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Game Thread #26: Brewers (14-11) at Cubs (16-9)

Lots of storylines here, in addition to the usual Cubs-Brewers stuff.  Sheets is back, let's hope for more than 5 innings.  Cameron has finally arrived, though with the way Kapler and Gwynn played, we didn't miss him very much.  And, of course, we only had the one day off, so we need a lot of innings from our starters to protect our hopeless overworked bullpen (TM).

The matchup is Sheets and Jason Marquis, starting at 7:05 CT.  The Cubs are Soriano-less, but with the way the rest of the lineup has been hitting, it really doesn't matter.  If you want to delve deeper into the splits, here's the BR Game Preview.

I'm not sure I'm going to keep doing this for every game all season long, but at least for this series, I fired up the Project-a-Tron again.  ZiPS really doesn't like Marquis this year, so it gives the Brewers a pretty big edge:

  • Brewers 5.85
  • Cubs 4.5
  • Brewers WinExp: 57%

That's as dramatic of a difference as the Project-a-Tron has spit out all year; without taking home-field into account, it's a 62/38 split in favor of the Crew.  Mr. Tron, of course, is assuming that Sheets will give us 6+, and that his arm won't fall off.

Go Brewers!