Except for shooty babitt, and me on the low end, and Jeff on the high end, our projections for Bill Hall were between an OPS of .811 and .835. ZiPS and marcel agree for the most part with that assesment. Nobody agrees with Jeff's .866 and chone sees the same things that shooty babitt (.770) and I (.787) see, which is a falling contact rate. With a more potent lineup, pitchers will have to be going after Bill Hall, and i think the league is finding some pretty big holes in his swing. Compare Billy's '06 with his '07, what's different? The only thing really is the HRs. In '06 his HR/FB% was 19.4% and in '07 it fell to 10.3%. I think our projection has converted Hall into a hitter who'll hit for better contact and I just don't see that happening. I'll take the under on this one.
kingcharlesxii with a projection of .276/.337/.484 best represents the community's projection.
. pa ab h 1b 2b 3b hr bb avg obp slg ops
bcb 564 516 142 80 37 3 22 48 .274 .336 .484 .820
marcel 512 465 124 68 34 3 19 47 .271 .335 .483 .818
zips 503 136 76 37 3 20 50 .270 .336 .475 .811
chone 549 499 128 75 32 2 19 50 .257 .324 .443 .767
bb for chone and marcel include hpb. marcel avg, obp, slg calculated by me.
Find the projection systems here: marcel, zips, chone, bcb community projection