Saturday's Frosty Mug
Win Expectancy Graph
BR Box Score
BDD Recaps
Michael Hunt is calling for the end of the Yost Era. It'd be more interesting if it came from someone relevant or well informed. But I'll take what I can get. This Yost quote from a later article, however, I refuse to tolerate:
Moving along: Yovani Gallardo will have surgery soon to repair his torn ACL. The timetable suggests to me that there's no chance he'll pitch again before next spring. If there was a chance, they wouldn't have waited this long for surgery and the current timetable would be more specific than "sometime next week."
With Gallardo out, there's a possibility that Seth McClung could get an opportunity to start at some point this season. Al notes that his numbers out of the bullpen, when you remove one bad mop up appearance, are pretty impressive.
Only two injury notes today: Reds reliever Kent Mercker is on the DL with a strained lower back and Twins reliever Pat Neshek, who left Thursday's game with pain in his elbow, has torn ligaments and will miss the rest of 2008.
As noted in the fanposts, Kevin Mench is back in the big leagues with the Blue Jays.
Richie Sexson, on the other hand, has been suspended for six games for charging the mound and throwing his helmet Thursday night.
The Padres have released Jim Edmonds. Here's a question to discuss in the comments: Of Barry Bonds, Kenny Lofton and Jim Edmonds, which could make the biggest difference to a contending team?
Reportedly, Peter McGowan is getting ready to step down as president and managing partner of the Giants. By itself, that wouldn't really be Mugworthy, but the first line of this post at El Lefty Malo was just strange enough to catch my eye:
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Friday's Frosty Mug
Win Expectancy Graph
BR Box Score
BDD Recaps
Notable by their absence yesterday: Prince Fielder, Corey Hart and Jason Kendall. Apparently it was just a scheduled off day for almost half the starting position players, though.
The Yost Infection says it's time for a managerial change, even though most of this team's problems aren't Ned's fault. The time for a change was September of last year. The story now is that it hasn't happened yet.
Speaking of looming decisions, Derrick Turnbow will clear waivers soon. Looks like he's headed to Nashville.
On a positive note, Beyond the Box Score compares Matt LaPorta to Ryan Braun.
The Cub Reporter ranks Ben Sheets 4th among NL Central aces. He wants your vote to help rank them.
Or, if watching the Brewers is too much for you to handle sober, try out this drinking game. By the fifth or so, people will be stacking cups on your head.
On injuries:
Padres reliever Kevin Cameron is on the DL with an elbow strain.
Doug Davis is free of cancer. Sighs of relief all around.
Johnny Estrada is back on the DL with an inflamed nerve in his elbow.
Orlando Hernandez is no longer in a walking boot. He's one step closer to throwing the banana.
Dodgers P Esteban Loaiza is on the DL with spasms in his shoulder.
Nats C Paul Lo Duca has a broken hand and has been DL'ed.
Twins reliever Pat Neshek will have his elbow examined today after leaving last night's game.
Mets OF Angel Pagan is day-to-day with a bruised shoulder.
Braves P Brayan Pena is on the DL with a back strain.
Twins IF Nick Punto was scratched from last night's game with tightness in his hamstring.
Despite the hubbub about the Brewers only going as far as Prince Fielder will carry them, Recondite baseball notes that no Brewers make the list of top or bottom 20 in win-loss splits.
The Marlins are hot, but there's still plenty of great seats available at their games.
Reds Insider notes that new GM Walt Jocketty will get to rework his team in a hurry - the Reds will have 13 free agents after the season.
Here's video of Richie Sexson charging the mound last night. Two notes:
1) That pitch wasn't that close.
2) Richie, you're 6'6", did you really need to throw the helmet at the guy?
That's all for today. Drink up.
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Friday's Plastic Cup is Pro-Joe
I've got a lot of tabs open right now, which means there are a lot of links to get to. Let's get at it.
- FanGraphs Win Probability graph
- BR Box Score
- BDD Daily Recaps
- BP Postseason Odds: 84 wins, 26% shot at the playoffs.
The big news this morning is that it's official, Turnbow is DFA'd and Dillon is back. It's disappointing that D-Bow hasn't been able to turn it around, but I do think it's well past time we cut our losses here. One interesting thought that has been popping up a little bit lately is that Melvin is too slow to cut the cord on his reclamation projects--Podsednik is a similar case that comes to mind. Branch Rickey was famous for saying it's better to trade a player a year too early than a year too late, and while you get bit occasionally for making that mistake, it's better than being saddled with someone as ineffective as D-Bow is right now.
A few writers at The Hardball Times ganged up to write a massive profile of Ben Sheets, including pitch f/x data, mechanics analysis, and injury commentary.
The Junkball Blues looks at how the Crew has done against closers. It's interesting work, but he draws the wrong conclusions. In 13 closer appearances, we've been shut out 7 times and have scored 6 times. That's astonishingly good, to my eyes. Would you happy if your team's closer gave up a run or more every other appearance? That's essentially what we're turning opposition closers into.
Some injury news:
- Troy Tulowitzki will be out for a month, maybe two.
- Phil Hughes has a broken rib , and will probably be out for at least two months.
- Jimmy Rollins won't be back as scheduled, and there's no clear timetable for when he will be.
I'm not going to wade very far into the muck of the Bissinger/Costas/Leitch controversy, but I will point you to this great piece by Joe Posnanski, who straddles the blogger/reporter divide quite gracefully. And I'll say one more thing. Bissinger may have been honing his craft for 40 years, but his LaRussa book, Three Nights In August, was truly dreadful. Possibly the worst baseball book I have ever read. There is nothing more insulting than a quasi-analytical hagiography about an overrated, self-aggrandizing figure like TLR.
