The over/under results are in; we expect big things from the outfield

Thanks for playing along, everyone! Here are the final tallies for the position players. I asked you to choose if each player would beat their projected WAR total by considering the underlying components that make up that number, which are mainly overall hitting skill and defense. Here's a summary table of the votes:

The magnitude of the arrows in this next visual only mean that a significant majority of the participants chose the Over or the Under (outside of a 10% margin). The two bars within that inconclusive range, Gennett and Ramirez, didn't get arrows, though both had more "Under" votes than "Over" votes. Of course the only only player with a red arrow is Adam Lind, who is currently sitting at .5 Fangraphs WAR after his hot opening series. I wouldn't expect that pace to continue or we're going to need a much wider y-scale on this graph.

Additionally, here's a confidence ratio chart to give a better sense of the scale of the over/under votes. It's just the number of overs divided by the unders. That thick white bar at X=1 means that about the same amount of people chose the over as the under. These bars don't necessarily imply magnitude of beating projection-- if everyone thinks Khris Davis will beat his projection by .5, they would all vote the over-- but the breakdown is pretty interesting to me. We're expecting a big year from the outfield.