Tonight's matchup at RFK is Dave Bush against Mike Bacsik. Bacsik has been surprisingly mediocre (as opposed to hopelessly bad); depressingly, he's been better than Bush so far this year, at least measured by ERA.
A few statistical notes on the state of the race:
BP's postseason odds: still hanging in there at 79%. The Cubs are gaining some Wild Card percentage points, but oddly enough, over the last two series, the Brewers third-order winning percentage has gone up while the Cubs has gone down.
- Similarly, the Brewers are at #7 in the BP Hit List, with the Cubs at #11 and no more Central teams until #23. Wow.
- Finally, here are some series probabilities, including a better than one-quarter shot at a sweep.