A Conversation On Ron Roenicke And Managerial Longevity

On Sunday High Heat Stats posted the following tweet and got my mind working a bit:

Phil Garner is Brewers' all-time winningest manager, with 563. Yost had 457, Trebelhorn 422. Roenicke's got a shot if he can stick around.

— High Heat Stats (@HighHeatStats) August 26, 2012

Roenicke picked up career win #155 in his 288th managerial game Sunday. Assuming the Brewers play roughly .500 ball over that time and don't opt to make a managerial change, he'd pass Garner for first place on the Brewer all time list sometime late in the 2017 season. That'd be his seventh season with the Crew.

Phil Garner is the only Brewer manager ever to last seven seasons, as he was at the helm for eight from 1992-99. Ned Yost and Tom Trebelhorn got six years. Not counting interim placeholders Jim Lefebvre, Dale Sveum and Roy McMillan, eight of the 15 managers in Brewer history have run the team for two seasons or less. Roenicke has been on the job for less than two full seasons and later this week he may become the seventh winningest manager in franchise history.

We debate Roenicke's merits and drawbacks a fair amount around here, and even our writing staff contains a pretty diverse collection of opinions on him. I'm not 100% negative on Roenicke, but I'll be surprised if he's still managing this team in 2017. What do you think?