Jinxie
This is not a good year for Geoff Jenkins. Because he's a big part of the Brewers lineup, that means it's not a good year for the Crew--especially so, since a perfectly acceptable replacement for Jenks has languished in the dugout, making friends with starting pitchers.
The most striking thing, of course, about Geoff's dreadful season is his complete inability to hit lefties:
| K% | AVG | OBP | SLG | |
| Total | 27% | 255 | 328 | 391 |
| vs. LHP | 42% | 120 | 241 | 181 |
| vs. RHP | 22% | 292 | 353 | 450 |
A 22% K rate isn't anything to be proud of, but at least that's within the realm of what a productive hitter can do. But 42%? I'm not sure how much blame for the 2006 season I want to put at Ned Yost's feet, but the fact that Geoff Jenkins has gotten 120 ABs against lefthanders this year is an absolute crime.
However, it's a mildly understandable crime when you look at some of Geoff's previous stats; he's never been as strong against lefties, but it's never been this bad:
| K% | AVG | OBP | SLG | |
| 00-04 | 32% | 260 | 317 | 437 |
| 2005 | 31% | 255 | 354 | 452 |
| 2006 | 42% | 120 | 245 | 181 |
| July 06 | 24% | 118 | 286 | 176 |
I included the July 06 stats just because he has been hitting a little better in the last month; it's only a 17-AB sample. He's always struck out about 30% of the time against lefties, but especially last year, he put up a respectable line against them.
It's easy enough to knock Geoff's lefty-mashing skills, as he seems not to have any. But the real problem is his performance against everybody. He's hitting 255/328/391 in 2006, which is good for a negative 6.0 VORP. He's hemorrhaging runs at the rate of 0.057 per game, which isn't much, but...don't you think a right fielder who is average at best afield ought to be adding runs?
And, as I mentioned above, we have a couple of options who are playing above-replacement ball this year. Gabe Gross has been worth .272 runs per game--only Bill Hall and Tony "small sample size" Gwynn have been better. Corey Hart has been worth 0.055 per game, which isn't world-beating, but at least it's in the positive column.
So, what to do with Geoff? Do you keep playing him in hopes that he puts up numbers like he did in July against RHPs (306/383/486)? Do you sit him down and let the youngsters take over? Do you see if anybody will take him, even it means paying a huge chunk of his remaining salary? Do you sit him just against lefties, then hide him from Ned Yost in case skip gets cold feet and wants to pinch-hit him for Corey in the 3rd inning?
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Yes, yes, and yes
It's sad that we're having this conversation now. I'd say there's a 95% chance Yost is back next year, and a 85% chance Jenkins is back next year. If both of those are true, then there's a pretty good chance that Yost will be sending out his salty veteran rightfielder for all of next season too, including against lefthanders. And, presumably, blocking someone better (albeit less salty).
To think, we'll have another year of grousing. I'm sooo looking forward to it.
Based on the previous few weeks
by thekranz on Aug 4, 2006 8:27 AM CDT reply actions
I'd be willing to bet
If we ate his salary
Speaking of which, his ascendance to greatness might be delayed somewhat. You should check out the stinker he put up against Minnesota on Wendesday. It was very Winky-like.
Inconsistencies
He claims that we are going to expect performance this year since we are "in it" He then backs that up by pulling Brady Clark early in the year when he was slumping. He goes with the "hot hand" early in the year in Bill Hall but somehow Jenkins gets a pass.
If we had an exercise where we pulled all of the names of the players and their contracts out of the equation and just showed the manager stats I ask the question "who would start?"
When Gabe Gross was run out in place of Clark earlier in the year...why was Jenkins given a pass?
Now is the time to back up the talk. The trading deadline has passed so there is no need to showcase Jenkins. Give Hart and Gwynn real shots and see what you have...then at the end of the year you can decide what to do with Jenkins.
For those of you that think Jenkins has no trade value I think that as long as we pick up all but $1M of this contract that we should be able to get something for him. I have to believe that a team like the Royals could run him out every day and if he gets hot they could flip him at the deadline to a contender. Seems like a low risk for a rebuilding team.
Thoughts?
by romagna72 on Aug 4, 2006 10:34 AM CDT reply actions
Kool Aid
I hope they "Clayton" Jenkins and start Hart the remaining games once they realize the playoffs are a lost cause. The mythical hot streak isn't coming back, his strikeout percentages have taken a dive.
Surely the Crew can get a few prospects in return, but I don't see any way to get those without contributing cash to a deal.
Fun Fact: Royce Clayton was "Claytoned" for Bill Hall in 2003 when he was 33. Jenkins is 32 ... and an old 32 at that.
Don't Discount Geoff's defense
Don't discount his field play. He's an EXCELLENT defensive player, especially when we had Carlos in left.
The local reporters all love Geoff and will defend him to the end.
by Rickster on Aug 4, 2006 1:17 PM CDT reply actions
Run away! Run away!
He's probably about to tell you that, despite the gun for an arm, he is actually a below-average rightfielder defensively. (Probably because he can't run.) You wouldn't think so, would you?
The gun
that gun...
And he can't pitch!
by Jeff Sackmann on Aug 5, 2006 5:39 AM CDT up reply actions

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