Top Win Expectancy shifts:
14.8% - Ryan Theriot's 4th inning, 2-out, 2-run single to increase Chicago's lead to 3-0.
10.9% - Mark DeRosa's 4th inning, 1-out, 1-run single to give the Cubs a 1-0 lead.
8.9% - Cliff Floyd's 4th inning, 2-out, 2-run double to extend Chicago's lead to 5-0.
6.7% - After Floyd's 4th inning single, Ryan Theriot getting thrown out at third for the 2nd out in the inning.
6.4% - Ted Lilly's 4th inning, 1-out strikeout while batting with the bases loaded and the Cubs up 1-0.
(Click on the graph for a larger version)