Not shockingly, the highest scoring play is also the biggest turning point. The game was still tied at 1-1 at this point, but Jones' home run gave the Braves a big lead.
Lucroy knocked Aramis Ramirez in for the Brewers first run of the night. This tied the game up at one run apiece before the Jones home run. It was also the only run the Brewers would score until the ninth inning.
3) Martin Prado's Double Off of Chris Narveson (-.103 WPA)
With one out in the third inning and Brandon Beachy on first, Martin Prado doubled to left field, moving Beachy and Prado into scoring position. Of course, where they were on the basepaths didn't matter as they were soon cleared by Jones' homer.
A fielding error by Martin Prado allowed Aramis Ramirez to reach base and move up to second. This set up Lucroy's RBI single and gave the Brewers the only run they had against Beachy, even if it was an unearned run.
5)Chris Narveson (-.065 WPA)
Michael Bourn doubled in the very first Braves at-bat of the afternoon. Anytime your first batter reaches second, you have a pretty good chance at scoring, and that's just what happened as Bourn was driven in on a sacrifice fly from Brian McCann after previously moving to third on a sacrifice bunt.