I have been reading a lot about record in 1-run games being based on luck.  I understand it, but don't completely agree with it.  Wed. game if a perfect example.  If Billy's double is two feet higher, the Crew wins by 1.  But it did not and was a double, an IBB and home run later, the Crew wins by 3.  Now how is that win any better/luckier than if Hall's ball clear.  That is why I don't like the expected W-L.