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Community Projections: Relief Pitchers

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Bullpens will have plenty of variability over the course of the year, there's really no telling who will end up making major contributions this season. Last year, the three best options ended up being John Axford, Zach Braddock, and Kameron Loe, and I didn't bother putting down any of the three for our preseason projections last year-- and in fact they threw a total of 7 major league innings in 2009, all by Axford. So despite that, I think the bullpen will be a bit more settled this year and I've narrowed it down to the 6 most likely to make an impact-- and I think anyone after these top 6 would probably be projected near replacement level, which is about a 4.5 ERA for a reliever, anyways. 

John Axford

ZiPS: 69 IP, 3.62 ERA

2010: 58 IP, 2.13 FIP, 2.4 tERA, 2.48 ERA

Zach Braddock

ZiPS: 45 IP, 3.35 ERA

2010: 33 IP, 2.9 FIP, 3.15 tERA, 2.94 ERA

Latroy Hawkins

ZiPS: 41 IP, 3.95 ERA

2009: 63 IP, 3.97 FIP, 4.8 tERA, 2.13 ERA

2010: 16 IP, 3.95 FIP, 4.38 tERA, 8.44 ERA

Manny Parra

ZiPS: 152 IP, 4.84 ERA (as a starter)

2009: 140 IP, 4.88 FIP, 4.78 tERA, 6.36 ERA

2010: 122 IP, 4.5 FIP, 4.59 tERA, 5.02 ERA

Takashi Saito

ZiPS: 49 IP, 3.08 ERA

2009: 55 IP, 4.25 FIP, 4.07 tERA, 2.43 ERA

2010: 54 IP, 2.43 FIP, 2.19 tERA, 2.83 ERA

Kameron Loe

ZiPS: 115 IP, 4.62 ERA

2010: 58 IP, 3.71 FIP, 3.66 tERA, 2.78 ERA