The 2022 Brewers would have some significant turn over in 2023 to fit payroll constraints. The Hader trade is step in this direction. There are a number of other players that are in the later years of arbitration and they cost a bunch of money. Of those, it was determined that Hader was the most expensive and at that price -- the most expendable. With the Hader trade completed the Brewers have a total of $33,68 in contracted salaries for next year for three players and players buy outs. .
That seems very manageable. But they also have a whopping 18 players that are on the roster today, that would qualify for arbitration. Those player's current salaries are $49.525 million. But they won't all be around next year. But those that stay will get some hefty raises. (Burnes, Renfroe, Lauer, Caratini...) Probably 15 out of the 20 will remain with the Brewers and I would anticipate total costs of arb players to increase by 30% to about $64M
I believe that the Brewers will partake in a significant youth movement next year and as such end up with a reduced payroll and still have some room to spend if they so choose.
The 2023 Brewers:
Yelich under contract
Renfroe: Last year of arbitration
Taylor: Pre - Arb
Fifth Outfielder/DH: Yet to be determined and a place holder until a rookie comes up.
Tellez: 2nd year arbitration
Adames: 2nd year arbitration
Urias: 2nd year arbitration
Brosseau: Bench bat 1st year arb
Hiura: Bench bat 1st year arb
Caratini: Arb 3
Woodruff (although I could also see him traded) Yr 3 Arb
Burnes yr 2 Arb
Lauer: Year 2 arb
Houser: Year 2 Arb
Ashby: Pre -arb
Williams: Arb 1
Bush: Arb 3
Milner Arb 1
Suter (could get DFA) Arb 4
Topa: pre arbitration.
Arbitration costs: $64M + contracts $33M + 6 pre-arbitration players = $102M
This is a much more healthy segment of the Brewers players being pre-arbitration. It provides more flexibility.
This year's total salaries were $131,930. Salaries going away are Cain, Hader, Wong, McCutchen and Rogers.
So the Brewers could, if they aren't cheap, have $30M in payroll flexibility going into next year to improve this team. That provides Stearns with much more room to deal than he had either at the beginning of this year or at the trade deadline.