Throughout the season, I've been wondering how much results on the tracking poll are a lagging indicator of both positive and negative developments -- that is, whether attitude change has to build up a lot before it appears in the numbers. It's sort of hard to tell, because the four weekly measures have mostly not had their big ups and big downs at the same time. This week, the community (N = 44) hit David Stearns hard, knocking him below majority strong approval for the first time since mid-June. However, Craig Counsell's approval barely moved and remains pretty much where it's been all year. Win and playoff expectations dropped, but just a touch. So maybe the Aaron Brooks pick-up pushed a bunch of people out of strong approval? One place where we see an easier to understand trend is in pace of game evaluations, where we've moved from 10% "too slow" in April to 30% today, 120+ games into the season. I'm sure Rob Manfred is very happy to know we're coming around.
1. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Craig Counsell is doing as the manager of the Brewers?
Wk 21 Wk 20 Wk 19 Wk 18 Wk 17 Wk 16 Wk 15 Wk 14 Strongly approve 18% 16% 15% 13% 20% 12% 30% 17% Approve 66% 68% 51% 59% 63% 77% 65% 71% Disapprove 5% 7% 13% 12% 12% 2% 1% 5% Strongly disapprove 2% 3% 5% 3% 2% 4% 1% 2% Undecided 9% 7% 15% 13% 4% 6% 3% 6%
2. Do you approve or disapprove of the job David Stearns is doing as the general manager of the Brewers?
Wk 21 Wk 20 Wk 19 Wk 18 Wk 17 Wk 16 Wk 15 Wk 14 Strongly approve 41% 55% 54% 49% 51% 50% 72% 60% Approve 57% 45% 44% 48% 47% 42% 26% 40% Disapprove 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 1% 0% Strongly disapprove 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Undecided 2% 0% 3% 3% 2% 4% 1% 0%
3. How many games do you expect the Brewers to win in the 2017 regular season?
Wk 21 Wk 20 Wk 19 Wk 18 Wk 17 Wk 16 Wk 15 Wk 14 65 or less 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 66 to 70 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 71 to 75 2% 3% 0% 3% 2% 4% 4% 5% 76 to 80 21% 23% 13% 25% 18% 10% 6% 34% 81 to 85 64% 53% 74% 67% 73% 65% 47% 45% 85 to 90 11% 21% 13% 6% 8% 21% 41% 17% 91 or more 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 3% 0%
4. What percent chance do you give the Brewers of making the postseason this year?
Wk 21 Wk 20 Wk 19 Wk 18 Wk 17 Wk 16 Wk 15 Wk 14 Less than 5 7% 6% 5% 9% 6% 4% 1% 8% 5 to 9 16% 19% 13% 19% 6% 2% 2% 6% 10 to 20 50% 42% 49% 45% 45% 27% 13% 28% More than 20 27% 32% 33% 28% 43% 67% 85% 58% ---- Mean 19% 21% 18% 17% 22% 34% 46% 28%
5. How do you feel about the pace of Brewers games in 2017?
Aug Jul Jun May Apr The games are moving too slowly 30% 24% 23% 17% 10% The games are moving at a good pace 70% 77% 75% 83% 90% The games are moving too quickly 0% 0% 2% 0% 0%
6. So far in 2017, how many Brewers games have you followed live (through TV, radio, or being at the stadium) in a typical week?
Aug Jul Jun May Apr None 5% 4% 4% 7% 5% Just 1 or 2 11% 10% 18% 17% 19% About half 36% 29% 30% 28% 23% Most or all 48% 57% 48% 47% 53%
7. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Darnell Coles is doing as the hitting coach of the Brewers?
Strongly approve 11% Approve 66% Disapprove 11% Strongly disapprove 0% Undecided 11%
8. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Derek Johnson is doing as the pitching coach of the Brewers?
Strongly approve 14% Approve 73% Disapprove 7% Strongly disapprove 0% Undecided 7%
9. Do you approve or disapprove of the decision to option Brandon Woodruff and go with a four-man rotation until September?
Strongly approve 14% Approve 52% Disapprove 11% Strongly disapprove 11% Undecided 11%
10. After rosters expand, who should be the Brewers' primary center fielder?
Keon Broxton 41% Brett Phillips 16% Broxton/Phillips platoon 43%