Bovada lists Ron Roenicke as fourth most likely to be first manager fired in 2013

Ron Roenicke has roughly a one-in-eight chance of being the first major league manager to be fired in 2013, according to a recent email from Bovada.

The online casino has 7:1 odds on Roenicke being the first skipper dismissed, leaving him behind only Phillies manager Charlie Manuel (4:1), Padres manager Bud Black (9:2) and Twins manager Ron Gardenhire (5:1). No other NL Central manager is on the list, although former Brewers and current Royals manager Ned Yost is listed as the seventh most likely at 9:1.

Despite a 4-8 start in 2013 Roenicke has a 183-153 record over three seasons at the helm in Milwaukee, and his 30 wins over .500 are the second best mark in franchise history (trailing Harvey Kuenn at 42 games). He's currently sixth on the franchise all-time list for wins despite being eighth in games managed.

Elsewhere in new odds:

• Bovada gives the Brewers a 100:1 chance to win the World Series. That's down from 50:1 on March 29.
• Their chances to win the NL are at 40:1, compared to 22:1 less than a month ago.
• They're currently an 18:1 bet to win the NL Central, down from 13:2 on March 29.