Today's matchup: Milwaukee (Peralta) vs Cincinnati (Bailey)

By the time the end of the season rolls around, Wily Peralta (4.30 ERA, 4.21 FIP) may be able to get his ERA under 4.00 despite a 6.35 ERA at the end of May. That's how good Peralta has been since June. Over his last 14 starts, Peralta has a 2.98 ERA and has held opponents to just a .645 OPS. He may not be striking out many still (6.18 K/9 since June 1), but he has not allowed hitters to make good contact against him.

I took a look at how Peralta has been caught differently by Jonathan Lucroy and Martin Maldonado a week ago.

Peralta has already faced four Reds hitters at ten times in his brief career:

For the Reds, Homer Bailey (3.81 ERA, 3.14 FIP) will take the mound. After a hot start to the season, Bailey has cooled off some. Since May 30, he has a 4.34 ERA and has generally been not as unhittable as he had looked previously. However, he has had a couple of phenomenal starts over that span as well, including a no-hitter against the Giants on July 2 and 8.1 innings against the Padres with one unearned run.

Bailey throws five pitches: A 94 MPH four-seamer (39%), a 94 MPH two-seamer (25%), an 88 MPH slider (16%), an 86 MPH  changeup (11%), and a 79 MPH curveball (10%).

Bailey has faced five Brewers at least ten times. Here is how they have fared:

Lineups: