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Much concern about pitching staff

Awhile back, in the diaries and elsewhere, there was talk about how underrated the Brewers' pitching staff was. How many "experts" had tagged the staff as the weakness of an up and coming club.

The general feeling held by many, myself included, was that those comments were incredulous. Last year, both the rotation and the bullpen were strengths and a year later, with some additions, it could be even better than last year.

After reading spring training reports, I am now not so sure about this pitching staff.

Star-divide

The first sign of concern for me came when Sheets went out with an injury and was put on the DL yesterday. I know he should be back in time for when the Crew goes to a five-man rotation, but the guy has been injury-prone his whole career, and nothing in his history indicates that this injury will be a one-time thing, that he'll be fine the rest of the season.

If we are going to make a run at 90 wins and a possible wild-card berth, we need Sheets healthy the whole year. It's just that simple. When healthy he is a legitimate ace and absolutely needs to be pitching every five days for the Brewers to have a shot.

But let's say he is out for an extended period of time. We have other good arms in the rotation, right?

Left-hander Doug Davis started a Class AAA game in minor-league camp Monday and gave up four runs (three earned) and six hits in four innings against the Iowa Cubs.

This is just one example, but in four innings, our opening day starter gives up three earned runs and six hits against a Triple A team. According to the Brewers' official site, Davis has only pitched in two games, so maybe it's not time to panic yet. But getting somewhat rocked by a minor league team doesn't exactly make one rest easy.

But I do think it's interesting to point out the ERA's of the projected rotation: Bush as the #5 and lone bright spot has given up only 2 earned runs in 14 innings. Meanwhile, Davis: 8 earned runs in 5 innings; Capuano, 7 earned runs in 8 innings; Ohka, 9 earned runs in 10 innings.

As for the bullpen, Turnbow and Kolb haven't been able to find it yet; both have ERAs over 10.

And maybe I am just worried for no reason. Spring training games don't mean anything and guys are just getting "warmed up" and will be ready to go by April. But when the same stuff keeps happening to multiple, key players I believe it's cause for concern. I'd also like to see the pitching staff enter the season with some kind of momentum - it's not imperative for a good year, but I don't think some of these numbers could make any of them feel comfortable, necessarily.

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Bah!
I think they'll do fine, it's just spring.  I'd be more concerned with the miles Davis, Capuano, and Ohka put on their arms last year than anything ... not being able to go deep into games as the season goes on.

I think they're in fine shape (except for Sheets, though I think they're doing the right thing by holding him out).

Nate

by nmc on Mar 22, 2006 3:45 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

I love it!
We've got natural spring pessimism, then natural spring optimism :).

It's always tough to judge what spring stats say about pitchers -- like, Sheets wasn't throwing curveballs.  Maybe the arm slot isn't quite right...really tiny things can mean curveballs hang or fastballs don't move.   And also there's virtually no scouting, so it isn't like Davis and Mark Johnson are getting together before a minor league game to go over how they'll pitch to all the White Sox AAA guys.  

And, remember, all these games are 10-6 or 9-7 or whatever...it isn't just our pitchers who are struggling.  Apparently the air in AZ a lot like Coors...pitches don't always break quite like they're supposed to, and fly balls travel.  

But...if the team ERA is still 7.00 on April 10, then we can be seriously worried!

by Jeff Sackmann on Mar 22, 2006 5:39 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

thanks for those responses
I want to be optimistic too!
"Hardy to Weeks to Fielder for the double play!"

by Griswald on Mar 22, 2006 7:53 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

The pitching will be fine
The hitting, defense, and non-Sunday uniforms will all be shoddy, but the pitching will be a-ok!  :)
"C'mon, boys, let's get 'em some RUNS!" --- Darren Sutton, pretty much every game of the 2005 season.

by roguejim on Mar 23, 2006 6:03 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

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