Last time we checked in with Andy Seiler, he had the Brewers projected to pick 12th in the 2010 June Draft. They've gone 1-3 since then to fall to 61-66, giving them a firmer grip on that spot. At present, they're still two games better than Toronto, who has the 11th spot, and a game worse than Houston, who holds pick #13.
With 35 games left to play, now seems like as good a time as any to take a look at how the Brewers can change their draft standing in the remaining month of the 2009 season. Follow the jump for the full table, but first, a few notes and disclaimers:
- For the purpose of projections, I assumed every major league team except the Brewers would continue on their current pace. This obviously won't happen but it gives us a basic starting point.
- Assuming teams continue on their current pace, the Brewers cannot finish with baseball's best or worst record. Going 35-0 the rest of the way would leave them at 96-66, five games back of the Yankees, who project to win 101 games. Going 0-35 would leave them at 61-101, three games better than the Nationals, who project to go 58-104. All other outcomes are possible, at least mathematically.
- 2010 draft order will be determined by 2009 record, with 2008 record being used as a tiebreaker. Because the Brewers had baseball's sixth best record in 2008, they only have a tiebreaker advantage over five teams.
- The Rangers (#15) and Rays (#31) will receive compensation picks in next year's draft for failing to sign this year's first round picks, so the final pick in the first round will be #32.
Follow the jump for more, and the table of outcomes.
|Brewer record||Draft Pick|
|3-32 or worse||2|
|5-30 or 4-31||3|
|8-27 or 7-28||5|
|9-26 or 10-25||6|
|11-24 or 12-23||9|
|13-22, 14-21 or 15-20||11|
|19-16 or 20-15||16|
|25-10, 26-9 or 27-8||22|
|29-6 or 30-5||24|
|32-3 or 33-2||27|
I know this table is a confusing, jumbled up mess, so if someone has a better idea for how to display it, I'm open to suggestions.
Worth noting, though: Picks 1-16 (the first 15 picks, plus the Rangers' compensation pick) in the 2010 Draft will be protected, meaning the Brewers could not lose it as compensation for signing a Type A free agent. The Brewers will stay in the protected picks with a record of 19-16 or worse the rest of the way.
And, of course, this is not an excuse to root against the Brewers the rest of the way, just a nice silver lining to look at if they continue to play as they have lately.