FanPost

BCB Tracking Poll - Results for Week 26

For all the sturm und drang we've seen in game threads over the last month or so, the regular season is ending with people showing a lot of satisfaction. The community (N = 45) gave Craig Counsell his highest strong approval number of the year, while David Stearns was near a season high if we exclude the two weeks when we surged up to 100+ participants and strong support for him exceeded 70%. A bare majority also expected the Brewers to reach at least 86 wins, something which they'll need to win three of their last four to accomplish. Playoff expectations remain surprisingly robust, and well ahead of where projections stand (a bit under 20% to start the week, about 10% yesterday, and 4% today). In the #2 face of the Brewers tracker, we got what is maybe the most interesting finding of the year -- Jimmy Nelson got 10% of the vote last month, but following his injury he got none. To me, this suggests he's very much not in play for the #2 spot, even though he has the highest expectation for Cy Young votes on the Brewers staff. Travis Shaw and Orlando Arcia maintain their positions from last month, and as they continue to emerge (either with MVP votes this year or perhaps All-Star appearances in 2018), that will likely solidify among the broader public. Looking forward to next year, there is mild confidence. A majority think the team will be where it is now or worse, but the modal response is an increase in the range of 3-7 wins.

For my money, the nicest thing about this final regular season poll is seeing the winning season projection line start at 1% in week 1 and make its way up to the top over the course of the season. Back in week 1, the average expectation was 74 wins; the Brewers are going to beat that by at least nine and as many as 13. The 10% average chance we gave the Brewers of making the playoffs back then has been belied by the fact they're still alive with four games left to play. There's good reason to expect our 30-year-old catcher is going to get Rookie of the Year votes, and that a guy received as one of four in return for a relief pitcher is going to get MVP votes. Whatever happens between now and Monday, I vote "Approve" on this season.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Craig Counsell is doing as the manager of the Brewers?

                   Wk 26 Wk 25 Wk 24 Wk 23 Wk 22 Wk 21 Wk 20 Wk 19
Strongly approve     31%   25%   20%   11%   18%   18%   16%   15%
Approve              60%   64%   63%   70%   73%   66%   68%   51%
Disapprove            7%    5%   10%    9%    4%    5%    7%   13%
Strongly disapprove   2%    2%    2%    4%    2%    2%    3%    5%
Undecided             0%    5%    5%    6%    4%    9%    7%   15%

2. Do you approve or disapprove of the job David Stearns is doing as the general manager of the Brewers?

                   Wk 26 Wk 25 Wk 24 Wk 23 Wk 22 Wk 21 Wk 20 Wk 19
Strongly approve     58%   72%   56%   53%   55%   41%   55%   54%
Approve              42%   27%   44%   45%   45%   57%   45%   44%
Disapprove            0%    1%    0%    0%    0%    0%    0%    0%
Strongly disapprove   0%    0%    0%    2%    0%    0%    0%    0%
Undecided             0%    0%    0%    0%    0%    2%    0%    3%

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3. How many games do you expect the Brewers to win in the 2017 regular season?

           Wk 26 Wk 25 Wk 24 Wk 23 Wk 22 Wk 21 Wk 20 Wk 19
65 or less    --    --    --    --    --    0%    0%    0%
66 to 70      --    --    --    --    0%    2%    0%    0%
71 to 75      --    --    --    2%    4%    2%    3%    0%
76 to 80      --    4%    7%   13%   10%   21%   23%   13%
81 to 85     49%   25%   63%   70%   67%   64%   53%   74%
86 to 90     51%   72%   29%   15%   20%   11%   21%   13%
91 or more    --    0%    0%    0%    0%    0%    0%    0%

4. What percent chance do you give the Brewers of making the postseason this year?

             Wk 26 Wk 25 Wk 24 Wk 23 Wk 22 Wk 21 Wk 20 Wk 19
Less than 5     9%    2%    5%    6%    4%    7%    6%    5%
5 to 9         16%    6%   10%    9%   16%   16%   19%   13%
10 to 20       31%   31%   49%   30%   35%   50%   42%   49%
More than 20   44%   61%   37%   55%   45%   27%   32%   33%
----
Mean           21%   31%   21%   25%   21%   19%   21%   18%

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5. After Ryan Braun, whom do you consider to be "the face of the Brewers"?

                  Sep   Aug   Jul   Jun   May   Apr
Travis Shaw       42%   41%   28%   12%    0%    0%
Orlando Arcia     18%   20%   22%   11%    3%   10%
Craig Counsell    13%   10%    9%   20%    8%   22%
Bob Uecker        11%   10%    9%    7%    5%    2%
David Stearns      2%    4%    0%    0%    2%    0%
Eric Thames        2%    2%   10%   34%   62%   43%
Josh Hader         2%    0%    3%    0%    0%    0%
Hernán Pérez       2%    0%    0%    3%    5%    2%
Jimmy Nelson       0%   10%   12%    4%    0%    2%
Lewis Brinson      0%    0%    0%    3%    0%    0%
Eric Sogard        0%    0%    0%    3%    0%    0%
Jonathan Villar    0%    0%    0%    0%    3%    6%
Tim Dillard        0%    0%    0%    0%    0%    3%
Other people       0%    0%    4%    1%    2%    3%
Other players      2%    0%    3%    3%    3%    5%
Mascots            4%    2%    1%    0%    3%    3%

6. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of Fox Sports Wisconsin’s Brewers broadcasting team?

                   Sep   Aug   Jul   Jun   May   Apr
Very favorable     33%   31%   29%   38%   30%   25%
Favorable          58%   55%   58%   51%   62%   57%
Unfavorable         7%    4%    4%    1%    0%    8%
Very unfavorable    0%    0%    1%    1%    0%    0%
Undecided           2%   10%    7%    8%    8%   10%

7. Which Brewers, if any, do you expect to receive MVP votes?

Travis Shaw       56%
Corey Knebel       7%
Domingo Santana    4%
Chase Anderson     2%
Jimmy Nelson       2%
Zach Davies        2%
none              38%

8. Which Brewers, if any, do you expect to receive Cy Young votes?

Corey Knebel     22%
Jimmy Nelson     16%
Chase Anderson    9%
Zach Davies       9%
Josh Hader        2%
none             51%

9. Which Brewers, if any, do you expect to receive Rookie of the Year votes?

Josh Hader      42%
Manny Piña      31%
Brent Suter      4%
Jesús Aguilar    2%
none            42%

10. Regardless of how 2017 turns out, how many games do you expect the Brewers to win in the 2018 regular season?

65 or less    0%
66 to 70      0%
71 to 75      0%
76 to 80     20%
81 to 85     33%
86 to 90     40%
91 to 95      7%
96 or more    0%