I've got a lot of tabs open right now, which means there are a lot of links to get to. Let's get at it.
- FanGraphs Win Probability graph
- BR Box Score
- BDD Daily Recaps
- BP Postseason Odds: 84 wins, 26% shot at the playoffs.
The big news this morning is that it's official, Turnbow is DFA'd and Dillon is back. It's disappointing that D-Bow hasn't been able to turn it around, but I do think it's well past time we cut our losses here. One interesting thought that has been popping up a little bit lately is that Melvin is too slow to cut the cord on his reclamation projects--Podsednik is a similar case that comes to mind. Branch Rickey was famous for saying it's better to trade a player a year too early than a year too late, and while you get bit occasionally for making that mistake, it's better than being saddled with someone as ineffective as D-Bow is right now.
A few writers at The Hardball Times ganged up to write a massive profile of Ben Sheets, including pitch f/x data, mechanics analysis, and injury commentary.
The Junkball Blues looks at how the Crew has done against closers. It's interesting work, but he draws the wrong conclusions. In 13 closer appearances, we've been shut out 7 times and have scored 6 times. That's astonishingly good, to my eyes. Would you happy if your team's closer gave up a run or more every other appearance? That's essentially what we're turning opposition closers into.
Some injury news:
- Troy Tulowitzki will be out for a month, maybe two.
- Phil Hughes has a broken rib , and will probably be out for at least two months.
- Jimmy Rollins won't be back as scheduled, and there's no clear timetable for when he will be.
I'm not going to wade very far into the muck of the Bissinger/Costas/Leitch controversy, but I will point you to this great piece by Joe Posnanski, who straddles the blogger/reporter divide quite gracefully. And I'll say one more thing. Bissinger may have been honing his craft for 40 years, but his LaRussa book, Three Nights In August, was truly dreadful. Possibly the worst baseball book I have ever read. There is nothing more insulting than a quasi-analytical hagiography about an overrated, self-aggrandizing figure like TLR.
A couple of ex-Brewers notes. Richie Sexson hit his 300th career home run, and Greg Aquino cleared waivers (big surprise--his ERA is roughly the same as Turnbow's) and is headed to Norfolk. I don't remember seeing this in an earlier Mug, but Brady Clark is also in AAA--he talked about retiring, but has opted to spend some quality time with Claudio Vargas in New Orleans.
I think the Nationals Enquirer had too much to drink. Careful kids: drinking and photoshopping don't mix.
Derrick Goold has a nice article about Rick Ankiel and Pat Jordan's writing about him. When we played the Cards recently, I was thinking about the stories in baseball today that we'd still be talking about 40 or 50 years from now, and Ankiel is definitely one of them.
It's amazing how rarely I agree with Richard Justice. A couple of days ago, he decided to rip on the Astros FO for choosing Max Sapp, a high school catcher, in the first round of the 2006 draft. Amazingly, he uses the phrase, "they blew it" to describe the results of a draft pick made two years ago. True, Sapp is struggling in A ball, but dude, he's two years out of high school. He's younger than a lot of the guys who will be drafted this year. And anyway, first-round picks fizzle sometimes. We're doing just fine without the services of Jeremy Jeffress, who we chose well before the Astros picked Sapp.
Finally, a happy story. John Wilson is a 53-year-old senior at Penn State Altoona, and a key part of their baseball program. He's friends with Dusty Baker, too, though I guess I can forgive him for that.
Drink up, but don't drink it too fast. This cup runneth over!