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Around the Wild Card Race: September 27 Edition

News, results, and other notes from the NL Wild Card race for September 27, 2012.

Joe Robbins - Getty Images

i have no news or notes for you today, so let's just jump down and take a look at yesterday's results:

  • Milwaukee got the offense going again, as they collected four runs off Bronson Arroyo and another four off of Cincinnati's bullpen, and they kept their hopes alive with a big 8-1 win. Kyle has the recap if you missed it. (Box Score)
  • Los Angeles stayed alive with a big peformance from their superstar, as Matt Kemp went 4-for-5 with 4 RBI in a big 8-2 win over San Diego. (Box Score)
  • Kyle Kendrick got roughed up by Washington, allowing five runs in two innings as they took an early 5-0 lead. Philadelphia rallied to get it to 5-4, but a three-run burst in the ninth extended the lead to 8-4 and Washington held on to win. (Box Score)
  • Though Atlanta has a Wild Card spot locked up, they are in a similar spot to Milwaukee as they have a slight chance at something better (in their case, the division championship). They kept hope alive in that chase as they shut out Miami 3-0 behind 6 2/3 innings of shutout baseball from Paul Maholm. (Box Score)
  • Pittsburgh's playoff hopes came to an end in a rough way in New York. Jeff Locke has roughed up for five runs, and Jeremy Hefner pitched seven shutout innings on route to a 6-0 win. (Box Score)
  • Houston and Minute Maid park said goodbye to the National League said goodbye to NL play as they helped out other teams in the NL with a 2-0 win over St. Louis. Bud Norris had 7 1/3 innings of two-hit shutout baseball, and the offense put up just enough to get by. (Box Score)
  • Tell any coach looking for a game for his team to watch for good defense to ignore this game. Both teams combined for five errors, but only San Francisco was able to take advantage of any of them. They got Arizona for five runs (two unearned) in the first five innings, and Matt Cain threw seven shutout innings to get the Giants a 6-0 win. (Box Score)

Here are the updated Wild Card standings:

W L GB Last 10 Streak Elimination #
Atlanta 90 65 - 8-2 W4 -
St. Louis 84 72 - 8-2 L1 -
LA Dodgers 80 75 3.5 5-5 W1 4
Milwaukee 80 75 3.5 7-3 W1 4
Arizona 78 77 5.5 7-3 L1 2
Philadelphia 78 77 5.5 5-5 L1 2

Since St. Louis lost, those elimination numbers mostly remained steady while the games back numbers went down. Milwaukee and Los Angeles remained within reasonable distance with wins, but Arizona and Philadelphia are almost done as everything needs to go their way now for them to make it to the playoffs.

Pittsburgh was officially eliminated from contention with their loss yesterday. At this point, they have to go 5-2 to break their streak of sub-.500 seasons, and 6-1 to get a winning season.

It's still an uphill battle to make the playoffs, but the chances are better than yesterday. Here are the updated playoff odds from

Date Odds
Today (9/26) 7.0%
Yesterday (9/25) 2.2%
One Week Ago (9/19) 13.9%
Two Weeks Ago (9/12) 7.1%
One Month Ago (8/26) 0.1%

St. Louis is off today, which means that everyone has a chance to make up a half-game, or lose a half-game. Here are the games on the schedule for the last scheduled Thursday of the regular season.

Milwaukee vs. Cincinnati - 11:35 AM CDT
Wily Peralta (2-1, 3.04 ERA) vs. Mat Latos (13-4, 3.60 ERA)

Arizona vs. San Francisco - 2:45 PM CDT
Patrick Corbin (6-7, 4.36 ERA) vs. Barry Zito (13-8, 4.18 ERA)

Washington vs. Philadelphia - 6:05 PM CDT
Gio Gonzalez (20-8, 2.84 ERA) vs. Tyler Cloyd (2-1, 3.86 ERA)

Miami vs. Atlanta - 6:10 PM CDT
Jacob Turner (2-4, 5.23 ERA) vs. Tommy Hanson (12-9, 4.46 ERA)

LA Dodgers vs. San Diego - 9:05 PM CDT
Chris Capuano (11-11, 3.74 ERA) vs. Casey Kelly (2-2, 5.55 ERA)

Idle: St. Louis