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Today's Matchup: Pirates (Correia) at Brewers (Greinke)

The Brewers are going for the series sweep against the Pirates today. 

Pittsburgh will try to prevent that by sending Kevin Correia (5-3, 3.25) to the mound.  Correia has been, perhaps, the Pirates best pitcher this season and has been dazzling on the road, where he has won each of his five starts and has a 1.56 ERA.  This year, both his K/9 and BB/9 rates are nearly half of his career numbers and his HR rate is down significantly as well.  He is also allowing a fairly low BABIP, .257, so he may be getting somewhat lucky, too.  His current FIP, 3.93, would be the third best mark in his career and his current ERA would be a career best. 

According to texas leaguers, Correia throws six different pitches: A cutter, a two seam and a four seam fastball in the low 90s, a high 80s slider, a mid 80s changeup, and a high 70s curveball.  Fangraphs has both his fastball and his slider at above average for his career, with those two and his changeup being above average this year.  Correia has faced five different Brewers at least ten times.  Here's how they've fared:

PA Slash Line
Ryan Braun 19 .263/.263/.474
Rickie Weeks 18 .250/.333/.375
Prince Fielder 16 .231/.313/.462
Casey McGehee 12 .400/.417/.500
Craig Counsell 10 .222/.300/.333

 

Opposing them will be the great Zack Greinke (1-1, 5.40).  Greinke wasn't the best in his first game with the Brewers, then pitched well in his second game before struggling in his latter innings.  Therefore, today he should be dazzling.  Greinke has faced just one Pirate hitter more than ten times, with that being former Brewer Lyle Overbay, who has seen the pitcher 22 times.  Overbay has hit .381/.409/.714 over that time.

Lineups:

Weeks 4
Gomez 8
Braun 7
Fielder 3
McGehee 5
Hart 9
Betancourt 6
Lucroy 2
Greinke 1

McCutchen 8
Tabata 7
Jones 9
Walker 4
Overbay 3
Alvarez 5
Snyder 2
Cedeno 6
Correia 1

And in the bullpen:

Mike McClendon pitched 1 inning (26 pitches) yesterday. 
LaTroy Hawkins pitched 1 inning (22 pitches) yesterday.
Kameron Loe pitched .1 inning (5 pitches) on yesterday.
Mitch Stetter faced two batters (23 pitches) yesterday.

John Axford pitched 1 inning (10 pitches) Friday.
Marco Estrada pitched 2 innings (31 pitches) Friday.

Sergio Mitre
pitched 2.2 innings (17 pitches) on Wednesday.
.
Tim Dillard has yet to pitch since being called up.