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Brewers 5, Cubs 3: Still in line for a top-five draft pick

Hellweg was good, and a big inning led to a Brewers win.

I've heard of a youth renaissance, but this is ridiculous.
I've heard of a youth renaissance, but this is ridiculous.
Tasos Katopodis

Win: Johnny Hellweg (1-3)
Loss: Jake Arrieta (3-4)
Save: Jim Henderson (23)

HR: Valbuena (10), Bogusevic (4)

MVP: Logan Schafer (.231 WPA)
LVP: Jean Segura (-.189 WPA)

Fangraphs Win Expectancy Graph

Some people--a lot of people?--aren't going to agree with this: I'm disappointed the Brewers won. Not that I'm despairing on the fact that they tried to win. Team's shouldn't throw a game willingly with no positive reasons i.e. starting young players. But I would have rather seen the Brewers lose and move ahead of the Cubs (behind the Cubs) for the fourth spot in the 2014 draft. The Brewers left behind 20 losing seasons by getting consistently high draft picks. I don't want a top pick for the next ten years or anything, but at this point, a good pick next year would be nice.

Me, I want the best possible result from the remainder of the 2013 season. To me, the best possible result would be getting the best possible draft pick and/or playing young players consistently, sometimes ahead of guys like Aramis Ramirez and Norichika Aoki and Rickie Weeks. I want to learn more about the young players and whether they can contribute in future years, and I want to acquire the best possible player in the draft.

The Brewers have done a good job at both for the most part. Khris Davis, Caleb Gindl, Logan Schafer and Scooter Gennett have all gotten good playing time. Tyler Thornburg and Johnny Hellweg are getting starts. And the Brewers are still in line for the fifth pick in next years draft. But man, they are so close to taking the fourth pick from the Cubs and have a decent shot at overtaking the White Sox for the third pick. Overtaking the Marlins and Astros is probably too much to ask for. Oh well. I won't complain about winning. I'm just very OK with losing at this point.

Speaking of Hellweg, he was OK today. He threw six innings and earned a quality start with three earned runs against him. He also only allowed four hits. But the lack of control was still there: He gave up three walks while throwing a strike 60% of the time. Not the worst, but he could improve.

The Cubs scored first with a two-run Luis Valbuena homer in the second inning. Through three innings, Cubs starter Jake Arrieta had allowed just two walks, but blew up in the fourth inning. Jonathan Lucroy and Aramis Ramirez both reached base to lead off the inning before Scooter Gennett drove in a run with a single. Caleb Gindl walked to load the bases. After Juan Francisco struck out for the first out of the inning, Logan Schafer tripled to bring home three runs and give Milwaukee a 4-2 lead.

Brian Bogusevic homered in the sixth to cut the lead to one run. The Brewers got an insurance run in the ninth, however, as Jonathan Lucroy tripled with Norichika Aoki on base. Jim Henderson had no problems in the bottom of the frame, and that was that.

The Brewers and Cubs play one more tomorrow. First pitch is scheduled for 1:20 CT.