In short... no!
Oh... way back in 2012, MLB.com/Jonathan Mayo had the Brewers' hitting prospects ranked in this order (with their Brewer ranking noted).
6 - Scooter Gennett
7 - Hunter Morris
8 - Logan Schafer
10 - Clint Coulter
11 - Kentrail Davis
14 - Victor Roache
15 - Caleb Gindl
18 - Khris Davis
Hmmm... Khris Davis was ranked behind all of those guys? Fine... someone may say that Davis actually produced at the MiLB level. Well, if that's your criteria you should also be a fan of Garret Cooper and Nathan Orf.
Or, someone could say that none of them were really that good of prospects - not like Corey Ray, Brett Phillips or Lewis Brinson.
Well... from 2012 I also looked at the Texas Rangers. Their hitting prospects looked like...
(Just so age doesn't come into play, I listed birth year)
1. Jurickson Profar '93 --- #1 overall in MLB
2. Mike Olt '88 -------------- #16 overall in MLB --- who?
5. Jorge Alfaro '93
7. Luis Sardinas '93 --- hey, a former Brewer!
8. Jairo Beras '94
9. Rougned Odor '94
10. Joey Gallo '93
12. Nomar Mazara '95
15. Lewis Brinson '94 --- Hey... A CURRENT Brewer. He was ranked this low and still wound up being a Top-10 MLB prospect?
16. Ronald Guzman '94
19. Leury Garcia '91
So... out of 9 prospects born in '93, '94 and '95, Brinson was ranked 8th in the Rangers system.
I guess what I'm trying to say is that ALL of the prospects have some value... some more than others Players who are strong in only 1 or 2 areas and may not be highly ranked still could become solid contributors.Even 5-tool superstar prospects could wind up being just like Cameron Maybin, Bubba Starling or Corey Patterson.
You never know who is going to turn out to become the next Khris Davis, Mike Olt or Lewis Brinson. As long as they are not pulling a Michael Ratteree (.150/.260/.221 over 240 PA at A+) they are worth keeping an eye on to see if they can pull it all together.
My parting questions would be...
1. Who has a better chance of becoming a 4th/5th OF and having a Logan Schafer like career - Kyle Wren or Clint Coulter? I would say Wren.
2. Who has a better chance of becoming a fringe MLB starter with the potential to last 4 or 5 years as a starter - Kyle Wren or Clint Coulter? I would say Coulter.
