By the time the end of the season rolls around, Wily Peralta (4.30 ERA, 4.21 FIP) may be able to get his ERA under 4.00 despite a 6.35 ERA at the end of May. That's how good Peralta has been since June. Over his last 14 starts, Peralta has a 2.98 ERA and has held opponents to just a .645 OPS. He may not be striking out many still (6.18 K/9 since June 1), but he has not allowed hitters to make good contact against him.
I took a look at how Peralta has been caught differently by Jonathan Lucroy and Martin Maldonado a week ago.
Peralta has already faced four Reds hitters at ten times in his brief career:
For the Reds, Homer Bailey (3.81 ERA, 3.14 FIP) will take the mound. After a hot start to the season, Bailey has cooled off some. Since May 30, he has a 4.34 ERA and has generally been not as unhittable as he had looked previously. However, he has had a couple of phenomenal starts over that span as well, including a no-hitter against the Giants on July 2 and 8.1 innings against the Padres with one unearned run.
Bailey throws five pitches: A 94 MPH four-seamer (39%), a 94 MPH two-seamer (25%), an 88 MPH slider (16%), an 86 MPH changeup (11%), and a 79 MPH curveball (10%).
Bailey has faced five Brewers at least ten times. Here is how they have fared: