Tonight's five biggest moments, as sorted by shift in Win Expectancy:
1) Justin Upton's fifth inning home run: -.241 WPA (Video)
Early on the Brewers seemed to be cruising until this moment, as Upton homered with Aaron Hill on base and tied the game. This was the third homer Greinke allowed in the game, and the one that prevented him from getting the win.
2) Ryan Braun's first inning homer: +.174 WPA (Video)
After Corey Hart singled to lead off the first, Ryan Braun came to the plate with one out and brought him home with a long home run to center to give the Brewers their first lead at 2-0.
3) Jonathan Lucroy's safety squeeze/Diamondbacks error: +.148 WPA (Video)
Today's winning run scored on this play, as Jerry Hairston Jr. came home from third in the sixth inning on Lucroy's bunt. As an added bonus, the ball got away and Yuniesky Betancourt advanced to third while Lucroy reached safely. Both would later score.
4) Paul Goldschmidt's second inning home run: -.098 WPA (Video)
The first Diamondbacks run scored on this play, as Paul Goldschmidt took Greinke deep to right leading off the second inning.
5) Prince Fielder's third inning single: +.094 WPA
Ryan Braun doubled with two outs in the inning and Prince Fielder brought him home with this single, extending the Brewers' early lead from 2-1 to 3-1.