Here it is. What I would do if I was Mr. Arnold:
· Christian Yelich, OF: $162.5MM through 2028 (including $6.5MM buyout of 2029 mutual option)
· Aaron Ashby, LHP: $18.5MM through 2027 (including $1MM buyout of 2028 club option)
· Freddy Peralta, RHP: $10.5MM through 2024 (including $1.5MM buyout of 2025 club option)
Total 2023 commitments: $30.5MM
Total future commitments: $191.5MM
· Kolten Wong, 2B: $10MM club option with $2MM buyout sign for now
· Brad Boxberger, RHP: $3MM club option, $750K buyout sign for now
· Hunter Renfroe (5.165): $11.2MM sign
· Brent Suter (5.161): $3.1MM Cut Lose
· Victor Caratini (5.051): $2.8MM sign for now
· Luis Perdomo (5.034): $1MM Cut lose
· Brandon Woodruff (4.161): $11MM Sign
· Matt Bush (4.132): $2MM sign
· Willy Adames (4.105): $9.2MM sign for now
· Trevor Gott (4.057): $1.4MM Cut lose
· Corbin Burnes (4.049): $11.4MM sign
· Eric Lauer (4.033): $5.2MM sign
· Jandel Gustave (4.027): $900K Cut lose
· Adrian Houser (4.010): $3.6MM sign
· Rowdy Tellez (4.004): $5.3MM trade
· Luis Urias (3.120): $4.3MM Sign
· Hoby Milner (3.068): $1.1MM Sign
· Devin Williams (3.056): $3.2MM sign
· Mike Brosseau (3.031): $1.2MM sign
· Keston Hiura (3.009): $2MM sign
Total Arbitration: $92.8 M
Total W/ long term salaries: $123.3 M
Twins get Corbin Burnes and Aaron Ashby: You may think there goes the rotation but wait a moment.
Brewers get Brooks Lee: Advanced bat to ball hitter to be our future third baseman. First year in the minors in 2022: .303 .388 .451 OPS: .839. Got a cup of coffee in AA ball. Projection to be Brewer starting third baseman in 2025.
Joe Ryan: Quality #2 or #3 starter. 26 year old. Had a 1.102 WHIP in 2022. A real starter to take the place of Ashby.
Matt Canterino: Minor league RHP was a stud but now requires Tommy John surgery and will likely miss 2023. Should be a potential 2024 bullpen arm and potential starter in 2025.
Jose Miranda: Power hitting right handed first base/ third base bat that is pre-arb eligible.
Marco Raya: lower level right handed power pitcher.
This trade is about the future but also provides some cost savings. Trade grade via https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trade-simulator/ Twins: 111.20 Brewers: 114.30
Trade with the Toronto Blue Jays:
Jansen: Starting catcher for the next two years
Climber: Durable, high leverage set up man
Cash: 20M and the reason for the cash is…
Berrios – a big contract starting pitcher who had a bad year in 2022 but may be a bounce back candidate.
(Average salary of $18.75M/yr through 2028. The $20M brings this down to around $15M a year. He will do better in the NL central and perhaps the pitching lab can fix what ales him.)
Blue Jays get: Tyrone Taylor and a bad contract off the books.
Trade for Patrick Henry just like the Brewers did. I think he is an MLB catcher and perhaps even a starting quality catcher in today's MLB.
Trade Hiura for a minor league pitcher with options. Hiura needs a different place to play baseball.
Pick up two or three more cheap pitchers with options.
Free Agent Signing: None – they are really expensive!
Starting pitchers: Woodruff, Peralta, Ryan, Lauer, Houser (swing man), Barrios
Bullpen: Williams, Climber, Boxburger, Small, Bush, Milner, Cousins
First Base/ DH: Miranda, Tellez,
Utility: Brosseau, Turang
Catcher: Jansen, Caratini or Henry
OF: Yellich, Mitchel, Renfroe, One of: Frelick, Ruiz, Wiemer)
Impact of the trades is a salary increase of $8M bringing things up to $131M but if you include the Blue Jays money (-$20M) and only Berrios salary for 2023 ($15M) it is actually around $125 for that one year.
This provides the Brewers with a better line up across the board with fewer holes. And with the demise of the shift it reorients the team towards balls in play while not diminishing power profile. It focusses on upgrades to the worse hitting position -- catcher. It provides greater depth in the bullpen and a real set up man in Climber. All without breaking the bank.
It also provides the team with starting first and third baseman for the foreseeable future.
What do you think Sirs?