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Game Thread #33: Braves (14-18) at Brewers (15-17)

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Current Series

Braves lead the series 1-0

Mon 05/10 WP: Tommy Hanson (3 - 2)
LP: Doug Davis (1 - 4)
2 - 8 loss

Atlanta Braves
@ Milwaukee Brewers

Tuesday, May 11, 2010, 7:10 PM CDT
Miller Park

Mostly cloudy. Winds blowing in from left field at 20-30 m.p.h. Game time temperature around 50.

Complete Coverage >

Wed 05/12 12:10 PM CDT


Follow us after the jump for tonight's pitching matchup, lineups and more!

Dave Bush (1-2, 4.19) is making his seventh start of the season and has already made three quality starts, but the Brewers are just 1-5 when he takes the mound. He had a disaster start three turns ago against the Cubs, but has allowed just four earned runs in twelve innings since, good for a 3.00 ERA. His peripheral numbers show some signs of trouble, though: He's walking 3.9 batters per nine innings (up from a career average of 2.2), and striking out just five (down from 6.1).

FanGraphs would suggest a drop in velocity is a contributing factor: Bush's average fastball has dropped to 85.9 mph this season, down from his 88.8 career average and 87.9 last season. His fastball, slider and curve combine to account for 86% of his pitches, and all three are below average in run value. Two Braves have seen him at least ten times:

Player PA AVG OBP SLG OPS
Nate McLouth 23 .400 .478 .650 1.128
Troy Glaus 11 .222 .364 .222 .586

For the Braves, it's Tim Hudson (2-1, 2.82). He'll make his seventh start tonight, matching his total from all of last season. He's been very good so far in May, allowing just three earned runs in 13.2 innings (2.05 ERA), and has lasted at least six innings of each of his last three starts despite never throwing more than 96 pitches. His strikeouts are way down, though: He's averaging just 3.8 K/9, down from 6.1 for his career.

His velocity is actually a little up this year: He's averaging 91.2 mph on his fastball, which he throws 65.3% of the time. He also throws a slider, cutter, curve, change and splitter, but doesn't throw any of them more than 10% of the time. His fastball is very good, worth 2.27 runs per 100 pitches. Seven Brewers have faced him at least ten times:

Player PA AVG OBP SLG OPS
Jim Edmonds 26 .400 .500 .600 1.100
Craig Counsell 24 .286 .348 .381 .729
Prince Fielder 18 .235 .278 .235 .513
Corey Hart 18 .353 .389 .471 .859
Gregg Zaun 16 .286 .375 .286 .661
Rickie Weeks 12 .000 .000 .000 .000
Ryan Braun 11 .455 .455 .455 .909

Rickie Weeks will get another shot for his first hit off Hudson tonight. After getting the day off yesterday, Corey Hart and Gregg Zaun are back in the lineup. Meanwhile, Ryan Braun will get his first night off of the season:

Rickie Weeks 2B
Jody Gerut LF
Jim Edmonds CF
Prince Fielder 1B
Casey McGehee 3B
Gregg Zaun C
Corey Hart RF
Alcides Escobar SS
Dave Bush P

And in the bullpen:

Manny Parra pitched 2.1 innings (35 pitches) yesterday.
Claudio Vargas pitches 1 inning (23 pitches) yesterday.

Todd Coffey pitched 1 inning (25 pitches) Sunday.Jeff Suppan pitched 1 inning (13 pitches) Sunday.
Carlos Villanueva pitched 1 inning (11 pitches) Sunday.
Mitch Stetter pitched .1 inning (3 pitches) Sunday.
Trevor Hoffman pitched 1 inning (12 pitches) Friday

Enjoy the game!