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Exodus in the Bronx

Here's my latest Hardball Times column.

In it, I discuss the fates of the Yankees with the possibilities that A-Rod, Posada, and Rivera could all leave.  It's not pretty.

All three have some bearing on the Brewers, actually.  A much-rumored destination for A-Rod has long been the Cubs.  That would mean dumping Aramis somewhere else (or moving the Rod back to short, which I think is ill-advised at this point), but it would definitely make them a better team, at least for the next two or three years.  But man, when that contract got old, and Soriano gets old...ouch.

Rivera is most pertinent to the market for Cordero.  If Rivera re-signs with the Yankees, Eric Gagne's recent implosions have meant that Coco is the closer on the market.  It's not out of the question for him to get something like $75MM over 5 years.  I don't know how much that changes if Rivera tests the market.  Might mean more money for Coco if the Yankees start bidding; might mean less because the team most desperate for a big-name closer (I don't know who that is) will spend on Mo instead.

And Posada...well, I'd love nothing more than to see him in a Brewers uniform, but for no more than three years.  Whoever signs him will probably be somewhat disappointed starting in '08 -- he's an old catcher coming off a career year.  He may be the most valuable free agent on the market, relative to other free agents at his position, but the deal he signs this winter will ensure that he's going to get paid a lot of money to be a mediocre part-time DH when he's 40.