A couple of ex-Brewers notes. Richie Sexson hit his 300th career home run, and Greg Aquino cleared waivers (big surprise--his ERA is roughly the same as Turnbow's) and is headed to Norfolk. I don't remember seeing this in an earlier Mug, but Brady Clark is also in AAA--he talked about retiring, but has opted to spend some quality time with Claudio Vargas in New Orleans.
I think the Nationals Enquirer had too much to drink. Careful kids: drinking and photoshopping don't mix.
Derrick Goold has a nice article about Rick Ankiel and Pat Jordan's writing about him. When we played the Cards recently, I was thinking about the stories in baseball today that we'd still be talking about 40 or 50 years from now, and Ankiel is definitely one of them.
It's amazing how rarely I agree with Richard Justice. A couple of days ago, he decided to rip on the Astros FO for choosing Max Sapp, a high school catcher, in the first round of the 2006 draft. Amazingly, he uses the phrase, "they blew it" to describe the results of a draft pick made two years ago. True, Sapp is struggling in A ball, but dude, he's two years out of high school. He's younger than a lot of the guys who will be drafted this year. And anyway, first-round picks fizzle sometimes. We're doing just fine without the services of Jeremy Jeffress, who we chose well before the Astros picked Sapp.
Finally, a happy story. John Wilson is a 53-year-old senior at Penn State Altoona, and a key part of their baseball program. He's friends with Dusty Baker, too, though I guess I can forgive him for that.
Drink up, but don't drink it too fast. This cup runneth over!
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Friday's Frosty Mug
So, as Jeff mentioned in yesterday's Plastic Cup, I was on the road yesterday. A brief anecdote from the road:
The fiancee and I were traveling together yesterday, and my last item of business was finished a couple of hours before hers. So there I was, in the back of a coffee shop, headphones in, listening to the Brewers, waiting for the call that would say "it's time to go." I tuned in around the time Manny Parra was exiting. I spent about 4 innings wishing she would hurry up and call, as the game was...well, less than encouraging. But I was there when Prince's double tied it in the 8th, and I was trying hard not to make a scene when Ryan Braun singled to lead off the 10th...
And the phone rang. "Ok, I'm ready for you to pick me up." I reluctantly packed my things, walked to the parking garage, and by the time XM Radio could pick up reception, it was 5-3 in the bottom of the 10th. Not only did I miss Prince's first home run, I didn't even know that's how they scored until the post-game show. Hopefully I'll catch about 50 more of them this season to even it out.
Win Expectancy Graph
Baseball Reference Box Score
ESPN Video Highlights
Baseball Digest Daily Recaps
With the win, Baseball Prospectus' Postseason Odds have the Brewers winning exactly 81 games, with a 16.2% chance of winning the Central.
All kinds of stuff about Prince following the game:
Tom H. has Fielder's postgame quotes.
Home Run Derby named it Home Run of the Day.
In-Between Hops notes the Fielder is even with his home run pace from last year, but would need to hit 4 in his next 5 games to keep it up.
Baseball Musings notes that, before the HR, 7 of Prince's 13 hits had come with runners in scoring position.
Yahoo has a photo of Prince rounding the bases.
Also, if you're looking for quotes from the Cardinals regarding yesterday's game, Fungoes has a wealth of them.
Bugs and Cranks has a nice review of the situation at the back end of the rotation, with Bush, Villanueva and Parra holding spots and Gallardo looking for one.
Speaking of Villanueva, John Sickels has an in depth look at him.
He's had one at bat in the last three days, but Ken Rosenthal still can't get enough Gabe Kapler.
Forbes has released their annual valuations of all 30 MLB teams. The Brewers rank 24th.
Brief Alphabetical Morning (BAM) Injury Reports:
Erik Bedard may have torn cartilage in his hip. I'm not sure what that means for his return.
Carlos Beltran missed last night's 14-inning marathon with a stiff neck.
Rangers OF Marlon Byrd has been placed on the DL with a sore knee.
Braves reliever Peter Moylan is out for the season with a bone spur pressing against the UCL in his elbow.
Rays reliever Al Reyes is on the DL with an impinged shoulder.
Richie Sexson will miss a game or two with nagging shoulder and leg pain.
Miguel Tejada isn't hurt, but he sure is aging fast.
Speaking of things that'll make you age fast, the Rockies and Padres played 22 innings last night. Even Fangraphs gave up after 17.
Two stories out there today showing Cub fans in a (well deserved?) negative light: First, via Redleg Nation, I found this clip of Marty Brennaman's reaction to Cub fans throwing dozens of balls on the field following a home run. Also, Fukudome's reaction to a racist t-shirt being sold by vendors outside Wrigley is a must read. I know a lot of very bright, intelligent Cubs fans that are a credit to their franchise...it's just unfortunate they seem to be in the minority.
Bucs Dugout continues their search for baseball's worst GM. Polls are open right now for Omar Minaya v. Jim Hendry and Ken Williams v. Wayne Krivsky.
Gaslamp Ball wants to hear about your favorite baseball books.
Finally, in response to a question asked in the game thread a couple of nights ago, TheJay has compiled a list of the last players to wear #42 for every franchise. Scott Karl was the last Brewer, and also the last Rockie. Interestingly enough, Mo Vaughn was the last player to wear #42 for three teams.
That's all for today. I'm back on the road in a few hours, so Jeff will be filling in again tomorrow and Sunday. If you have something to submit for inclusion in a future Mug, please post it in the comments. Drink up.
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