be done sub-optimally.
Q: Similar question: with Blake DeWitt playing well, Andy LaRoche stuck in AAA, and Nomar pretending to healthy sometime soon, what will happen at third? If you were running the team, what would you do about that spot?
A: I would tell Nomar his duties are limited to pinch-hitting and spot starting, or cut him. The best thing he's done for the 2008 Dodgers so far has to spend substantial time on the DL, thus giving Blake DeWitt an extended showcase. I don't think DeWitt is quite as good as he's shown so far, and LaRoche will probably, eventually, develop more power, but either or both of those young players can bring to the table more, now, than Nomar. (In case you can't tell, the big problem with this team is that it doesn't have enough injuries to the right players.)
Q: The Brewers aren't going to see Hideki Kuroda this series, but he hasn't gotten a whole lot of national coverage, so I'm curious what your impressions are so far. He's certainly gotten results--do you see that holding up as the league sees him for the second or third time?
A: League? Try, lineup. In Sunday's contest against Houston, he uncharacteristically carried a no-hitter into the seventh, but as Vin Scully mentioned in the TV broadcast, Kuroda tends to wilt the third time through the order. (Baseball-Reference doesn't show this data on his splits page, but you can get a feel for it by pitch count; after 75, his line goes ballistic to a slapped-silly .355/.412/.516.) Jon Weisman thought he was actually trying too hard, but it seems to me his stuff flattens out early. Fortunately, the Dodgers only need a third starter, or should; it's likely that with rotational ineffectiveness (Derek Lowe's groundballs haven't been coming as they used to, and Brad Penny's meatball catering service is giving the team fits), the team wiill have to bring up Clayton Kershaw earlier than they might like.
Q: Overall, the LA bullpen has been quite effective, but not in the way I would've expected. Beimel dominating while Broxton is scuffling? Fill us in on the pecking order behind Saito, and how you see this group performing over the course of the year.
A: Beimel wears the number 97, which tells you a little something about his psychology; he tends to blend into the background, but you're right that he appears to be dominating in the early season. Emphasis should be on appears, because in point of fact, he's second on the team for allowing inherited baserunners to score (so far, five have, one back of Scott Proctor's six), thus deflating his ERA while adversely affecting both the team and the pitcher(s) ahead of him. Broxton had the worst outing of his career on Sunday, giving up six runs while making only one out, but he'll revert to form; one of his hallmarks early on was his tendency to get in a funk and lose control on his fastball, and it looks like that's what happened.
The real question is what happens once Chan Ho Park turns back into the guy Texas knew and hated. By ERA, he's the third best pitcher on the team (2.16 in 25 IP), but there's no way he sustains that with his low strikeout rate. Scott Proctor is looking mighty like a midseason DFA or a slow regression to mopup duties, something that will be hard to accomplish given Torre's extended experience with him in New York. Most likely to replace him, and perhaps the biggest wild card currently on the 25-man, is Yhency Brazoban. The man with a name designed for Scrabble had a rough but scoreless go in the team's 7-1 Friday loss. He was all but unhittable for a couple months in 2004, but injuries sidetracked him. Even at league average, he could still be a useful part given the likelihood of both injury and ineffectiveness elsewhere in the pitching staff.
Thanks, Rob!
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